SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Gracias

Tampa Bay Playoff Chances 2018-2019 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%
0-0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Conf100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Saints vs Buccaneers-10.5-1.7+10.6
-2.9*-0.5+3.0
+1.6*-0.2-1.6
-1.2-0.1+1.2
NY Giants vs Jaguars-0.3-1.6+0.3
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
-0.1*+0.2+0.1
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Eagles vs Falcons+0.8*-0.0-0.8
+0.1*+0.4-0.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Panthers vs Cowboys-0.8*+0.4+0.8
-0.1*-0.2+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Raiders vs LA Rams+0.4*-0.1-0.4
+0.2*+0.1-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Broncos vs Seahawks+0.3*+0.4-0.3
+0.1*+0.6-0.1
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Lions vs NY Jets-0.3*-0.5+0.3
-0.2*+0.1+0.2
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Cardinals vs Redskins-0.1*+0.0+0.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Vikings vs 49ers+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Ravens vs Bills-0.1*+0.2+0.1
Packers vs Bears+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Colts vs Bengals+0.1*+0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Conf100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Buccaneers vs Eagles+8.8*-1.2-8.8
+3.0*-0.6-3.0
-1.6*-0.0+1.6
+1.1*-0.1-1.1
Saints vs Browns-1.1*+0.3+1.1
-0.2*+0.0+0.2
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Redskins vs Colts-0.2*-0.3+0.2
-0.1*+0.3+0.1
-0.1*+0.2+0.1
49ers vs Lions-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Bears vs Seahawks-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Steelers vs Chiefs-0.1*-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Buccaneers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed1st
TWW-L-TplayoffsConf12345678910111213141516PickCount
14.5-16InYes100No549*
1414-2-0In99.0%9910No2,512
13-1-2InYes100No10
13.513-2-1In98.1982No517
1313-3-0In93.794600No11,495
12-2-2In95.59522No44
12.512-3-1In88.0881101No2,134*
1212-4-0In74.775202030No37,702
11-3-2In72.1722412No165
11.511-4-1In60.260303060No6,417
10-3-3In75.07525No8
1111-5-0100.0%36.737371111310No90,377
10-4-2In34.83537121141No503*
10.510-5-199.818.5193720319300No14,039
9-4-3In28.6292518425No28
1010-6-097.96.062326924102000No165,361
9-5-298.25.0524278231120No1,013*
9.59-6-192.30.91923152320710No23,273
8-5-389.7No102323132110No39
99-7-068.40.1021218132319930000No236,358
8-6-269.40.1021416132419931No1,497*
8.58-7-136.5No03153152623113100No29,986
7-6-335.8No616112242776No67
88-8-014.7No0191413222316820000No266,590
7-7-213.6No0090313242316821No1,681*
7.57-8-13.7No0302920282311300No30,047
6-7-3OutNo833272444No49
77-9-01.4No010002716252516710No236,087
6-8-21.2No102615242716610No1,468*
6.56-9-10.3No00031225312171No23,522
5-8-3OutNo21132182772No44
66-10-00.1No0000131225312160.2%166,199
5-9-20.2No00031024342260.21,010
5.55-10-10.0No0002113039181.814,154
4-9-3OutNo618184118No17
55-11-00.0No000418413711.090,143
4-10-2OutNo0320413611.0528
4.54-11-1OutNo016326131.56,365
3-10-3OutNo11335611.19
44-12-0OutNo003237552.137,892
3-11-2OutNo2197955.4177
3.53-12-1OutNo0118975.12,186*
33-13-0OutNo069485.511,642
2-12-2OutNo118975.737
2.52-13-1OutNo39794.5491*
22-14-0OutNo19997.72,519
1-13-2OutNo100Yes9
0-1.5OutNo100Yes528*
Total:37.5%6.3%66666666666666663.1%1,517,488

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Lottery seed
Saints vs Buccaneers+2.3+0.2-2.3
Vikings vs 49ers+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Eagles vs Falcons-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Packers vs Bears+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Cardinals vs Redskins+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Panthers vs Cowboys+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Ravens vs Bills-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Colts vs Bengals+0.1*-0.0-0.1
NY Giants vs Jaguars-0.0*+0.2+0.0
Lions vs NY Jets+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Broncos vs Seahawks-0.0*-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
Buccaneers vs Eagles-2.1+0.2+2.1
49ers vs Lions-0.1-0.3+0.1
Saints vs Browns+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Steelers vs Chiefs-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Bears vs Seahawks-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Redskins vs Colts-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
14.5-16100
1414-2-097210
13-1-2100
13.513-2-19622
1313-3-08686000
12-2-286922
12.512-3-1751311001
1212-4-0522319120300
11-3-2472524112
11.511-4-1303028230600
10-3-3383825
1111-5-01125271011110121100
10-4-2122328811111311
10.510-5-12171918172301733000
9-4-37211114144425
1010-6-0066171798115991200
9-5-20551916118115810110
9.59-6-10109815132915164710
8-5-3101310238518310
99-7-000221010821111131410520000
8-6-20023119721111131486210
8.58-7-100351103113112018104100
7-6-3661011272424611
88-8-0001170104261115161411631000
7-7-200280326131517151073100
7.57-8-1003000261321231793100
6-7-321020142914622
77-9-000100000125101417171410521000
6-8-2101259161519141152100
6.56-9-1000139182522135100
5-8-327216232714522
66-10-000000251117212014720
5-9-200251216202215620
5.55-10-10001310223023112
4-9-3122435246
55-11-000013920302711
4-10-203922292511
4.54-11-10016214131
3-10-31122223311
44-12-0002113552
3-11-22103355
3.53-12-1022375
33-13-0011486
2-12-22476
2.52-13-1595
22-14-00298
1-13-2100
0-1.5100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333
Updated Saturday, 2023-10-21 11:15 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)