Philadelphia Playoff Chances 2018-2019 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%
0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Conf100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Eagles vs Falcons+8.7*-0.8-8.7
+3.0-0.7-2.9
-1.6*-0.2+1.6
+1.1-0.0-1.1
NY Giants vs Jaguars-1.2*+0.1+1.2
-0.2*+0.2+0.2
-0.1*-0.2+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Panthers vs Cowboys+0.8*+0.2-0.8
+0.1*+0.3-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Cardinals vs Redskins+0.6*+0.1-0.6
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
+0.2*+0.1-0.2
Broncos vs Seahawks+0.4*+0.3-0.4
+0.2*-0.1-0.2
Raiders vs LA Rams+0.4*-0.3-0.4
+0.1*-0.2-0.1
+0.1*+0.2-0.1
Lions vs NY Jets-0.3*-0.8+0.3
-0.2*-0.2+0.2
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Vikings vs 49ers+0.1*-0.0-0.1
-0.1*-0.2+0.1
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Patriots vs Texans+0.1*+0.3-0.1
Dolphins vs Titans+0.1*-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Conf100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Buccaneers vs Eagles-8.8*-0.7+8.8
-3.0-0.8+3.0
+1.7*-0.3-1.6
-1.1-0.0+1.1
Redskins vs Colts-1.1*+0.5+1.1
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
-0.1*+0.2+0.1
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Saints vs Browns-0.2*-0.8+0.2
-0.1*-0.4+0.1
-0.1*+0.2+0.1
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Jaguars vs Patriots-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Packers vs Vikings+0.1*-0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Eagles finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed1st
TWW-L-TplayoffsConf12345678910111213141516PickCount
14.5-16InYes100No544*
1414-2-0In98.7%9910No2,480
13-1-2InYes100No6
13.513-2-1In97.9982No479
1313-3-0In93.894600No11,461
12-2-2In83.3831322No54
12.512-3-1In88.38810001No2,166*
1212-4-0In74.574202030No37,779
11-3-2In76.4762112No165
11.511-4-1In61.061294060No6,420
10-3-3In55.65611111111No9
1111-5-0100.0%36.336381211310No90,177
10-4-2In40.14034121111No531
10.510-5-199.918.218362031930No14,153
9-4-3In13.01339229134No23
1010-6-098.06.162326924102000No165,736
9-5-298.56.062525826910No979*
9.59-6-192.30.919241524207100No23,492
8-5-389.8No82914241482No49
99-7-068.40.102121813231993000No236,708
8-6-268.80.30212181125208210No1,442*
8.58-7-137.1No04163152623113000No30,251
7-6-335.6No514314322472No59
88-8-014.60.00019141322231782000No266,075
7-7-214.7No01915132324168200No1,702
7.57-8-13.7No030028212823113000No30,232
6-7-36.0No67272127101No67
77-9-01.4No010002716242416710No236,549
6-8-21.3No102518262417710No1,489
5-7-4OutNo100No2
6.56-9-10.2No00031225312171No23,287
5-8-3OutNo7163323147No43
66-10-00.1No000141225312260.3%166,007
5-9-2OutNo141123312460.2983
5.55-10-1OutNo002113039181.913,930
4-9-3OutNo714173824No29
55-11-00.0No001418413611.389,921
4-10-2OutNo0417433511.0534*
4.54-11-1OutNo06336131.46,422
3-10-3OutNo297142.97
44-12-0OutNo003237551.337,547
3-11-2OutNo4217551.6182
3.53-12-1OutNo0128875.42,153
2-11-3OutNo10066.73
33-13-0OutNo069485.511,522
2-12-2OutNo29879.649
2.52-13-1OutNo039793.1479
22-14-0OutNo19997.22,547
1-13-2OutNo100Yes9
0-1.5OutNo10099.8555*
Total:37.5%6.2%66666666666666663.1%1,517,488

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Lottery seed
Eagles vs Falcons-2.1+0.0+2.1
Vikings vs 49ers-0.1-0.2+0.1
NY Giants vs Jaguars+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Panthers vs Cowboys-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Colts vs Bengals-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Patriots vs Texans+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Raiders vs LA Rams+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Lions vs NY Jets+0.0*+0.2-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
Buccaneers vs Eagles+2.1+0.0-2.1
Redskins vs Colts+0.1-0.1-0.1
Jaguars vs Patriots-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Packers vs Vikings+0.1*-0.1-0.1
LA Rams vs Cardinals-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Saints vs Browns-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
15.5-16100
1515-1-01000
14.514-1-1100
1414-2-097210
13.513-2-19442
1313-3-0868600
12-2-27491322
12.512-3-1771210001
1212-4-05223201200300
11-3-251252112
11.511-4-13229272400600
10-3-3223311111111
1111-5-01125281011110121100
10-4-21030241012011011
10.510-5-121619171823017330
9-4-3492217229944
1010-6-006617169811591012000
9-5-2066181510801798110
9.59-6-1109815133915173610
8-5-38141414101412282
99-7-0002210108211111215105200000
8-6-20221010811012131410520
8.58-7-100451103113102018104100
7-6-352123310171912125
88-8-000011701042611151614116310000
7-7-201181042611151615107310
7.57-8-100300000261421231793100
6-7-361321162812713
77-9-000100000125101417171410521000
6-8-210025101516191396200
6.56-9-10001410182422146100
5-8-371228237167
66-10-000000251117212014720
5-9-2011510152019161030
5.55-10-1000310212924102
4-9-37321283110
55-11-000013920302711
4-10-202919283111
4.54-11-1016214131
44-12-0002113651
3-11-2283852
3.53-12-1022375
33-13-0011486
2-12-22080
2.52-13-11693
22-14-00397
1-13-2100
1.51-14-1100
11-15-00100
0-0.5100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333