Indianapolis Colts Playoff Chances 2015 50/50

Did not play, lottery seed unchanged at 25.2
4-11-0   .267

How are these numbers calculated?

Lottery

We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.

Big Games

Week of 12/17100.0*Lottery seed
Indianapolis 0 Houston 1 +1.6
Jacksonville 0 Atlanta 1 -0.2
New Orleans 1 Detroit 0 -0.2
Oakland 0 Green Bay 1 -0.1
NY Giants 0 Carolina 1 -0.1
Baltimore 0 Kansas City 1 -0.1
St. Louis 1 Tampa Bay 0 +0.1
Dallas 0 NY Jets 1 -0.1
San Francisco 0 Cincinnati 1 -0.1
Philadelphia 0 Arizona 1 +0.0
San Diego 1 Miami 0 +0.0
New England 1 Tennessee 0 +0.0
Seattle 1 Cleveland 0 -0.0
Week of 12/24100.0*Lottery seed
Miami 1 Indianapolis 0 +1.2
Detroit 1 San Francisco 0 +0.1
Tampa Bay 0 Chicago 1 -0.1
Baltimore 0 Pittsburgh 1 -0.1
New Orleans 1 Jacksonville 0 -0.1
Oakland 1 San Diego 0 +0.1
Seattle 1 St. Louis 0 -0.1
Minnesota 0 NY Giants 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 1/3100.0*Lottery seed
Indianapolis vs Tennessee-0.8+0.8+0.8
Carolina vs Tampa Bay-0.3+0.2+0.3
Houston vs Jacksonville-0.2+0.2+0.2
Chicago vs Detroit-0.2+0.2+0.2
Dallas vs Washington-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
51-0-00013373712
4-4.5100
Total:006181956
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs