How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Conf100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Raiders vs LA Rams+7.4*-0.4-7.4
+2.3*-0.6-2.3
-1.7*-0.1+1.7
+0.8*-0.0-0.8
Broncos vs Seahawks-1.2*+0.5+1.2
-0.1*-0.3+0.1
-0.1*-0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
NY Giants vs Jaguars+0.4*+0.6-0.4
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Lions vs NY Jets+0.3*-0.1-0.3
+0.2*-0.3-0.2
Dolphins vs Titans+0.1*+0.1-0.1
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Cardinals vs Redskins-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Ravens vs Bills-0.1*-0.2+0.1
Vikings vs 49ers+0.1*+0.2-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Conf100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Broncos vs Raiders-10.5*-0.3+10.5
-2.9*-0.4+2.9
+1.6*-0.3-1.6
-1.2*-0.0+1.2
Steelers vs Chiefs+0.9*+0.5-0.9
+0.1*+0.2-0.1
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Bills vs LA Chargers+0.7*+0.4-0.7
-0.1*+0.2+0.1
+0.1*+0.2-0.2
Redskins vs Colts+0.3*+0.1-0.3
+0.2*+0.1-0.2
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Saints vs Browns+0.3*-0.0-0.3
+0.2*-0.2-0.2
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
NY Jets vs Dolphins+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Bears vs Seahawks+0.1*-0.4-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Raiders finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed1st
TWW-L-TplayoffsConf12345678910111213141516PickCount
15.5-16InYes100No144*
1515-1-0In99.7%1000No325*
14.514-1-1InYes100No75
1414-2-0In98.4982No2,494
13-1-2InYes100No6
13.513-2-1In98.8991No499
1313-3-0In93.694601No11,694
12-2-2In95.8964No48
12.512-3-1In88.4881001No2,090*
1212-4-0In74.775202030No37,542
11-3-2In77.7781732No179
11.511-4-1In58.859314060No6,467
10-3-3In55.6563311No9
1111-5-0100.0%36.737371211310No90,728
10-4-2In34.83542121101No497
10.510-5-199.918.2183720319300No14,087
9-4-3In18.5194422114No27
1010-6-098.06.06232692410200No165,349
9-5-297.66.262227924921No999
9.59-6-192.40.819241623207100No23,460
8-5-386.51.921219191915122No52
99-7-068.40.1021218132319930000No236,592
8-6-270.10.1021217142419820No1,461*
8.58-7-136.70.000315315262311300No29,608
7-6-340.0No26311282211No65
88-8-014.5No019141322231682000No266,186
7-7-214.7No1905132323167300No1,744*
7.57-8-13.6No03002920282311300No29,957
6-7-33.3No3112325201152No61
77-9-01.3No010002716252516710No237,124
6-8-21.0No101716262515620No1,446
6.56-9-10.2No000312253121710.0%23,386
5-8-3OutNo581634325No38
66-10-00.1No000131225312160.3165,454
5-9-2OutNo041026331960.3991
5.55-10-1OutNo002103138181.813,956
4-9-3OutNo3342258.324
55-11-0OutNo000418413711.290,454
4-10-2OutNo0421413413.1535*
4.54-11-1OutNo016336031.16,268
3-10-3OutNo297114.37
44-12-0OutNo003227551.537,958
3-11-2OutNo1277353.1179
3.53-12-1OutNo0118975.22,109*
33-13-0OutNo069486.111,620
2-12-2OutNo138784.238
2.52-13-1OutNo29893.7505
22-14-0OutNo19997.42,404
1-13-2OutNo10092.914
0-1.5OutNo10099.6533*
Total:37.5%6.2%66666666666666663.1%1,517,488

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Lottery seed
Raiders vs LA Rams-2.0+0.1+2.0
Broncos vs Seahawks+0.1+0.0-0.1
Dolphins vs Titans-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Ravens vs Bills-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Cardinals vs Redskins-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Vikings vs 49ers+0.1*-0.1-0.1
NY Giants vs Jaguars-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Lions vs NY Jets-0.0*+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
Broncos vs Raiders+2.3+0.0-2.3
Steelers vs Chiefs-0.1*-0.1+0.1
NY Jets vs Dolphins+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Saints vs Browns+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Redskins vs Colts+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
15.5-16100
1515-1-01000
14.514-1-1100
1414-2-09722
13.513-2-19631
1313-3-0859601
12-2-28884
12.512-3-1761210001
1212-4-05123191200300
11-3-2591816132
11.511-4-13128282400600
10-3-322333311
1111-5-01125271011011211000
10-4-213223012121911
10.510-5-1216191818230173300
9-4-3192222194114
1010-6-0066171798115991200
9-5-206616189911699120
9.59-6-101099151338151636100
8-5-32124151368121513
99-7-000221010821111121410520000
8-6-20221198211121214104200
8.58-7-1000351103114112019103100
7-6-31214311151812122
88-8-00011701042611151614116310000
7-7-21180051612161614115210
7.57-8-100300000261321241893100
6-7-3351525211885
77-9-00010000012510141717151052100
6-8-2100125916171813115200
6.56-9-100014101925221461000
5-8-385162918213
66-10-00000251117212014720
5-9-226919192014820
5.55-10-101310212924102
4-9-38251729138
55-11-00013920302711
4-10-2121020272713
4.54-11-1016224031
44-12-0002113651
3-11-2383653
3.53-12-1022275
33-13-0011386
2-12-21684
2.52-13-1694
22-14-0397
1-13-2793
1.51-14-1199
11-15-00100
0-0.5100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333