SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Hurt

Cincinnati Playoff Chances 2018-2019 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%
0-0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Conf100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Colts vs Bengals-8.8-1.4+8.8
-3.0-0.7+3.0
+1.7*-0.3-1.6
-1.1-0.1+1.1
Ravens vs Bills-0.6*+0.1+0.6
+0.1*+0.2-0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Lions vs NY Jets+0.4*-0.3-0.4
+0.2*+0.2-0.2
NY Giants vs Jaguars+0.3*-0.0-0.3
+0.1*-0.3-0.1
Raiders vs LA Rams-0.3*+0.2+0.3
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Broncos vs Seahawks-0.3*+0.1+0.3
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Panthers vs Cowboys-0.1*+0.2+0.1
Eagles vs Falcons+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Dolphins vs Titans-0.1*-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Conf100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Bengals vs Ravens+10.5*-0.6-10.5
+2.9*-0.2-2.9
-1.6*-0.3+1.6
+1.2-0.0-1.2
Saints vs Browns+1.2*+0.4-1.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.1*+0.2-0.1
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Steelers vs Chiefs-0.8*-0.1+0.8
-0.1*-0.2+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Redskins vs Colts+0.4*-0.1-0.4
+0.2*-0.2-0.2
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Bills vs LA Chargers-0.1*-0.3+0.1
+0.1*+0.2-0.1
NY Jets vs Dolphins+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Buccaneers vs Eagles-0.1*+0.3+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bengals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed1st
TWW-L-TplayoffsConf12345678910111213141516PickCount
15-16InYes100No469*
14.514-1-1In97.4%973No76
1414-2-0In98.79910No2,381
13-1-2InYes100No9
13.513-2-1In97.59720No513*
1313-3-0In93.794601No11,572
12-2-2In89.28911No37
12.512-3-1In89.0891001No2,180*
1212-4-0In74.975202030No37,721
11-3-2In77.5782021No178
11.511-4-1In60.260294070No6,351
10-3-3In72.773189No11
1111-5-0100.0%36.7373711113100No90,032
10-4-2In37.03739101120No484
10.510-5-199.917.7183820319300No14,059
9-4-3In14.8153719264No27
1010-6-097.96.062326925102000No165,984
9-5-298.36.562326924102No959
9.59-6-192.60.81924162320610No23,480
8-5-392.72.42103215171725No41
99-7-068.50.102121813231993000No236,489
8-6-268.50.2031316122420920No1,466*
8.58-7-137.0No0415315262311300No30,013
7-6-338.0No3184132527631No71
88-8-014.60.00019141322231782000No266,184
7-7-214.1No1815122124187200No1,684*
7.57-8-13.7No03002820292311300No30,235
6-7-33.4No325173424122No58
77-9-01.4No010002716252416710No237,045
6-8-21.2No100261724271571No1,452*
6.56-9-10.2No00031225312171No23,582
5-8-3OutNo21323332162No48
66-10-00.1No000141225312160.2%165,112
5-9-2OutNo0031125342340.3968
5.55-10-1OutNo002113139181.814,073
4-9-3OutNo133330236.730
55-11-0OutNo000418413711.290,104
4-10-2OutNo1319423611.0501
4.54-11-1OutNo016345930.86,383*
44-12-0OutNo003237551.737,894
3-11-2OutNo2227650.5194
3.53-12-1OutNo00118875.42,154*
33-13-0OutNo069485.711,506
2-12-2OutNo49686.853
2.52-13-1OutNo29895.9563*
22-14-0OutNo19997.62,509
1-13-2OutNo100Yes9
1.51-14-1OutNo19998.880
11-15-0OutNo010099.1328*
0-0.5OutNo100Yes136*
Total:37.5%6.2%66666666666666663.1%1,517,488

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Lottery seed
Colts vs Bengals+2.1+0.1-2.1
Dolphins vs Titans-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Panthers vs Cowboys-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Eagles vs Falcons+0.1*-0.0-0.1
NY Giants vs Jaguars-0.0*+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
Bengals vs Ravens-2.3+0.0+2.3
Saints vs Browns-0.1+0.0+0.1
Steelers vs Chiefs+0.1*+0.0-0.1
NY Jets vs Dolphins+0.1-0.1-0.1
Bills vs LA Chargers+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Buccaneers vs Eagles-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Redskins vs Colts+0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
15-16100
14.514-1-1973
1414-2-097210
13-1-28911
13.513-2-194320
1313-3-08686001
12-2-281811
12.512-3-1761310001
1212-4-0522319120300
11-3-2522519121
11.511-4-1322927240600
10-3-35518189
1111-5-01125271011110121100
10-4-2132430810011110
10.510-5-1216191818230163300
9-4-3411221519264
1010-6-00661717981159912000
9-5-206617188801311912
9.59-6-11089151338151736100
8-5-322710221227101752
99-7-000221010821111121510520000
8-6-20321110621012121595100
8.58-7-100351103113112018104100
7-6-33613413620181134
88-8-00001170104261115161411631000
7-7-21171042511141816116210
7.57-8-10030000261421231893100
6-7-333310192821732
77-9-000100000125101417171510521000
6-8-2100125101418181495200
6.56-9-10001310182422145100
5-8-34102123171564
66-10-00000251117212014720
5-9-21251215231815820
5.55-10-1001310222923112
4-9-310173320137
55-11-00013920302711
4-10-212720312811
4.54-11-1016224031
44-12-0002113652
3-11-21113851
3.53-12-10032275
33-13-0011386
2-12-221187
2.52-13-1496
22-14-0298
1-13-2100
1.51-14-1199
11-15-0199
0-0.5100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333
Updated Saturday, 2023-10-21 11:15 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)