SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

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Washington Playoff Chances 2018-2019 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%
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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Conf100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Cardinals vs Redskins-8.8*-0.5+8.9
-3.1*-0.5+3.1
+1.7*-0.4-1.7
-1.1*-0.0+1.1
NY Giants vs Jaguars-1.1*+1.1+1.1
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
-0.1*-0.2+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Panthers vs Cowboys+0.8*+0.7-0.8
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Eagles vs Falcons-0.8*-0.1+0.8
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Lions vs NY Jets-0.4*-0.3+0.4
-0.2*+0.0+0.2
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Raiders vs LA Rams+0.3*+0.4-0.3
+0.2*-0.3-0.2
Broncos vs Seahawks+0.3*+0.0-0.3
+0.2*-0.0-0.2
Packers vs Bears+0.1*-0.1-0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Patriots vs Texans+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Colts vs Bengals-0.1*-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Conf100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Redskins vs Colts+7.4*-0.4-7.3
+2.3*-0.4-2.3
-1.6*-0.5+1.7
+0.8*+0.0-0.8
Buccaneers vs Eagles+0.8*-0.9-0.8
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Saints vs Browns-0.3*+0.5+0.3
-0.2*+0.5+0.2
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Packers vs Vikings-0.1*+0.1+0.1
LA Rams vs Cardinals+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Jaguars vs Patriots-0.1*+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Redskins finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed1st
TWW-L-TplayoffsConf12345678910111213141516PickCount
14.5-16InYes100No541*
1414-2-0In99.2%9910No2,491
13-1-2InYes100No8
13.513-2-1In98.39820No531
1313-3-0In93.694601No11,620
12-2-2In94.09442No50
12.512-3-1In89.589901No2,146
1212-4-0In74.975202030No37,800
11-3-2In73.0732024No163
11.511-4-1In60.060304060No6,410
10-3-3In63.6641818No11
1111-5-0100.0%36.436381211310No90,740
10-4-299.836.036391111220No481
10.510-5-199.917.618372032030No13,951
9-4-3In13.614559518No22
1010-6-097.96.16232692410200No165,000
9-5-297.94.9524288231020No919*
9.59-6-192.20.819231623207100No23,403
8-5-396.6No10281721213No29
99-7-068.40.1021218132319930000No236,905
8-6-273.30.1031417152518720No1,515
7-5-4InNo5050No2
8.58-7-136.8No0315315262311300No30,169
7-6-344.0No41681624266No50
88-8-014.8No019141322231782000No265,938
7-7-215.8No1101514222217720No1,674*
7.57-8-13.6No03002820292311300No30,281
6-7-34.7No5928289192No43
77-9-01.4No01002716242516610No237,323
6-8-21.2No1002716242517720No1,450*
6.56-9-10.3No00031225312071No23,395
5-8-3OutNo163027235No44
66-10-00.1No000141225312160.3%165,356
5-9-20.1No0031326302170.2963*
5.55-10-10.0No0002113039181.914,200
4-9-3OutNo63631No16
55-11-0OutNo000418413711.190,026
4-10-2OutNo1417423611.4500
4.54-11-1OutNo017336030.36,362
3-10-3OutNo998236.411
44-12-0OutNo03237552.037,424
3-11-2OutNo01217753.7216*
3.53-12-1OutNo0118976.02,150
2-11-3OutNo10066.73
33-13-0OutNo069486.111,536
2-12-2OutNo39784.639
2.52-13-1OutNo29895.8476
22-14-0OutNo19997.42,560
1-13-2OutNo100Yes7
0-1.5OutNo10099.8538*
Total:37.5%6.3%66666666666666663.1%1,517,488

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Lottery seed
Cardinals vs Redskins+2.1+0.1-2.1
NY Giants vs Jaguars+0.1-0.1-0.1
Panthers vs Cowboys-0.1-0.1+0.1
Packers vs Bears-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Eagles vs Falcons+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Dolphins vs Titans+0.1*-0.2-0.1
Patriots vs Texans+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Colts vs Bengals-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Raiders vs LA Rams-0.0*-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
Redskins vs Colts-2.0-0.1+2.0
Buccaneers vs Eagles-0.1+0.1+0.1
Packers vs Vikings-0.1*+0.0+0.1
LA Rams vs Cardinals+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Jaguars vs Patriots-0.1*+0.0+0.0
Saints vs Browns-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
15.5-16100
1515-1-0991
14.514-1-1100
1414-2-098110
13.513-2-196220
1313-3-08686001
12-2-2821242
12.512-3-176149001
1212-4-0522319120300
11-3-2462720124
11.511-4-13030272400600
10-3-318451818
1111-5-0112527101101012110
10-4-21224281111111120
10.510-5-1216191818230173300
9-4-35932239518
1010-6-00661717981169912000
9-5-2057171810701589120
9.59-6-11098151338151747100
8-5-310324710147213
99-7-00022101082111112141052000
8-6-2002212983121214148410
8.58-7-100351103114112018104100
7-6-34214841261816124
88-8-0001170104261115161411631000
7-7-212810526111516151152100
7.57-8-100300000261321241893100
6-7-3571430211292
77-9-00010000125101417171410521000
6-8-210012491418161610521
6.56-9-10001410192422136100
5-8-3514163020142
66-10-000000251117212014720
5-9-20026917212213720
5.55-10-10001310212924102
4-9-3625193813
55-11-000013920302711
4-10-2003617352711
4.54-11-1016214230
3-10-3273636
44-12-0002113552
3-11-21123354
3.53-12-1032176
33-13-0011386
2-12-21585
2.52-13-10496
22-14-00397
1.51-14-1100
11-15-00100
0-0.5100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333
Updated Saturday, 2023-10-21 11:15 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)