Miami Dolphins Playoff Chances 2014

Lost to Baltimore 13-28, playoff odds down 31 to 10.2%
7-6-0   .538

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomePushAway
Week of 12/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
San Diego vs New England-2.0-0.4+1.9
-0.1-0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Miami finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Pplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
103-0-082.6%0416323115300308,667
9.52-0-127.900052237268100783,398
92-1-01.40011129341951902,282
1-0-21.50011129341950578,113
8.51-1-10.000520382971,128,786
0-0-30.00052039297131,811
81-2-0Out002164933414,929
0-1-2Out002164933343,007
7.50-2-1Out012672237,398
70-3-0Out089245,737
Total:10.2%001361014171818114,874,128
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomePushAway
Week of 12/7100.0*Lottery seed
San Diego vs New England+0.1+0.0-0.1
Green Bay vs Atlanta-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-P1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
103-0-000014122429218100
9.52-0-10002924342281000
92-1-0001926332171000
1-0-2001102733217100
8.51-1-1003133032175100
0-0-300314313216400
81-2-0000314293118500
0-1-2000418322914300
7.50-2-10015193629910
70-3-0011133391510
Total:000001236912151513107521000