Houston Texans Playoff Chances 2014

Beat Jacksonville 27-13, playoff odds up 5.2 to 11.5%
7-6-0   .538

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomePushAway
Week of 12/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
San Diego vs New England-1.8-0.4+1.7
-0.1-0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Houston finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Pplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
103-0-095.7%08293921400259,202
9.52-0-140.50110303719300667,424
92-1-03.8004184129810778,610
1-0-22.4002154131910534,122
8.51-1-10.0011031371931,154,614
0-0-3Out0103037193131,573
81-2-0Out017264324571,929
0-1-2Out017264324386,219
7.50-2-1Out0042966326,173
70-3-0Out0079264,262
Total:11.5%002361016181716114,874,128
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomePushAway
Week of 12/7100.0*Lottery seed
San Diego vs New England+0.1+0.0-0.1
Green Bay vs Atlanta-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-P1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
103-0-0001620322712200
9.52-0-10003133034173000
92-1-0003163730112000
1-0-20021437321220000
8.51-1-1006223325102000
0-0-30622332510200
81-2-0002112430219200
0-1-2002112530218200
7.50-2-1000311243222710
70-3-000031029381720
Total:0000123591415141296421000