Buffalo Bills Playoff Chances 2014 50/50

Lost to Denver 17-24, playoff odds down 18.3 to 6.9%
7-6-0   .538

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomePushAway
Week of 12/7100.0*Chance in playoffs
San Diego vs New England-0.2-0.4+0.5

What If

Chances based on how well the Buffalo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Pplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
103-0-080.4%021132361730065,199
9.52-0-127.00015213828610167,048
92-1-02.10021133341630194,552
1-0-22.10021233341630143,003
8.51-1-10.00172437256334,618
0-0-30.0017253725641,064
81-2-0Out04194235195,521
0-1-2Out04194235143,423
7.50-2-1Out0032274167,855
70-3-0Out049665,205
Total:6.9%00124812151719221,517,488
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 12/7None

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-P1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
103-0-000151321242011410
9.52-0-100015142529195100
92-1-00013112631207100
1-0-20003112631207100
8.51-1-1004132630196100
0-0-300313273019610
81-2-001516293015300
0-1-201516292915300
7.50-2-100018233325910
70-3-00041529341520
Total:000011224691112131211852100