SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

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Denver Playoff Chances 2018-2019 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%
0-0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Conf100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Broncos vs Seahawks+7.4*+0.1-7.4
+2.3*-0.3-2.3
-1.6*-0.0+1.7
+0.8*+0.0-0.8
Raiders vs LA Rams-1.1*+0.2+1.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
-0.1*-0.2+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
NY Giants vs Jaguars+0.4*+0.4-0.4
+0.2*-0.1-0.2
Lions vs NY Jets+0.3*+0.3-0.3
+0.2*-0.5-0.1
+0.1*-0.2-0.1
Patriots vs Texans-0.1*+0.0+0.1
+0.1*-0.2-0.1
Colts vs Bengals+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Ravens vs Bills-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Cardinals vs Redskins-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Vikings vs 49ers+0.1*+0.3-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Conf100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Broncos vs Raiders+10.5*-0.1-10.5
+2.9*-0.4-2.9
-1.6*-0.0+1.6
+1.2+0.0-1.2
Steelers vs Chiefs+0.8*-0.2-0.8
+0.1*-0.3-0.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Bills vs LA Chargers+0.6*+0.1-0.6
-0.1*+0.4+0.1
+0.1*-0.2-0.1
Saints vs Browns+0.3*-0.6-0.3
+0.1*+0.3-0.1
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Redskins vs Colts+0.3*+0.3-0.3
+0.2*-0.1-0.2
49ers vs Lions-0.1*+0.2+0.1
Bears vs Seahawks+0.1*-0.2-0.1
NY Jets vs Dolphins-0.1*-0.3+0.1
Titans vs Texans+0.1*+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Broncos finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed1st
TWW-L-TplayoffsConf12345678910111213141516PickCount
15-16InYes100No462*
14.514-1-1In98.7%991No76
1414-2-0In99.1991No2,517
13-1-2InYes100No9
13.513-2-1In97.39720No488
1313-3-0In93.293601No11,583
12-2-2In90.79172No43
12.512-3-1In88.8891001No2,107*
1212-4-0In74.575202030No37,818
11-3-2In68.8692334No202
11.511-4-1In59.159304060No6,469
10-3-3In80.08020No10
1111-5-0100.0%36.536371111310No90,520
10-4-2In35.23538101151No520
10.510-5-199.918.218362032030No13,979
9-4-3In20.020402416No25
1010-6-098.06.16222692410200No165,053
9-5-298.25.66212810221120No958*
9.59-6-192.30.919241523207100No23,304
8-5-396.21.9212211315334No52
99-7-068.40.102121813231993000No236,918
8-6-269.30.1021218142320820No1,560
8.58-7-137.1No0415315262311300No30,251
7-6-330.0No221448222412102No50
88-8-014.6No019141322231782000No266,489
7-7-213.5No180413232316921No1,720
7.57-8-13.6No030028212823113000No29,929
6-7-3OutNo2199263284No53
77-9-01.3No010002716252516710No236,091
6-8-21.1No10161626261661No1,478
6.56-9-10.3No000312253121710.0%23,178
5-8-3OutNo2462935186No49
66-10-00.1No000141225312160.3166,276
5-9-20.1No0012132831205No1,019
5.55-10-1OutNo002113039181.913,940
4-9-3OutNo92630354.323
55-11-0OutNo00418413711.190,068
4-10-2OutNo0319423511.9513*
4.54-11-1OutNo06336030.56,269
3-10-3OutNo633837.58
44-12-0OutNo03227551.837,953
3-11-2OutNo1168462.5152*
3.53-12-1OutNo00138774.22,088*
33-13-0OutNo069386.011,669
2-12-2OutNo99182.156
2.52-13-1OutNo29896.1493*
22-14-0OutNo19997.32,426*
1.51-14-1OutNo100Yes66
11-15-0OutNo010099.4362
0-0.5OutNo100Yes146*
Total:37.5%6.2%66666666666666663.1%1,517,488

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Lottery seed
Broncos vs Seahawks-2.0-0.1+2.0
Raiders vs LA Rams+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Patriots vs Texans+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Colts vs Bengals+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Vikings vs 49ers+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Cardinals vs Redskins-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Ravens vs Bills-0.0*-0.1+0.0
NY Giants vs Jaguars-0.0*-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
Broncos vs Raiders-2.3-0.1+2.3
Steelers vs Chiefs-0.1*+0.0+0.1
49ers vs Lions-0.1*-0.0+0.1
NY Jets vs Dolphins-0.1-0.0+0.1
Titans vs Texans+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Bears vs Seahawks+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Saints vs Browns+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
15-16100
14.514-1-19711
1414-2-09721
13-1-2100
13.513-2-195320
1313-3-08686001
12-2-29172
12.512-3-1761310001
1212-4-05123201200300
11-3-2501923034
11.511-4-13228282400600
10-3-3503020
1111-5-01125271011110121100
10-4-21323261210111411
10.510-5-1216191718230173300
9-4-320241620488
1010-6-00661717981159912000
9-5-205516171110015811120
9.59-6-11098151328151736100
8-5-3221061568610231022
99-7-000221010821111131410520000
8-6-20221010821211121411411
8.58-7-100451103114112018104100
7-6-32241042662018206
88-8-00011801042611151614116310000
7-7-2117042611151715116210
7.57-8-100300000261421231893100
6-7-3649192521116
77-9-000100000125101417171410521000
6-8-210012591519171584100
6.56-9-100014101924221351000
5-8-3226202427162
66-10-00000251117212014720
5-9-20116111621211472
5.55-10-1001310222924102
4-9-344301326174
55-11-000013920302711
4-10-213920292712
4.54-11-10016224130
3-10-3253838
44-12-0002113552
3-11-2372863
3.53-12-1022474
33-13-0011386
2-12-21882
2.52-13-10496
22-14-00397
1.51-14-1100
11-15-0199
0-0.5100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333
Updated Saturday, 2023-10-21 11:15 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)