SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Let it go

Houston Playoff Chances 2018-2019 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.4%
0-0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Conf100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Patriots vs Texans-8.9*-0.4+8.9
-3.0*-0.4+3.0
+1.7*-0.0-1.6
-1.1*+0.0+1.1
NY Giants vs Jaguars+1.1*-0.4-1.1
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Dolphins vs Titans+0.8*-0.9-0.8
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Colts vs Bengals-0.6*+0.4+0.6
+0.1*-0.2-0.1
-0.1*+0.3+0.1
Broncos vs Seahawks-0.4*+0.6+0.4
-0.2*+0.5+0.2
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Lions vs NY Jets+0.3*+0.3-0.3
+0.1*-0.4-0.1
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Raiders vs LA Rams-0.3*-0.5+0.3
-0.2*+0.3+0.2
Ravens vs Bills+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Browns vs Steelers-0.1*+0.2+0.1
Eagles vs Falcons-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Cardinals vs Redskins+0.1*+0.2-0.1
Panthers vs Cowboys+0.1*-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Conf100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Titans vs Texans-10.4*+0.5+10.4
-2.9*-0.1+2.9
+1.6*-0.3-1.6
-1.2*+0.1+1.2
Redskins vs Colts+1.1*-0.3-1.1
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.1*+0.3-0.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Jaguars vs Patriots-0.8*+0.4+0.8
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Saints vs Browns+0.4*+0.4-0.4
+0.2*-0.1-0.2
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Bills vs LA Chargers-0.1*+0.0+0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Broncos vs Raiders-0.1*-0.2+0.1
Buccaneers vs Eagles+0.1*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Texans finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed1st
TWW-L-TplayoffsConf12345678910111213141516PickCount
14.5-16InYes100No510*
1414-2-0In99.3%991No2,484
13-1-2InYes100No7
13.513-2-1In98.49810No505
1313-3-0In94.294500No11,589
12-2-2In95.7964No47
12.512-3-1In89.589901No2,097*
1212-4-0In74.574202030No37,593
11-3-2In73.1732016No167
11.511-4-1In60.360294070No6,473*
1111-5-0100.0%36.6373711113100No90,027
10-4-299.837.037381211200No524
10.510-5-199.918.018372032030No14,056
9-4-3In21.421391425No28
1010-6-098.06.16232692410200No165,507
9-5-298.06.6724258251020No973*
9.59-6-192.50.819231624206100No23,547
8-5-395.12.4210201517325No41*
99-7-068.50.102121813231993000No235,962
8-6-269.60.2021318122521721No1,533*
8.58-7-137.00.000415315262311300No29,854
7-6-326.4No415262526176No53
88-8-014.60.00019141322231682000No266,429
7-7-213.0No1704142326157200No1,722
7.57-8-13.7No030029212823113000No30,339
6-7-3OutNo24183127108No49
77-9-01.4No01002716242516710No237,336
6-8-21.1No0102616252517610No1,459*
6.56-9-10.3No000312263121710.0%23,257
5-8-3OutNo173017269No46
66-10-00.1No000141225312160.2165,687
5-9-20.1No0021025332270.21,025*
5.55-10-1OutNo002113039181.813,958
4-9-3OutNo411194422No27
55-11-0OutNo001418413611.190,440
4-10-2OutNo0418433410.4480
4.54-11-1OutNo06336031.46,341
3-10-3OutNo20107040.010
44-12-0OutNo003237451.637,705
3-11-2OutNo3227550.0192*
3.53-12-1OutNo0118874.52,133
33-13-0OutNo069485.711,610
2-12-2OutNo49689.849
2.52-13-1OutNo29894.4539*
22-14-0OutNo19997.62,544
1-13-2OutNo100Yes7
1.51-14-1OutNo10098.674
11-15-0OutNo0100Yes317
0.50-15-1OutNo100Yes4
00-16-0OutNo19999.2132
Total:37.4%6.2%66666666666666663.1%1,517,488

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Lottery seed
Patriots vs Texans+2.1-0.0-2.1
NY Giants vs Jaguars-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Browns vs Steelers-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Dolphins vs Titans-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Panthers vs Cowboys+0.1-0.0-0.1
Ravens vs Bills+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Eagles vs Falcons-0.1+0.0+0.1
Cardinals vs Redskins+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Raiders vs LA Rams+0.0+0.1-0.0
Broncos vs Seahawks-0.0*-0.2+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
Titans vs Texans+2.3-0.2-2.3
Redskins vs Colts-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Jaguars vs Patriots+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Bills vs LA Chargers-0.1*-0.2+0.1
Broncos vs Raiders-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Buccaneers vs Eagles+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
15-16100
14.514-1-1991
1414-2-09811
13-1-2100
13.513-2-197210
1313-3-08785000
12-2-283134
12.512-3-178129001
1212-4-0512320120300
11-3-254192016
11.511-4-1312927240600
1111-5-0112527101111121100
10-4-212252611111111100
10.510-5-12161917172301733000
9-4-3418251414187
1010-6-0066171698115991200
9-5-20661815117017810120
9.59-6-11098151339151736100
8-5-3210207712529222
99-7-00022101082111112141052000
8-6-2022111082101114168520
8.58-7-1000341103114102018104100
7-6-34882249192898
88-8-000011701042611151614116310000
7-7-21170042712151615116210
7.57-8-10030000261321231793100
6-7-314141222181422
77-9-00010000125101417171410521000
6-8-201012591518181785200
6.56-9-100013101925221351000
5-8-374152830114
66-10-000000251117212014720
5-9-2000241116192216720
5.55-10-1001310212924102
4-9-37415223319
55-11-000013920302711
4-10-214920312610
4.54-11-1016214131
3-10-310104040
44-12-0002113552
3-11-22143550
3.53-12-1022375
33-13-0011386
2-12-22890
2.52-13-1694
22-14-00298
1-13-2100
1.51-14-1199
0.5-1100
00-16-0199
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333
Updated Saturday, 2023-10-21 11:15 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)