Baltimore Ravens Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.1 to 18.4%
0-0-2   .000

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Baltimore vs Cincinnati+7.9*+0.2-7.9
+1.2+0.1-1.2
St. Louis vs Pittsburgh+0.8*-0.1-0.8
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Cleveland vs Oakland-0.6*-0.4+0.6
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Minnesota vs San Diego+0.3*-0.5-0.3
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Detroit vs Denver+0.3*-0.2-0.3
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
NY Jets vs Philadelphia-0.2*+0.2+0.2
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Green Bay vs Kansas City+0.2*-1.4-0.2
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
New England vs Jacksonville-0.2*+0.7+0.2
Houston vs Tampa Bay-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Tennessee vs Indianapolis+0.0*+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore-7.7*-0.3+7.7
-1.1*-0.0+1.1
Cincinnati vs Kansas City-0.8*+0.9+0.8
-0.0+0.2+0.0
San Diego vs Cleveland+0.5*-0.9-0.5
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Chicago vs Oakland+0.3*-0.1-0.3
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Denver vs Minnesota-0.3*-0.9+0.3
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Buffalo vs NY Giants-0.3*-0.7+0.3
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Atlanta vs Houston+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Baltimore finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-D-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
13.5-14In10067*
1313-0-1In93700366
12.512-1-1In7423331
1212-0-2In6728422,502
11-2-1In1003
11.511-1-2In662734258
1111-0-3100.0%3042151111010,386
10-2-2In1950191316
10.510-1-399.515392122031912
1010-0-497.04212910211130028,355
9-2-3In819256311136
9.59-1-490.317221422238202,247
99-0-561.00212179212112510057,097
8-2-465.151314102327883
8.58-1-529.903112132725154104,062
7-3-420.0202040205
88-0-611.101703918242112410084,987
7-2-56.2662218321223113
7.57-1-61.902016172926144105,382
6-3-5Out50502
77-0-70.8010001512222620102097,978
6-2-62.424610172821102124
6.56-1-70.100029223226915,336
5-3-6Out204020205
66-0-80.0000029223226885,111
5-2-7Out1281935305129
5.55-1-8Out0182841214,149
4-3-7Out1001
55-0-9Out000315404257,166
4-2-8Out124383699
4.54-1-9Out0530652,150
3-3-8Out1002
44-0-10Out02207828,569
3-2-9Out4197827
3.53-1-10Out01089965
2-3-9Out1001
33-0-11Out059410,277
2-2-10Out99111
2.52-1-11Out199250
22-0-12Out1992,632
1-2-11Out1002
0-1.5Out100538*
Total:18.4%1344344567789101214492,432

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/24100.0*Lottery seed
Baltimore vs Cincinnati-2.2+0.1+2.2
Green Bay vs Kansas City+0.0+0.2-0.0
Detroit vs Denver+0.1-0.1-0.1
Seattle vs Chicago-0.1*-0.2+0.1
New England vs Jacksonville+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Miami vs Buffalo-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Carolina vs New Orleans-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Houston vs Tampa Bay+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Minnesota vs San Diego+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Cleveland vs Oakland+0.0*+0.3-0.0
Arizona vs San Francisco-0.0*+0.3+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/1100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh vs Baltimore+2.2+0.3-2.2
Miami vs NY Jets-0.1*-0.3+0.1
Seattle vs Detroit-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville+0.1*+0.2-0.1
Denver vs Minnesota-0.1*+0.3+0.1
Chicago vs Oakland+0.1*-0.1-0.1
San Francisco vs Green Bay-0.1*+0.3+0.1
New Orleans vs Dallas+0.0*-0.1-0.0
San Diego vs Cleveland+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Power Rankings

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1414-0-0100
13.513-1-08020
1313-0-18112700
12.512-1-1713233
1212-0-241252624020
11-2-1100
11.511-1-2363025234
1111-0-372328141411010110
10-2-261331191913
10.510-1-321321191921017331
1010-0-4044161713911291013000
9-2-381911146171411
9.59-1-4107913123913194820
99-0-50022109918912191352000
8-2-4541068271013181241
8.58-1-500348211213232110310
7-3-420202040
88-0-600116000338141817139521000
7-2-51545132116197521
7.57-1-602000271522241693100
6-3-55050
77-0-7001000001371217181612841000
6-2-621126101621191066
6.56-1-7000141019242214510
5-3-62020202020
66-0-8000001371319211811520
5-2-71212161817151252
5.55-1-8001311222923102
4-3-7100
55-0-90014112229249
4-2-86102427239
4.54-1-9016224230
3-3-85050
44-0-10003133747
3-2-911193337
3.53-1-10022474
2-3-9100
33-0-11011683
2-2-102773
2.52-1-11397
22-0-120397
1-2-11100
1.51-1-12298
11-0-13199
0-0.5100
Total:01122222122233333334444444555567