San Francisco 49ers Playoff Chances 2014

Lost to Oakland 13-24, playoff odds down 20.6 to 4.9%
7-6-0   .538

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomePushAway
Week of 12/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Green Bay vs Atlanta-0.1-0.1+0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the San Francisco finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Pplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
103-0-087.5%011136391280,163
9.52-0-133.90052966303,017
92-1-08.40089110468,980
1-0-26.90079210354,250
8.51-1-1Out909001,048,784
0-0-3Out91900131,149
81-2-0Out6430500754,199
0-1-2Out6430600565,823
7.50-2-1Out254325600798,531
70-3-0Out3213829810369,232
Total:4.9%000146319931004,874,128
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomePushAway
Week of 12/7100.0*Lottery seed
Green Bay vs Atlanta-0.1+0.0+0.2
San Diego vs New England+0.1+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-P1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
103-0-000016172927145100
9.52-0-10028203024124100
92-1-00016192824145100
1-0-20015172826156100
8.51-1-1004152830175100
0-0-3004142730195100
81-2-0001518362810200
0-1-20151735291120
7.50-2-10019313619500
70-3-00005223728710
Total:0000001123578111316141063100