Indianapolis Colts Playoff Chances 2014

Beat Cleveland 25-24, playoff odds up 14.5 to 97%
9-4-0   .692

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomePushAway
Week of 12/7100.0*Chance in playoffs
San Diego vs New England-0.7-0.1+0.5

What If

Chances based on how well the Indianapolis finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Pplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
123-0-0In2451250444,103
11.52-0-1In638551908,990
112-1-0In014721310788,185
1-0-2In014721310605,362
10.51-1-1100.0%02503810101,008,739
0-0-3100.00249381010130,877
101-2-097.6012333716200387,491
0-1-297.9013353614200315,532
9.50-2-164.7062336258100232,882
90-3-07.3016203427102051,967
Total:97.0%3164618942100004,874,128
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomePushAway
Week of 12/7100.0*Lottery seed
Green Bay vs Atlanta+0.1-0.1-0.2

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-P1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
123-0-082835227100
11.52-0-10416313014300
112-1-00015162929164100
1-0-2001720322611200
10.51-1-10001821312511200
0-0-3002102531218200
101-2-00018213126112000
0-1-200292232259100
9.50-2-100182334249200
90-3-0001618312713410
Total:137912131412108532100000