Indianapolis Colts Playoff Chances 2014 50/50

Beat Cleveland 25-24, playoff odds up 21.6 to 93.4%
9-4-0   .692

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomePushAway
Week of 12/7100.0*Chance in playoffs
San Diego vs New England-0.9-0.2+1.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Indianapolis finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Pplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
123-0-0In49447065,164
11.52-0-1In2153261167,736
112-1-0In333541000195,663
1-0-2In333531000143,318
10.51-1-1100.0%094934700333,093
0-0-3100.008493470041,284
101-2-098.50115383411100195,788
0-1-298.6116393311100143,181
9.50-2-175.901102935195100167,371
90-3-015.5031330321741064,890
Total:93.4%51731201374210001,517,488
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomePushAway
Week of 12/7100.0*Lottery seed
Green Bay vs Atlanta+0.2+0.0-0.2
San Diego vs New England+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-P1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
123-0-0244226710
11.52-0-1419332813300
112-1-00171929261341000
1-0-2029212924123000
10.51-1-100028202824134100
0-0-30002921282412410
101-2-00016172627165100
0-1-20016172727165100
9.50-2-10014152830175100
90-3-0002112531218200
Total:247810111111109753210000