SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Chicago Bears Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.1 to 19.7%

0-0-2 .000

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 9/24	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
NY Giants 32 Washington 21			-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Seattle vs Chicago	-6.9*+0.3+6.9		-1.1*+0.2+1.1
Green Bay vs Kansas City	-1.1*+2.0+1.1		-0.1+0.2+0.1
Minnesota vs San Diego	-0.9*+0.3+0.9		-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Detroit vs Denver	-0.6*+1.8+0.6		-0.1*+0.2+0.1
Houston vs Tampa Bay	+0.3*-0.1-0.3
Dallas vs Atlanta	+0.2*+1.1-0.2		+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Arizona vs San Francisco			+0.0+0.1-0.0
NY Jets vs Philadelphia			+0.1*+0.0-0.1

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/1	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago vs Oakland	+5.7*-1.4-5.7		+0.8*-0.1-0.8
Denver vs Minnesota	+0.9*-0.2-0.9		+0.1-0.0-0.1
San Francisco vs Green Bay	+0.9*-0.6-0.9
Atlanta vs Houston	-0.4*-0.5+0.4		-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Seattle vs Detroit	+0.4*+1.3-0.4		+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Buffalo vs NY Giants	+0.4*-1.2-0.3		+0.1*-0.1-0.1
New Orleans vs Dallas			-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Arizona vs St. Louis			+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

14		14	-	0	-	0	In		98	2															64
13	.5	13	-	1	-	0	In		100																4
13		13	-	0	-	1	In		90	9	0		1												446
		12	-	2	-	0	In		100																1
12	.5	12	-	1	-	1	In		87	11			3												38
12		12	-	0	-	2	In		67	25	3	0	5												2,548
		11	-	2	-	1	In		100																2
11	.5	11	-	1	-	2	In		57	33	3		6												234
11		11	-	0	-	3	100.0	%	30	36	16	2	15	1	0										10,360
		10	-	2	-	2	In		33	33	22			11											9
10	.5	10	-	1	-	3	99.9		17	35	23	3	20	2	0										898
10		10	-	0	-	4	97.9		5	19	26	10	27	11	2	0	0								28,628
		9	-	2	-	3	In			21	26	13	26	13											38
9	.5	9	-	1	-	4	93.4		1	8	22	15	26	21	5	1	0								2,259
		8	-	3	-	3	In					100													1
9		9	-	0	-	5	66.8		0	2	11	17	13	24	20	10	3	0	0	0					56,717
		8	-	2	-	4	71.2			3	8	19	12	29	19	7	3								59
8	.5	8	-	1	-	5	39.2			0	3	16	4	16	26	23	9	2	0						3,963
8		8	-	0	-	6	13.7			0	1	8	1	4	12	21	24	18	9	3	0	0	0		85,151
		7	-	2	-	5	11.9					4	2	6	14	17	31	20	5	2					118
7	.5	7	-	1	-	6	3.9				0	4	0	0	2	9	23	29	21	9	2	0	0		5,253
		6	-	3	-	5	Out										50				50				2
7		7	-	0	-	7	1.1				0	1		0	0	2	7	16	24	25	17	7	1	0	97,557
		6	-	2	-	6	Out									2	8	25	26	21	12	6			131
6	.5	6	-	1	-	7	0.3					0				0	1	4	13	27	30	18	5	1	5,344
		5	-	3	-	6	Out												33	33	33				3
6		6	-	0	-	8	0.0					0				0	0	1	4	12	25	31	21	6	85,757
		5	-	2	-	7	Out												4	11	21	41	19	5	123
5	.5	5	-	1	-	8	Out												0	2	13	31	37	16	3,962
5		5	-	0	-	9	0.0					0							0	1	5	19	41	34	57,081
		4	-	2	-	8	Out														4	24	39	32	71
4	.5	4	-	1	-	9	Out													0	1	7	35	57	2,291
		3	-	3	-	8	Out																100		4
4		4	-	0	-	10	Out													0	0	3	24	73	28,695
		3	-	2	-	9	Out																23	77	35
3	.5	3	-	1	-	10	Out														0	1	12	88	852
3		3	-	0	-	11	Out															0	7	93	10,326
		2	-	2	-	10	Out																	100	14
2	.5	2	-	1	-	11	Out																2	98	274
2		2	-	0	-	12	Out																1	99	2,598
		1	-	2	-	11	Out																	100	1
0	-1.5						Out																	100	520	*

Total:							19.7	%	1	2	3	4	4	4	5	5	6	7	7	8	9	10	11	12	492,432

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/24	100.0*	Lottery seed
NY Giants 32 Washington 21	+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Seattle vs Chicago	+2.1-0.3-2.1
Green Bay vs Kansas City	+0.1-0.5-0.1
St. Louis vs Pittsburgh	-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Houston vs Tampa Bay	+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Cleveland vs Oakland	+0.1*-0.1-0.1
NY Jets vs Philadelphia	-0.0*-0.2+0.0
Dallas vs Atlanta	-0.0*-0.2+0.0
Detroit vs Denver	+0.0*-0.5-0.0
Minnesota vs San Diego	+0.0*-0.1-0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/1	100.0*	Lottery seed
Chicago vs Oakland	-2.0+0.2+2.0
New Orleans vs Dallas	+0.0-0.3-0.0
Washington vs Philadelphia	-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore	-0.0+0.1+0.0
Tampa Bay vs Carolina	-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Cincinnati vs Kansas City	+0.1*-0.3-0.1
Denver vs Minnesota	-0.1*+0.0+0.1
San Diego vs Cleveland	-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Houston	+0.0+0.1-0.0
Buffalo vs NY Giants	-0.0*+0.3+0.0
Seattle vs Detroit	+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Arizona vs St. Louis	-0.0*+0.3+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Power Rankings

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

14		14	-	0	-	0	97	2	2
13	.5	13	-	1	-	0	100
13		13	-	0	-	1	80	10	9		0				1
		12	-	2	-	0	100
12	.5	12	-	1	-	1	66	21	11						3
12		12	-	0	-	2	42	25	24	1	3		0		5	0
		11	-	2	-	1	50	50
11	.5	11	-	1	-	2	30	27	29	3	3				6
11		11	-	0	-	3	7	23	24	13	15	1	2	0	14	1	1		0
		10	-	2	-	2	11	22	22	11	22						11
10	.5	10	-	1	-	3	1	16	17	18	20	2	3		17	2	2		0
10		10	-	0	-	4	0	4	4	15	14	12	9	1	14	12	10	1	2	0	0	0
		9	-	2	-	3			3	18	16	11	13		13	13	13
9	.5	9	-	1	-	4		1	0	8	7	15	13	3	9	16	16	4	5	1	0
		8	-	3	-	3							100
9		9	-	0	-	5		0	0	2	1	9	8	9	1	11	8	16	14	11	5	2	1	0	0
		8	-	2	-	4				3	2	7	12	7		12	10	19	8	15	3	2
8	.5	8	-	1	-	5				0	0	3	5	11	0	4	1	15	10	19	18	9	3	1	0
8		8	-	0	-	6				0	0	1	1	7	0	1	0	4	2	5	10	14	15	15	12	8	4	1	0	0	0	0
		7	-	2	-	5							1	3		2		6	2	8	12	26	9	11	8	5	5	2
7	.5	7	-	1	-	6						0	0	4		0		0			0	1	6	14	21	24	18	9	3	1	0
		6	-	3	-	5																				50		50
7		7	-	0	-	7						0	0	1				0		0	0	0	1	2	4	9	13	16	17	15	11	6	3	1	0	0
		6	-	2	-	6																1	2		2	7	15	23	18	18	12	3	2
6	.5	6	-	1	-	7								0												0	1	4	10	19	24	22	13	6	1	0	0
		5	-	3	-	6																								33	33	33
6		6	-	0	-	8								0												0	0	0	1	4	10	16	21	21	16	8	2	0
		5	-	2	-	7																							1	2	11	15	20	29	17	5	2
5	.5	5	-	1	-	8																								0	1	3	10	20	30	24	10	2
5		5	-	0	-	9								0															0	0	0	0	2	8	19	30	28	13
		4	-	2	-	8																											4	3	27	23	27	17
4	.5	4	-	1	-	9																											0	1	6	21	40	33
		3	-	3	-	8																														25	75
4		4	-	0	-	10																											0	0	2	10	34	55
		3	-	2	-	9																														9	37	54
3	.5	3	-	1	-	10																													0	3	22	75
3		3	-	0	-	11																														1	13	87
		2	-	2	-	10																																100
2	.5	2	-	1	-	11																															4	96
2		2	-	0	-	12																															2	98
		1	-	2	-	11																																100
0	-1.5																																					100

Total:							0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	1	2	2	3	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	7