Denver Broncos Playoff Chances 2014 50/50

Beat Buffalo 24-17, playoff odds up 3.1 to 99.9%
10-3-0   .769

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomePushAway
Week of 12/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
San Diego vs New England-0.0*-0.0+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Denver finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Pplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
133-0-0In99165,059
12.52-0-1In937167,192
122-1-0In81190195,370
1-0-2In8119143,482
11.51-1-1In5641400334,505
0-0-3In6039241,058
111-2-0In225023400194,655
0-1-2In265418200143,328
10.50-2-1100.0%3243926810167,219
100-3-096.702123236143065,620
Total:99.9%522910521001,517,488
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomePushAway
Week of 12/7100.0*Lottery seed
Green Bay vs Atlanta+0.2-0.0-0.1
San Diego vs New England-0.1-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-P1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
133-0-09910
12.52-0-1881110
122-1-06033710
1-0-26033610
11.51-1-1193829112000
0-0-320392810200
111-2-0192229231141000
0-1-2110243021931000
10.50-2-100151525261872000
100-3-0002719282613410
Total:322014107543211000