Los Angeles Chargers Playoff Chances 2018 50/50
Beat Oakland 20-6, playoff odds up 11 to 87.6%
7-2-0 .778
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/8 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Oakland 6 LA Chargers 20 | +9.6 | +0.7 | ||
| Pittsburgh 52 Carolina 21 | -1.1 | -0.0 | ||
| Cincinnati 14 New Orleans 51 | +1.0 | +0.0 | ||
| Green Bay 31 Miami 12 | +1.0 | +0.0 | ||
| Kansas City 26 Arizona 14 | -0.2 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| LA Chargers vs Denver | +7.2*+4.3-7.3 | +0.6*+0.2-0.6 | ||
| Washington vs Houston | +0.2*+2.4-0.2 | |||
| Indianapolis vs Tennessee | +0.2*-0.8-0.2 | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | ||
| Jacksonville vs Pittsburgh | +0.2*-1.4-0.2 | +0.0*+0.1-0.0 | ||
| LA Rams vs Kansas City | +0.2*+0.3-0.2 | |||
| Baltimore vs Cincinnati | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the LA Chargers finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 14 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 97 | 3 | 5,255 | |||||||||||||||||
| 13 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 96 | 4 | 23 | ||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 79 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 36,580 | |||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 71 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 175 | ||||||||||||||
| 12 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 41 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 51 | 110,031 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 30 | 8 | 2 | 60 | 436 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 81 | 1 | 0 | 183,416 | |||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 88 | 3 | 604 | ||||||||||||
| 10 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 98.5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 77 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 183,835 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 92.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 440 | |||||||||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 63.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 40 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 110,128 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 33.3 | 6 | 27 | 35 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 168 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 4.6 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 29 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 36,934 | ||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 3 | 13 | 26 | 35 | 23 | 31 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 5,270 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 87.6 | % | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 56 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 673,328 | ||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/8 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Oakland 6 LA Chargers 20 | -1.4 | |
| Kansas City 26 Arizona 14 | +0.3 | |
| NY Jets 10 Buffalo 41 | -0.0 | |
| Cleveland 28 Atlanta 16 | -0.0 | |
| Tennessee 34 New England 10 | -0.0 | |
| Green Bay 31 Miami 12 | -0.0 | |
| Cincinnati 14 New Orleans 51 | -0.0 | |
| Pittsburgh 52 Carolina 21 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| San Francisco vs NY Giants | -0.0-0.3+0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/15 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| LA Chargers vs Denver | -1.2*-0.3+1.2 | |
| LA Rams vs Kansas City | -0.3*-0.6+0.3 | |
| Baltimore vs Cincinnati | -0.0-0.2+0.0 | |
| Jacksonville vs Pittsburgh | -0.0-0.2+0.0 | |
| Detroit vs Carolina | -0.0*-0.1+0.0 | |
| Arizona vs Oakland | +0.0*-0.2-0.0 | |
| Seattle vs Green Bay | -0.0*+0.3+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 14 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 82 | 15 | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 78 | 17 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 42 | 36 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 30 | 41 | 1 | 1 | 27 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 8 | 33 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 51 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 2 | 29 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 59 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 73 | 8 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 73 | 15 | 3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 49 | 28 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 40 | 28 | 4 | 7 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 25 | 16 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 17 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 23 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 3 | 10 | 26 | 32 | 23 | 3 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 21 | 20 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:22 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
