Cincinnati Bengals Playoff Chances 2014

Lost to Pittsburgh 21-42, playoff odds down 23.2 to 54.6%
8-4-1   .654

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomePushAway
Week of 12/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
San Diego vs New England-3.8-0.8+3.5
-0.2-0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Cincinnati finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Pplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
11.53-0-0In1748278076,341
112-0-1In21740383276,791
10.52-1-099.7%0215482960416,394
1-0-299.90115512940331,752
101-1-190.1011739329100994,888
0-0-392.901194231700131,068
9.51-2-038.00192839184100745,758
0-1-240.40193140163000588,675
90-2-12.60021630291751877,983
8.50-3-00.001517313115434,478
Total:54.6%025141617161186414,874,128
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomePushAway
Week of 12/7100.0*Lottery seed
San Diego vs New England+0.2+0.0-0.1
Green Bay vs Atlanta+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-P1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
11.53-0-02923312210200
112-0-1002817262615510
10.52-1-00001413252919710
1-0-20001413273119510
101-1-10014132731195000
0-0-3001415293117400
9.51-2-00003122835175100
0-1-20003133035153000
90-2-100021426281982000
8.50-3-0003112229239100
Total:000112468101113131076421000