American Football Conference Playoff Chances 2015

Buffalo +0.4, Miami -0.4
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
GW-D-LPCTGD%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Cincinnati2-0-01.0002578.9%+0.120201886664332111004.12.588Cincinnati Bengals
Denver2-0-01.0001377.7+0.022191677665432111004.28.588Denver Broncos
New England2-0-01.0001574.1-0.2201473191185432211004.8-0.021.588New England Patriots
NY Jets2-0-01.0003472.8+0.0191372201286432211004.95.588New York Jets
Tennessee1-0-1.5001450.2-0.03511272345666665437.412.500Tennessee Titans
Jacksonville1-0-1.500-845.1-0.13510222456777665437.7-0.017.500Jacksonville Jaguars
Pittsburgh1-0-1.5001827.9+0.024645789998876549.03.500Pittsburgh Steelers
Kansas City1-0-1.500027.9+0.1234289109998876428.916.500Kansas City Chiefs
Cleveland1-0-1.500-727.6+0.024635789998876538.94.500Cleveland Browns
Miami1-0-1.500427.5-0.423328999998876539.0-0.0420.500Miami Dolphins
San Diego1-0-1.500027.0+0.124536889998877539.1+0.0116.500San Diego Chargers
Oakland1-0-1.500-1622.0-0.013435678999998649.714.500Oakland Raiders
Buffalo1-0-1.500519.2+0.412116899999998649.9+0.0514.500Buffalo Bills
Houston0-0-2.000-148.8+0.00016011235681013172412.723.413Houston Texans
Indianapolis0-0-2.000-268.3+0.10016011234681014182512.923.413Indianapolis Colts
Baltimore0-0-2.000-104.9-0.00011122346781114182212.923.413Baltimore Ravens

Tiebreakers are almost 100% accurate.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 9/24
NY Giants 32 Washington 21
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville*-0.0
New England vs JacksonvilleIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New England79.970.461.5
4.35.15.9
NY Jets72.4*73.273.6
5.04.84.7
Tennessee52.2*49.345.8
7.3*7.47.7
Jacksonville39.347.958.0
8.37.56.3
Kansas City27.5*28.728.7
Cleveland27.3*27.128.4
Miami27.129.228.4
9.08.99.0
Houston9.47.57.6
12.712.812.8
Indianapolis8.9*7.47.1
12.8*12.913.0
Tennessee vs IndianapolisHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tennessee57.046.935.2
6.77.79.0
Jacksonville43.547.248.6
7.87.77.5
Houston8.3*8.89.9
Indianapolis4.7*8.716.3
13.512.711.5
Cleveland vs OaklandHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati78.3*78.680.1
4.14.14.0
Denver78.1*77.876.9
4.1*4.24.2
Pittsburgh27.5*28.128.6
Cleveland33.925.017.4
8.29.210.2
Oakland15.9*23.131.9
10.49.58.4
Miami vs BuffaloHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Miami34.525.616.2
8.29.010.3
Buffalo12.821.329.7
10.79.78.6
Baltimore vs CincinnatiHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati69.7*79.185.6
4.94.13.4
Pittsburgh29.6*27.226.7
8.9*9.09.1
Cleveland29.1*27.126.5
8.9*9.09.0
Baltimore8.54.12.2
11.9*12.913.5
Green Bay vs Kansas CityHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Denver78.375.976.2
4.14.34.3
New England74.5*73.073.3
4.8*4.94.8
NY Jets73.2*72.971.9
Kansas City23.130.938.3
9.48.67.8
Cleveland28.0*27.026.8
8.9*9.09.0
Miami27.9*27.626.6
9.0*9.09.1
San Diego27.6*28.125.7
9.1*9.19.2
Oakland22.5*22.120.8
9.6*9.69.8
Buffalo19.5*19.818.4
9.8*9.810.0
NY Jets vs PhiladelphiaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New England73.7*74.175.4
4.9*4.84.6
NY Jets76.369.461.9
4.65.25.8
Kansas City27.6*28.628.8
Cleveland27.3*28.028.5
9.08.98.9
Miami27.1*28.429.0
9.08.98.9
Oakland21.7*21.822.9
9.7*9.79.6
Buffalo18.8*18.920.4
9.9*9.99.8
St. Louis vs PittsburghHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati80.0*79.077.3
4.0*4.04.2
New England74.6*73.273.4
4.8*4.94.8
NY Jets73.2*73.372.1
4.9*4.84.9
Jacksonville45.3*43.444.9
7.77.97.8
Pittsburgh22.630.336.7
9.68.78.1
Cleveland28.4*27.926.4
8.9*8.99.1
Minnesota vs San DiegoHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Denver78.5*77.676.3
4.1*4.24.3
New England74.6*73.273.3
4.8*4.94.8
NY Jets73.2*73.472.1
Kansas City28.6*27.726.7
8.8*8.99.0
Miami28.0*27.626.8
9.0*9.09.1
San Diego21.7*28.535.7
9.78.88.2
Oakland22.6*21.521.0
9.6*9.79.8
Detroit vs DenverHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Denver70.4*76.882.9
4.9*4.23.7
Kansas City29.1*28.127.0
8.88.99.0
San Diego28.3*27.026.0
9.0*9.19.2
Oakland23.2*22.021.1
9.6*9.79.7
Houston vs Tampa BayHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tennessee49.2*51.051.3
7.5*7.37.3
Jacksonville44.2*45.746.1
7.8*7.77.6
Houston11.77.25.7
12.112.913.4
Week of 10/1
Cincinnati vs Kansas CityIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati83.977.068.1
3.64.35.1
Denver78.1*76.876.6
4.1*4.24.2
Pittsburgh27.3*27.029.3
9.0*9.08.9
Kansas City22.031.340.8
9.58.57.5
Cleveland27.1*27.728.9
9.0*8.98.9
San Diego27.4*26.626.1
9.1*9.29.2
Oakland22.3*21.921.3
9.69.79.7
Indianapolis vs JacksonvilleHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tennessee53.2*50.647.1
7.3*7.47.6
Jacksonville34.7*45.156.1
8.87.86.6
Houston9.6*8.78.0
Indianapolis12.96.63.5
12.013.013.8
San Diego vs ClevelandHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati79.6*78.977.9
4.0*4.14.2
Denver77.1*78.178.5
4.2*4.14.1
Pittsburgh28.4*28.027.1
Cleveland20.7*28.839.0
9.78.87.7
San Diego33.423.416.6
8.39.310.4
Miami vs NY JetsHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New England73.9*74.274.4
4.7*4.74.9
NY Jets63.074.983.0
5.7*4.84.0
Miami37.3*28.317.2
8.08.810.1
Pittsburgh vs BaltimoreHomeDrawAway
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati78.4*79.480.1
4.14.04.0
Pittsburgh33.124.616.6
8.39.410.5
Cleveland27.1*28.328.7
9.0*8.98.9
Miami27.2*27.928.2
Baltimore2.8*5.39.4
13.412.611.7
Denver vs MinnesotaHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Denver81.773.968.7
3.84.55.0
Kansas City27.2*29.229.3
8.98.88.7
San Diego26.3*27.328.6
9.2*9.19.0
Oakland21.3*23.023.5
9.7*9.69.6
Chicago vs OaklandHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Denver78.6*78.276.6
4.1*4.14.3
NY Jets73.4*72.272.2
4.8*5.04.9
Kansas City28.7*28.527.0
8.8*8.98.9
San Diego27.7*27.226.2
9.0*9.19.2
Oakland16.1*21.128.2
10.49.78.9
Buffalo vs NY GiantsHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New England73.7*73.974.9
4.8*4.84.7
NY Jets72.3*73.573.8
4.9*4.84.8
Miami27.1*28.328.3
9.1*8.98.9
Buffalo22.717.512.2
9.410.110.8
Atlanta vs HoustonHomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tennessee50.7*50.248.5
7.4*7.47.6
Jacksonville45.7*44.343.4
7.77.87.9
Houston7.19.914.1
13.112.511.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.