SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

Chicago Playoff Chances 2018-2019 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%
0-0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Conf100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Packers vs Bears-10.4*-0.5+10.5
-2.9-0.8+3.0
+1.6*-0.4-1.5
-1.2-0.0+1.2
Lions vs NY Jets-1.1*-0.6+1.1
-0.1*+0.2+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Vikings vs 49ers-0.8*-0.4+0.8
-0.1*+0.1+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
NY Giants vs Jaguars-0.3*+0.4+0.3
-0.1*-0.3+0.1
Raiders vs LA Rams+0.3*+0.7-0.3
+0.2*+0.3-0.2
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Broncos vs Seahawks+0.3*-0.6-0.2
+0.1-0.8-0.1
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Saints vs Buccaneers-0.1*+0.1+0.1
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Dolphins vs Titans-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Patriots vs Texans-0.1*-0.2+0.1
Ravens vs Bills+0.1*+0.2-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Conf100.0*1st Pick100.0*Average seed
Bears vs Seahawks+8.9*+0.6-8.9
+3.0*+0.0-3.0
-1.6-0.5+1.6
+1.1+0.1-1.1
49ers vs Lions+0.8*-0.3-0.8
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Saints vs Browns-0.4*+0.3+0.4
-0.2*-0.1+0.2
Redskins vs Colts-0.3*+0.2+0.3
-0.2*+0.3+0.2
Jaguars vs Patriots+0.1-0.6-0.1
Buccaneers vs Eagles-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Cowboys vs NY Giants+0.1*+0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bears finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed1st
TWW-L-TplayoffsConf12345678910111213141516PickCount
14.5-16InYes100No538*
1414-2-0In99.1%9910No2,479
13-1-2InYes100No7
13.513-2-1In97.798200No472
1313-3-0In93.293601No11,651
12-2-2In94.39433No35
12.512-3-1In87.4871111No2,174*
1212-4-0In74.875202030No37,803
11-3-2In71.0712612No186
11.511-4-1In59.259304070No6,274
10-3-3In44.4444411No9
1111-5-0100.0%36.737371211310No90,237
10-4-2In35.53639121121No501*
10.510-5-199.818.118372032030No14,048
9-4-3In17.6182424296No17
1010-6-097.96.06232692410200No165,692
9-5-298.16.672426923920No946
9.59-6-192.10.81924152321710No23,465
8-5-382.42.931215121229153No34
99-7-068.20.102121813231993000No236,828
8-6-268.7No210191225209300No1,439*
8.58-7-137.2No03153152623113000No29,923
7-6-340.0No5132202424112No55
88-8-014.7No019141322231682000No265,833
7-7-213.2No0180412232616820No1,783
7.57-8-13.7No04002920282311300No30,446
6-7-34.6No59182626123No65
77-9-01.3No010002716242516710No236,400
6-8-21.0No101617252518710No1,470*
6.56-9-10.3No000031225312071No23,335
5-8-3OutNo3112642135No38
66-10-00.1No000131225312160.3%166,344
5-9-20.1No00031224312360.1952*
5.55-10-10.0No0002113038191.814,101
4-9-3OutNo19293814No21
55-11-0OutNo001418413711.290,299
4-10-2OutNo01517403711.2473
4.54-11-1OutNo017336030.66,285
3-10-3OutNo505012.58
44-12-0OutNo003227551.337,612
3-11-2OutNo13178055.4157
3.53-12-1OutNo1118874.52,084*
33-13-0OutNo069485.811,381
2-12-2OutNo89283.962
2.52-13-1OutNo29895.0457
22-14-0OutNo19996.92,501
1-13-2OutNo100Yes5
0-1.5OutNo10099.5563*
Total:37.5%6.2%66666666666666663.1%1,517,488

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Lottery seed
Packers vs Bears+2.3+0.0-2.3
Broncos vs Seahawks+0.0+0.2-0.0
Lions vs NY Jets+0.1*+0.2-0.1
Saints vs Buccaneers+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Vikings vs 49ers+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Patriots vs Texans-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Dolphins vs Titans-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Cardinals vs Redskins-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Raiders vs LA Rams+0.0*-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
Bears vs Seahawks-2.1-0.2+2.1
Cowboys vs NY Giants+0.1*-0.0-0.1
49ers vs Lions-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Buccaneers vs Eagles-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Jaguars vs Patriots+0.1-0.0-0.1
Bills vs LA Chargers-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Saints vs Browns+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
15.5-16100
1515-1-0991
14.514-1-1100
1414-2-097210
13.513-2-1944200
1313-3-0858601
12-2-286933
12.512-3-1751311011
1212-4-05223191200300
11-3-2482324212
11.511-4-13029282400700
10-3-322224411
1111-5-01125271011110121100
10-4-210253181211011
10.510-5-1216191818230173300
9-4-3612121224296
1010-6-0066171798115991200
9-5-2067181610811410902
9.59-6-1108815133815173710
8-5-3312312123929153
99-7-000221010821111121510520000
8-6-2219127210131315113100
8.58-7-100341103114101919104100
7-6-35752218181391352
88-8-0001170104261115161411631000
7-7-201170041611151715116310
7.57-8-10030000261322231793100
6-7-3528925252252
77-9-000100000125101417171410521000
6-8-21002591618181495210
6.56-9-10001410192422145100
5-8-38524242938
66-10-00000251117212014720
5-9-20000151216212115710
5.55-10-10001310222923112
4-9-3291933514
55-11-000013920302711
4-10-212722272911
4.54-11-1016224131
3-10-3385013
44-12-0002113651
3-11-211113255
3.53-12-1022374
33-13-0011386
2-12-221584
2.52-13-1595
22-14-00397
1.51-14-1397
11-15-00100
0-0.5100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333
Updated Saturday, 2023-10-21 11:15 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)