SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

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Minnesota Playoff Chances 2018-2019 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%
0-0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Conf100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Vikings vs 49ers+8.9*-0.0-8.9
+3.0*-0.3-3.0
-1.7*-0.1+1.7
+1.1*+0.0-1.1
Lions vs NY Jets-1.2*+0.4+1.2
-0.2*-0.0+0.2
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
NY Giants vs Jaguars-0.3*+0.3+0.3
-0.2*-0.0+0.2
Raiders vs LA Rams+0.3*-0.3-0.3
+0.1*-0.3-0.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Broncos vs Seahawks+0.3*+0.4-0.3
+0.1*-0.3-0.1
+0.1*+0.2-0.1
Eagles vs Falcons+0.2*+0.8-0.2
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Saints vs Buccaneers+0.1*-0.4-0.1
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Ravens vs Bills+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Dolphins vs Titans-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Patriots vs Texans-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Cardinals vs Redskins-0.1*-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Conf100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Packers vs Vikings-10.5*-0.0+10.5
-3.0*-0.4+3.0
+1.6*-0.3-1.6
-1.2+0.0+1.2
49ers vs Lions+0.8*+0.4-0.8
+0.1*+0.2-0.1
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Bears vs Seahawks-0.8*-1.2+0.8
-0.1*+0.3+0.1
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Saints vs Browns-0.4*-0.3+0.4
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
-0.1*+0.2+0.1
Redskins vs Colts-0.3*+0.1+0.3
-0.2*+0.1+0.2
Buccaneers vs Eagles+0.1*+0.3-0.1
Bills vs LA Chargers-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Jaguars vs Patriots+0.1*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vikings finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed1st
TWW-L-TplayoffsConf12345678910111213141516PickCount
15.5-16InYes100No138*
1515-1-0In99.7%1000No347*
14.514-1-1InYes100No79
1414-2-0In98.79910No2,505
13-1-2InYes100No8
13.513-2-1In98.79910No447
1313-3-0In93.593601No11,898
12-2-2In93.8946No48
12.512-3-1In88.8891001No2,194*
1212-4-0In74.775202030No37,952
11-3-2In73.5742312No204
11.511-4-1In60.460294060No6,503
10-3-3In62.5632513No8
1111-5-0100.0%36.637371111310No90,558
10-4-2In38.4384080131No510
10.510-5-199.918.719372031920No13,976
9-4-3In20.0202025305No20
1010-6-098.06.162326924102000No165,125
9-5-298.05.5523269241020No1,027
9.59-6-192.20.91924162320710No23,359
8-5-393.02.32122872123222No43
99-7-068.50.102121813231993000No236,473
8-6-268.60.1021318122321920No1,514
8.58-7-137.1No0415315262311300No30,134
7-6-341.5No213621193082No53
88-8-014.6No019141322231682000No265,982
7-7-214.6No1914132423167100No1,682*
7.57-8-13.9No04002920282311300No29,918
6-7-33.4No329172429142No58
77-9-01.4No010002716242516710No236,538
6-8-21.1No102717242716610No1,484*
6.56-9-10.2No00131225312071No23,720
5-8-3OutNo51023312110No39
66-10-00.1No000141225312260.3%166,003
5-9-2OutNo013112336215No999*
5.55-10-1OutNo002113039181.813,962
4-9-3OutNo114428175.618
55-11-0OutNo000418413711.489,919
4-10-2OutNo031841389.5476
4.54-11-1OutNo016336030.26,439
3-10-3OutNo1010206020.010
44-12-0OutNo02237451.537,419
3-11-2OutNo2227653.3180
3.53-12-1OutNo0118975.52,125*
33-13-0OutNo069486.011,662
2-12-2OutNo29890.050
2.52-13-1OutNo29895.7536
22-14-0OutNo19997.82,585
1-13-2OutNo100Yes9
0-1.5OutNo100Yes552*
Total:37.5%6.3%66666666666666663.1%1,517,488

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Lottery seed
Vikings vs 49ers-2.1-0.0+2.1
Lions vs NY Jets+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Saints vs Buccaneers-0.1+0.0+0.1
Eagles vs Falcons-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Ravens vs Bills+0.1*+0.0-0.1
NY Giants vs Jaguars+0.0-0.1-0.0
Patriots vs Texans-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Broncos vs Seahawks+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Raiders vs LA Rams+0.0*+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
Packers vs Vikings+2.3-0.0-2.3
Bears vs Seahawks+0.1+0.2-0.1
49ers vs Lions-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Buccaneers vs Eagles+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Bills vs LA Chargers-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Jaguars vs Patriots+0.0*-0.2-0.0
Saints vs Browns-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
15.5-16100
1515-1-01000
14.514-1-1100
1414-2-097210
13-1-2100
13.513-2-196310
1313-3-08586001
12-2-29046
12.512-3-175131001
1212-4-0522319120300
11-3-2502423012
11.511-4-13130272400600
10-3-338252513
1111-5-01125271011110121100
10-4-2112828118101201
10.510-5-1217191818230163200
9-4-32020252555
1010-6-00661717981159101200
9-5-2056171799114119120
9.59-6-1109815133814174710
8-5-3212226791223222
99-7-00022101082111112141052000
8-6-20221110821112121610410
8.58-7-100351103113102018103100
7-6-322116214232111
88-8-00011701042611151614116310000
7-7-21271426121517131153100
7.57-8-100300000261321241793100
6-7-33291421281492
77-9-000100000125101417171410521000
6-8-2101251013181814106210
6.56-9-10001410192522135100
5-8-3153115211035
66-10-000000251117212014720
5-9-20116101921201671
5.55-10-101310213023112
4-9-3176222211176
55-11-000013920302711
4-10-20461733309
4.54-11-1016224130
3-10-310304020
44-12-0002113651
3-11-2283753
3.53-12-1022275
33-13-0011386
2-12-21090
2.52-13-10496
22-14-00298
1-13-2100
0-1.5100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333
Updated Saturday, 2023-10-21 11:15 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)