SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Being true to yourself,
80’s style

New Orleans Playoff Chances 2018-2019 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.4%
0-0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Conf100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Saints vs Buccaneers+10.5*-0.2-10.5
+2.9*-0.3-2.9
-1.6*-0.3+1.6
+1.2+0.0-1.2
Panthers vs Cowboys-0.8*-0.0+0.8
-0.1*+0.2+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Eagles vs Falcons+0.8*-0.3-0.8
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Broncos vs Seahawks+0.3*-0.2-0.3
+0.2*-0.3-0.2
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Raiders vs LA Rams+0.3*+0.1-0.3
+0.1*-0.5-0.1
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Lions vs NY Jets-0.3*-0.3+0.3
-0.2*-0.1+0.2
NY Giants vs Jaguars-0.2*+0.2+0.2
-0.1*-0.4+0.1
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Cardinals vs Redskins-0.1*+0.3+0.1
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Colts vs Bengals+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Ravens vs Bills-0.1*+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Conf100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Saints vs Browns+7.4*-0.7-7.4
+2.3*-0.5-2.3
-1.6*-0.2+1.6
+0.8*-0.1-0.8
Buccaneers vs Eagles-0.7*+0.3+0.7
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Redskins vs Colts-0.3*-0.3+0.3
-0.1*-0.4+0.1
-0.1*-0.2+0.1
Packers vs Vikings+0.1*+0.2-0.1
LA Rams vs Cardinals-0.1*+0.2+0.1
Steelers vs Chiefs-0.1*-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Saints finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed1st
TWW-L-TplayoffsConf12345678910111213141516PickCount
15.5-16InYes100No148*
1515-1-0In99.7%1000No349
14.514-1-1In98.6991No74
1414-2-0In98.79910No2,535
13-1-2In91.7928No12
13.513-2-1In98.29820No489
1313-3-0In93.493601No11,600
12-2-2In97.8982No46
12.512-3-1In89.0891001No2,027*
1212-4-0In74.274202040No37,538
11-3-2In74.3742122No179
11.511-4-1In59.860293070No6,422
10-3-3In75.07525No8
1111-5-0100.0%36.937371111310No89,874
10-4-2In37.13737121120No498*
10.510-5-199.918.218371932020No14,091
9-4-3In11.5124227812No26
1010-6-097.96.062326924102000No165,012
9-5-298.95.6625259261010No1,035*
9.59-6-192.50.81924152320610No23,404
8-5-395.3No9231628195No43
99-7-068.50.102121813231993000No236,615
8-6-267.70.1021318112421920No1,493*
8.58-7-136.60.000315315262311300No30,159
7-6-347.7No92021623141122No44
88-8-014.6No019141322231682000No266,252
7-7-214.3No1914122323169210No1,716*
7.57-8-13.7No0302820282311300No29,925
6-7-38.2No82133421183No61
77-9-01.3No010002716242516710No236,214
6-8-20.5No101617242817510No1,502*
6.56-9-10.3No000031125312171No23,561
5-8-3OutNo6295015No34
66-10-00.1No000131225312260.3%166,469
5-9-2OutNo03112533217No1,034*
5.55-10-1OutNo002113139181.714,099
4-9-3OutNo373141173.429
55-11-0OutNo01418413711.190,697
4-10-2OutNo1417403912.2501
4.54-11-1OutNo016336031.26,424*
44-12-0OutNo03227551.437,680
3-11-2OutNo1227750.3175
3.53-12-1OutNo0118975.22,195*
33-13-0OutNo069485.611,700
2-12-2OutNo99176.146
2.52-13-1OutNo29895.5488
22-14-0OutNo19997.42,425
1-13-2OutNo100Yes11
1.51-14-1OutNo19998.567
0-1OutNo100Yes462*
Total:37.4%6.2%66666666666666663.1%1,517,488

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Lottery seed
Saints vs Buccaneers-2.3-0.1+2.3
Broncos vs Seahawks-0.0+0.2+0.0
Eagles vs Falcons-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Panthers vs Cowboys+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Cardinals vs Redskins+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Vikings vs 49ers-0.1*+0.2+0.1
Ravens vs Bills-0.1*+0.1+0.0
Lions vs NY Jets+0.0*+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
Saints vs Browns-2.0+0.1+2.0
LA Rams vs Cardinals-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Packers vs Vikings+0.1*-0.2-0.1
Buccaneers vs Eagles+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Redskins vs Colts-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Steelers vs Chiefs-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
15.5-16100
1515-1-09900
14.514-1-1991
1414-2-097210
13-1-2928
13.513-2-194420
1313-3-08686001
12-2-28992
12.512-3-1751410001
1212-4-05123201200400
11-3-2532120122
11.511-4-13129272300700
10-3-3255025
1111-5-01126271011110121100
10-4-21126251312011110
10.510-5-121619181823017320
9-4-3121527234812
1010-6-0066171698115991200
9-5-205718159901799110
9.59-6-11098161338151736100
8-5-3912129712161455
99-7-000221010821111131410520000
8-6-202111107210121215124100
8.58-7-1000341103113111919103100
7-6-3991121671116145
88-8-0001170104261115161411631000
7-7-201181032512161614115210
7.57-8-10030000261321231793100
6-7-3835820182188
77-9-000100000125101417171410521000
6-8-21016914181716115210
6.56-9-10001310182522136100
5-8-339181841633
66-10-000000251117212014720
5-9-2002591723211562
5.55-10-1001310213023102
4-9-33313417103
55-11-00013920302711
4-10-213819312812
4.54-11-1016214131
44-12-0002113651
3-11-21123750
3.53-12-122275
33-13-00011386
2-12-222276
2.52-13-1595
22-14-00397
1-13-2100
1.51-14-1199
0-1100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333
Updated Saturday, 2023-10-21 11:15 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)