SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Gracias

New England Playoff Chances 2018-2019 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%
0-0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Conf100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Patriots vs Texans+8.9*-0.3-8.9
+3.0*-0.4-3.0
-1.7*-0.3+1.7
+1.1*-0.0-1.1
Lions vs NY Jets+1.1*+0.4-1.2
+0.1*+0.2-0.1
+0.1+0.6-0.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Dolphins vs Titans-0.9*+0.6+0.8
-0.1*-0.3+0.1
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Ravens vs Bills+0.6*+0.5-0.6
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Raiders vs LA Rams-0.4*+0.2+0.4
-0.1*+0.4+0.1
NY Giants vs Jaguars+0.3*+0.1-0.3
+0.2*-0.3-0.2
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Broncos vs Seahawks-0.3*+0.6+0.3
-0.2*-0.1+0.2
Colts vs Bengals+0.1*+0.3-0.1
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Browns vs Steelers-0.1*+0.0+0.1
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
LA Chargers vs Chiefs+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Vikings vs 49ers-0.1*+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Conf100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Jaguars vs Patriots-8.7*+0.8+8.7
-3.0*-0.2+3.0
+1.6-0.6-1.6
-1.1+0.1+1.1
Bills vs LA Chargers-0.6*+0.4+0.6
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Saints vs Browns+0.3*-0.4-0.3
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Redskins vs Colts+0.3*+0.2-0.3
+0.1*+0.4-0.1
+0.1*+0.4-0.1
Bears vs Seahawks-0.1*+0.1+0.1
49ers vs Lions+0.1*-0.3-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Patriots finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed1st
TWW-L-TplayoffsConf12345678910111213141516PickCount
14.5-16InYes100No550*
1414-2-0In98.7%9910No2,484
13-1-2InYes100No10
13.513-2-1In97.49720No431
1313-3-0In93.694601No11,548
12-2-2In98.0982No49
12.512-3-1In88.4881001No2,157*
1212-4-0In74.875201030No37,846
11-3-2In72.37223113No177*
11.511-4-1In60.861294060No6,541
10-3-3In44.4443322No9
1111-5-0100.0%37.1373711113100No90,934
10-4-2In36.63740111111No528
10.510-5-199.918.118372031930No14,034
9-4-3In29.4293512618No17
1010-6-098.06.162326924102000No165,392
9-5-299.06.5723251124910No1,025
9.59-6-192.40.81924152321710No23,684
8-5-3InNo2116241821No38
99-7-068.10.102121812231993000No236,770
8-6-270.40.2011218132418920No1,516
7-5-450.050.05050No2
8.58-7-137.1No0315315262311300No30,184
7-6-343.1No3252142915652No65
88-8-014.6No019141322231682000No264,767
7-7-213.6No01715122425157200No1,695*
7.57-8-13.7No030028212823113000No30,228
6-7-32.9No113721312671No70
77-9-01.3No010002716242516610No236,773
6-8-20.8No1002516222719620No1,435*
6.56-9-10.3No000031225312171No23,285
5-8-3OutNo142235245No37
66-10-00.1No000131225312160.2%165,635
5-9-20.1No013102434226No1,050
4-8-4OutNo333333No3
5.55-10-1OutNo02113039181.814,094
4-9-3OutNo6443911No18
55-11-00.0No0000418413711.290,424
4-10-2OutNo0217404012.3496
4.54-11-1OutNo006336030.96,366
3-10-3OutNo20206040.05
44-12-0OutNo003237552.237,623
3-11-2OutNo2227654.0174
3.53-12-1OutNo00118974.42,108*
33-13-0OutNo069485.911,542
2-12-2OutNo109087.849
2.52-13-1OutNo29896.7485*
22-14-0OutNo19996.72,584
1-13-2OutNo100Yes7
0-1.5OutNo100Yes544*
Total:37.5%6.3%66666666666666663.1%1,517,488

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Lottery seed
Patriots vs Texans-2.1+0.0+2.1
Lions vs NY Jets-0.1+0.0+0.1
Dolphins vs Titans+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Browns vs Steelers+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Colts vs Bengals-0.1*-0.2+0.1
Vikings vs 49ers-0.1+0.0+0.1
LA Chargers vs Chiefs+0.1*-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
Jaguars vs Patriots+2.1-0.2-2.1
49ers vs Lions+0.1*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
14.5-16100
1414-2-098110
13-1-29010
13.513-2-194420
1313-3-0867601
12-2-29442
12.512-3-1751310001
1212-4-0522319110300
11-3-24725231113
11.511-4-1313027340600
10-3-322223322
1111-5-01226271011010121100
10-4-21324281210011011
10.510-5-1216191818230163300
9-4-329122412618
1010-6-00661716981159912000
9-5-20661815101011598110
9.59-6-1109815132815174610
8-5-331851124513165
99-7-000221010821011121510520000
8-6-201211108311111315104200
7-5-45050
8.58-7-10035110311411191810410
7-6-3361823111117178222
88-8-0001170104261115161411631000
7-7-201161515111717151063100
7.57-8-100300000261321231893100
6-7-31199292416101
77-9-000100000125101417171410521000
6-8-2101251015181814952100
6.56-9-1000149192522136100
5-8-3314112235143
66-10-000000251117212014720
5-9-20115101622201672
4-8-4333333
5.55-10-101310212924102
4-9-31117283311
55-11-0000013920302711
4-10-2131017273012
4.54-11-1015214231
3-10-3204040
44-12-0002113552
3-11-21183654
3.53-12-1032374
33-13-0011386
2-12-21288
2.52-13-1397
22-14-00397
1-13-2100
0-1.5100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333
Updated Saturday, 2023-10-21 11:15 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)