American Football Conference Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	G	W	-	D	-	L	PCT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Avg.	Change	RPI

Cincinnati		2	-	0	-	0	1.000	25	56.3	%	+0.0	13	11	10	7	8	7	7	6	6	5	5	4	4	3	2	2	6.3	+0.01	2	Cincinnati Bengals
Denver		2	-	0	-	0	1.000	13	56.3		+0.1	13	11	9	7	9	8	7	6	6	5	5	4	4	3	2	2	6.3	+0.01	8	Denver Broncos
New England		2	-	0	-	0	1.000	15	55.0		-0.1	14	9	7	4	12	9	8	7	6	5	5	4	4	3	2	2	6.5	-0.01	1	New England Patriots
NY Jets		2	-	0	-	0	1.000	34	54.0		+0.1	13	9	6	4	12	9	8	7	6	5	5	4	4	3	2	2	6.5	+0.01	5	New York Jets
Jacksonville		1	-	0	-	1	.500	-8	40.7		-0.2	5	7	8	12	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	8.2	-0.02	7	Jacksonville Jaguars
Tennessee		1	-	0	-	1	.500	14	39.3		+0.2	4	6	8	14	3	4	4	5	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	8.5	+0.01	12	Tennessee Titans

Cleveland		1	-	0	-	1	.500	-7	34.9		+0.0	5	6	7	6	5	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	5	8.6	+0.01	4	Cleveland Browns
Oakland		1	-	0	-	1	.500	-16	34.5		-0.1	5	6	6	5	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	5	8.7		14	Oakland Raiders
Pittsburgh		1	-	0	-	1	.500	18	34.1		+0.1	4	6	7	7	5	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	8.8	+0.02	3	Pittsburgh Steelers
San Diego		1	-	0	-	1	.500	0	33.3		+0.1	4	5	6	5	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	8.9	+0.01	16	San Diego Chargers
Kansas City		1	-	0	-	1	.500	0	33.0		-0.0	5	5	5	3	8	7	8	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	5	8.8	-0.01	16	Kansas City Chiefs
Buffalo		1	-	0	-	1	.500	5	32.6		-0.1	5	5	4	2	9	8	8	8	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	5	8.8	-0.01	14	Buffalo Bills
Miami		1	-	0	-	1	.500	4	32.4		-0.0	5	5	4	4	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	9.0		20	Miami Dolphins
Houston		0	-	0	-	2	.000	-14	23.4		+0.0	2	3	5	8	2	3	4	5	5	6	7	8	8	9	11	13	10.4	+0.01	23	Houston Texans
Indianapolis		0	-	0	-	2	.000	-26	22.0		+0.1	1	3	5	9	2	3	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	15	10.7		23	Indianapolis Colts
Baltimore		0	-	0	-	2	.000	-10	18.4		-0.1	1	3	4	4	3	4	4	5	6	7	7	8	9	10	12	14	10.9	-0.02	23	Baltimore Ravens

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 9/24
New England vs JacksonvilleIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New England	65.0*52.945.0		5.5*6.67.5
NY Jets	53.2*55.654.8		6.6*6.36.5
Jacksonville	31.5*39.649.9		9.3*8.47.1
Tennessee	41.0*39.037.7		8.4*8.68.7
Buffalo	31.8*33.733.3		8.98.78.8
Miami	31.6*29.833.1		9.0*9.29.0
Houston	24.5*23.622.2		10.4*10.510.5
Indianapolis	23.0*21.620.9		10.6*10.710.8

Cleveland vs OaklandHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cincinnati	55.4*56.157.2		6.4*6.26.2
Denver	57.1*55.855.4		6.3*6.36.4
Cleveland	44.0*34.525.9		7.5*8.79.7
Oakland	25.2*34.943.6		9.8*8.77.5
Pittsburgh	33.4*34.134.9
San Diego	34.0*34.432.6		8.9*8.89.0
Kansas City	33.6*34.032.4		8.7*8.78.8
Baltimore	17.8*18.018.9		10.9*11.010.9

Tennessee vs IndianapolisHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Jacksonville	40.1*41.841.3
Tennessee	50.4*40.928.3		7.3*8.39.8
Indianapolis	12.9*21.131.0		11.9*10.89.5

Baltimore vs CincinnatiHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cincinnati	45.1*57.167.4		7.46.35.2
Cleveland	35.9*33.534.0		8.6*8.78.7
Pittsburgh	35.0*32.233.3		8.8*9.08.9
Baltimore	26.3*18.610.4		9.710.812.1

Miami vs BuffaloHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Buffalo	22.2*33.342.9		10.08.87.7
Miami	42.5*30.522.2		7.89.110.2

Detroit vs DenverHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Denver	48.2*54.964.3		7.1*6.45.5
Oakland	35.8*34.533.1		8.58.68.8
San Diego	34.529.732.1		8.8*9.19.0
Kansas City	34.3*32.531.7		8.7*8.88.9

NY Jets vs PhiladelphiaHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Denver	55.6*55.556.9		6.4*6.56.3
New England	53.9*54.856.1		6.6*6.56.4
NY Jets	62.1*54.445.9		5.8*6.57.3
Oakland	33.9*35.335.0		8.7*8.58.6
Pittsburgh	33.5*35.134.7		8.98.88.8
Buffalo	31.6*32.433.6		8.9*8.98.7
Miami	31.3*30.633.4		9.1*9.18.9
Houston	23.0*24.723.7		10.510.210.4

Green Bay vs Kansas CityHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Denver	57.4*55.455.1		6.2*6.46.4
NY Jets	54.6*53.853.5
Oakland	35.5*33.533.4		8.6*8.78.7
San Diego	34.3*33.632.2		8.8*8.89.0
Kansas City	25.4*33.840.5		9.6*8.77.9

St. Louis vs PittsburghHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cincinnati	57.7*57.054.9		6.2*6.26.4
New England	55.6*54.454.4		6.4*6.66.5
Cleveland	36.0*34.933.9		8.5*8.78.7
Pittsburgh	26.9*33.241.4		9.7*8.88.0
Buffalo	33.0*31.732.2		8.88.98.9
Baltimore	19.2*18.317.6		10.8*10.811.0

Minnesota vs San DiegoHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Denver	57.5*57.055.0		6.2*6.36.4
New England	55.6*55.654.4		6.46.46.5
Oakland	35.5*34.133.4		8.6*8.78.7
San Diego	26.0*33.340.6		9.88.88.1
Kansas City	33.9*33.832.0		8.7*8.78.9

Houston vs Tampa BayHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Jacksonville	39.5*40.941.9		8.3*8.28.1
Tennessee	38.0*41.740.6		8.7*8.38.4
Houston	29.220.317.5		9.6*10.711.3
Indianapolis	21.0*22.322.9		10.8*10.710.6

Week of 10/1
Cincinnati vs Kansas CityIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cincinnati	65.9*56.146.6		5.3*6.37.3
Denver	56.9*55.155.6		6.3*6.46.4
Cleveland	33.9*33.136.0		8.78.88.5
Pittsburgh	33.0*34.135.2		8.9*8.88.8
San Diego	34.0*32.932.5		8.8*9.09.0
Kansas City	23.7*34.342.3		9.98.77.7
Baltimore	17.6*19.319.1		10.910.710.9

San Diego vs ClevelandHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cincinnati	57.3*56.655.3		6.2*6.36.4
Denver	55.5*56.057.0		6.4*6.36.3
Cleveland	25.7*35.444.2		9.7*8.57.5
Oakland	33.9*34.635.1		8.7*8.88.6
Pittsburgh	35.0*33.933.3		8.8*9.08.9
San Diego	42.3*32.824.3		7.88.810.0
Kansas City	32.4*33.233.5

Miami vs NY JetsHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
NY Jets	42.4*54.865.7		7.7*6.65.4
Miami	42.8*32.021.9		7.88.910.2

Indianapolis vs JacksonvilleHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Jacksonville	29.4*39.152.1		9.4*8.46.9
Tennessee	40.0*39.938.6		8.5*8.48.6
Indianapolis	31.1*21.212.8		9.5*10.811.9

Pittsburgh vs BaltimoreHomeDrawAway
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Pittsburgh	44.1*35.324.1		7.68.610.0
Baltimore	10.6*18.126.1		12.0*10.99.8

Denver vs MinnesotaHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Denver	64.3*54.148.2		5.5*6.47.1
Oakland	33.3*35.435.6		8.8*8.68.6
San Diego	32.0*31.634.6		9.0*9.18.8
Kansas City	31.8*35.334.1		8.98.68.7
Buffalo	31.8*32.233.3		8.9*8.98.7

Buffalo vs NY GiantsHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New England	54.0*56.456.0		6.6*6.56.4
NY Jets	53.1*52.555.0		6.66.66.4
Cleveland	34.3*36.035.5		8.7*8.48.5
Pittsburgh	33.6*33.934.7		8.9*8.98.8
Kansas City	32.3*32.433.7		8.8*8.78.7
Buffalo	40.0*35.525.1		8.08.69.6
Miami	31.5*31.433.2		9.1*9.18.9
Houston	23.1*21.623.6		10.510.710.4

Chicago vs OaklandHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Denver	57.4*56.455.1		6.2*6.36.4
NY Jets	54.7*53.653.4		6.5*6.66.6
Oakland	27.0*33.841.9		9.5*8.77.8
San Diego	34.3*34.732.2		8.8*8.89.0
Kansas City	33.9*32.132.1		8.7*8.88.9

Atlanta vs HoustonHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Jacksonville	42.0*40.739.5		8.1*8.38.3
Tennessee	40.6*40.538.0		8.4*8.38.7
Kansas City			8.79.08.8
Houston	17.4*22.829.3		11.310.69.6
Indianapolis	22.9*22.021.0		10.6*10.710.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.