Buffalo Playoff Chances 2018-2019 50/50Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.4% 0-0-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 9/6 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Conf | 100.0* | 1st Pick | 100.0* | Average seed | Ravens vs Bills | -8.8*-0.7+8.8 | | -3.0-0.7+3.0 | | +1.7*-0.3-1.7 | | -1.1-0.0+1.1 | | Lions vs NY Jets | +1.1*-0.1-1.1 | | +0.1*+0.3-0.1 | | +0.1*-0.4-0.1 | | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | Dolphins vs Titans | -0.8*-0.0+0.8 | | | | -0.1*+0.4+0.1 | | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | Patriots vs Texans | -0.8*+0.1+0.8 | | | | -0.1*+0.3+0.1 | | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | NY Giants vs Jaguars | +0.4*-0.3-0.4 | | +0.2*-0.2-0.2 | | | | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | Broncos vs Seahawks | -0.3*+1.1+0.3 | | -0.1*-0.2+0.1 | | | | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | | Raiders vs LA Rams | -0.3*+0.1+0.3 | | -0.2*+0.1+0.2 | | | | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | | LA Chargers vs Chiefs | | | | | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | | | | Colts vs Bengals | | | | | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | | | | Vikings vs 49ers | | | | | -0.1*-0.2+0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 9/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Conf | 100.0* | 1st Pick | 100.0* | Average seed | Bills vs LA Chargers | +8.8*-0.7-8.7 | | +3.0-0.7-3.0 | | -1.7*-0.3+1.7 | | +1.1-0.0-1.1 | | Jaguars vs Patriots | +0.8*-0.2-0.8 | | | | | | +0.1*-0.1-0.1 | | Saints vs Browns | +0.4*+0.0-0.4 | | +0.2*+0.0-0.2 | | | | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | Redskins vs Colts | +0.3*-0.8-0.3 | | +0.2*+0.1-0.2 | | +0.1*+0.2-0.1 | | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | | Bengals vs Ravens | | | | | +0.1*-0.1-0.1 | | | | 49ers vs Lions | | | | | +0.1*+0.2-0.1 | | | | Bears vs Seahawks | | | | | -0.1*+0.2+0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Bills finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | | Chance will finish regular season at seed | 1st | | TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | Conf | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Pick | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14.5 | -16 | | In | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 528 | * | 14 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 98.9 | % | 99 | 1 | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,487 | | | 13 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 90.0 | | 90 | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10 | | 13 | .5 | 13 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 98.4 | | 98 | 1 | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 488 | * | 13 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 93.6 | | 94 | 6 | 0 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,578 | | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 97.4 | | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 39 | | 12 | .5 | 12 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 88.9 | | 89 | 10 | 0 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,089 | * | 12 | | 12 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 75.0 | | 75 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 37,522 | | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | 74.3 | | 74 | 21 | 1 | | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 187 | | 11 | .5 | 11 | - | 4 | - | 1 | In | 59.1 | | 59 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,437 | | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 3 | In | 50.0 | | 50 | 31 | 6 | | 13 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 16 | | 11 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 100.0 | | 36.8 | | 37 | 37 | 12 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 90,371 | | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 2 | In | 35.3 | | 35 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 13 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 490 | | 10 | .5 | 10 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 99.8 | | 18.2 | | 18 | 36 | 20 | 3 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 13,953 | | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 3 | In | 28.6 | | 29 | 32 | 25 | | 11 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 28 | | 10 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 98.0 | | 6.0 | | 6 | 23 | 26 | 9 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 165,352 | | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 98.2 | | 5.9 | | 6 | 22 | 27 | 9 | 24 | 11 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 980 | * | 9 | .5 | 9 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 91.9 | | 0.8 | | 1 | 9 | 24 | 15 | 23 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 23,322 | | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 97.8 | | 2.2 | | 2 | 11 | 16 | 20 | 29 | 20 | | 2 | | | | | | | | | No | 45 | | 9 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 68.6 | | 0.1 | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 13 | 23 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 235,991 | | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 67.1 | | 0.1 | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 12 | 23 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | No | 1,491 | * | 8 | .5 | 8 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 36.5 | | No | | 0 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 15 | 27 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 30,040 | | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 35.5 | | No | | | 3 | 13 | 3 | 16 | 32 | 16 | 13 | 3 | | | | | | | No | 62 | | 8 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 14.6 | | No | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 23 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | No | 266,458 | | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 2 | 14.0 | | No | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 24 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 1,702 | | 7 | .5 | 7 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 3.6 | | No | | | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 28 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | No | 30,301 | | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 3 | 6.5 | | No | | | | 5 | | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 32 | 32 | 6 | | | | | No | 62 | | 7 | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 1.4 | | No | | | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 25 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | No | 236,651 | | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 2 | 1.3 | | No | | | | 1 | | | 0 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 26 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | No | 1,499 | | 6 | .5 | 6 | - | 9 | - | 1 | 0.3 | | No | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 1 | No | 23,487 | | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 9 | 14 | 43 | 29 | 3 | | No | 35 | | 6 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 0 | 0.1 | | No | | | | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 31 | 21 | 6 | 0.2 | % | 165,890 | | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 31 | 22 | 6 | 0.4 | | 971 | | 5 | .5 | 5 | - | 10 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | No | | | | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 39 | 18 | 2.0 | | 14,056 | | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | 26 | 52 | 10 | No | 31 | | 5 | | 5 | - | 11 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | No | | | | 0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 41 | 37 | 11.1 | | 90,769 | | | 4 | - | 10 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 17 | 44 | 37 | 11.6 | | 474 | | 4 | .5 | 4 | - | 11 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 61 | 31.0 | | 6,522 | | | 3 | - | 10 | - | 3 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | 92 | 53.8 | | 13 | | 4 | | 4 | - | 12 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 75 | 51.6 | | 37,612 | | | 3 | - | 11 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 3 | 18 | 79 | 54.5 | | 198 | | 3 | .5 | 3 | - | 12 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 11 | 89 | 74.8 | | 2,069 | * | 3 | | 3 | - | 13 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 93 | 86.0 | | 11,597 | | | 2 | - | 12 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 78.0 | | 41 | | 2 | .5 | 2 | - | 13 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 95.5 | | 468 | | 2 | | 2 | - | 14 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 97.6 | | 2,525 | | | 1 | - | 13 | - | 2 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 6 | | 1 | .5 | 1 | - | 14 | - | 1 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 66 | | 1 | | 1 | - | 15 | - | 0 | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 99.7 | | 337 | * | 0 | -0.5 | | Out | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 142 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 37.4 | % | 6.2 | % | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 3.1 | % | 1,517,488 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesIf winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 9/6 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Ravens vs Bills | +2.1+0.0-2.1 | | Lions vs NY Jets | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | Dolphins vs Titans | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | Patriots vs Texans | +0.1*-0.1-0.1 | | Vikings vs 49ers | -0.1*-0.1+0.1 | | LA Chargers vs Chiefs | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Colts vs Bengals | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | | Raiders vs LA Rams | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | | Broncos vs Seahawks | +0.0*-0.1-0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeTieAway | Week of 9/13 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Bills vs LA Chargers | -2.1+0.0+2.1 | | Bengals vs Ravens | +0.1*-0.1-0.1 | | Jaguars vs Patriots | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | | Bears vs Seahawks | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | 49ers vs Lions | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | Saints vs Browns | -0.0*+0.1+0.0 | | Redskins vs Colts | +0.0*+0.2-0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15.5 | -16 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | | 15 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | .5 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 98 | 1 | 1 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | .5 | 13 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 95 | 3 | 1 | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 86 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 90 | 8 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | .5 | 12 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 76 | 13 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | | 12 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 52 | 23 | 19 | 1 | 2 | | 0 | | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 48 | 27 | 20 | 2 | 1 | | | | 3 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | .5 | 11 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 19 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 6 | | | | 13 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 11 | 25 | 27 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 11 | 25 | 29 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 1 | | 13 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | .5 | 10 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 2 | 16 | 19 | 17 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 3 | | 29 | 14 | 18 | 21 | 4 | | | 11 | | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | .5 | 9 | - | 6 | - | 1 | | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 3 | | 2 | | 11 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 18 | 2 | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 2 | | 0 | | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | .5 | 8 | - | 7 | - | 1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 3 | | | | | | 3 | 3 | 10 | | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 27 | 13 | 10 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 2 | | | | 0 | | 1 | 1 | 7 | | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 7 | .5 | 7 | - | 8 | - | 1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 23 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | 5 | | | | 2 | | | | | 8 | 16 | 18 | 27 | 13 | 10 | | 2 | | | | | | | | | 7 | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 6 | .5 | 6 | - | 9 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 24 | 22 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 20 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 3 | | | 6 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 21 | 20 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .5 | 5 | - | 10 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 29 | 24 | 10 | 2 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 32 | 32 | 23 | 6 | | 5 | | 5 | - | 11 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 30 | 27 | 11 | | 4 | - | 10 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 3 | 11 | 18 | 29 | 27 | 12 | 4 | .5 | 4 | - | 11 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 42 | 31 | | 3 | - | 10 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | 31 | 54 | 4 | | 4 | - | 12 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 36 | 52 | | 3 | - | 11 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 55 | 3 | .5 | 3 | - | 12 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 23 | 75 | 3 | | 3 | - | 13 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 86 | | 2 | - | 12 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 22 | 78 | 2 | .5 | 2 | - | 13 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 96 | 2 | | 2 | - | 14 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | 1 | .5 | 1 | - | 14 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 1 | | 1 | - | 15 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 0 | -0.5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
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