Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
GW-D-LPCTGD%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPI
Jacksonville1-0-1.500-840.7%-0.2578124556666666658.2-0.027Jacksonville Jaguars
Tennessee1-0-1.5001439.3+0.2468143445666777778.5+0.0112Tennessee Titans
Houston0-0-2.000-1423.4+0.023582345567889111310.4+0.0123Houston Texans
Indianapolis0-0-2.000-2622.0+0.1135923345678910111510.723Indianapolis Colts

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 9/24
Tennessee vs IndianapolisIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville40.1*41.841.3
Tennessee50.4*40.928.3
7.3*8.39.8
Houston22.9*22.423.8
10.510.610.4
Indianapolis12.9*21.131.0
11.9*10.89.5
New England vs JacksonvilleHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville31.5*39.649.9
9.3*8.47.1
Tennessee41.0*39.037.7
8.4*8.68.7
Houston24.5*23.622.2
10.4*10.510.5
Indianapolis23.0*21.620.9
10.6*10.710.8
Houston vs Tampa BayHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville39.5*40.941.9
8.3*8.28.1
Tennessee38.0*41.740.6
8.7*8.38.4
Houston29.220.317.5
9.6*10.711.3
Indianapolis21.0*22.322.9
10.8*10.710.6
Green Bay vs Kansas CityHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville41.1*40.240.3
8.1*8.28.2
Tennessee8.5*8.48.6
Houston23.6*21.623.1
10.4*10.610.5
Indianapolis10.7*10.810.7
NY Jets vs PhiladelphiaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville8.2*8.48.2
Tennessee8.6*8.68.5
Houston23.0*24.723.7
10.510.210.4
Indianapolis21.6*22.122.3
10.7*10.610.7
Detroit vs DenverHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville41.0*41.140.4
Tennessee8.5*8.58.6
Houston23.6*21.923.1
10.4*10.610.5
Indianapolis10.7*10.810.7
St. Louis vs PittsburghHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville41.0*42.440.4
8.1*8.18.2
Tennessee8.5*8.68.6
Houston10.4*10.610.5
Minnesota vs San DiegoHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville8.1*8.48.2
Tennessee8.5*8.58.6
Indianapolis10.7*10.810.7
Baltimore vs CincinnatiHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville8.2*8.18.2
Houston10.5*10.610.4
Week of 10/1
Indianapolis vs JacksonvilleIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville29.4*39.152.1
9.4*8.46.9
Tennessee40.0*39.938.6
8.5*8.48.6
Houston23.9*24.322.8
10.4*10.310.5
Indianapolis31.1*21.212.8
9.5*10.811.9
Atlanta vs HoustonHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville42.0*40.739.5
8.1*8.38.3
Tennessee40.6*40.538.0
8.4*8.38.7
Houston17.4*22.829.3
11.310.69.6
Indianapolis22.9*22.021.0
10.6*10.710.8
Buffalo vs NY GiantsHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville40.4*42.041.1
8.2*8.08.1
Houston23.1*21.623.6
10.510.710.4
Denver vs MinnesotaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville40.4*41.241.0
8.2*8.18.1
Tennessee39.0*39.939.6
8.6*8.48.5
Indianapolis10.710.810.7
Chicago vs OaklandHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville41.0*39.940.4
8.1*8.38.2
Tennessee8.5*8.58.6
Cincinnati vs Kansas CityHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tennessee8.58.78.6
Houston10.4*10.310.5
Indianapolis10.7*10.810.7
Miami vs NY JetsHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tennessee8.6*8.58.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.