American Football Conference Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

Tennessee +11.4, Cincinnati -10.1
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
GW-L-TPCTGD%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPI
Kansas City9-1-0.90011399.6%+1.16214411720002.0+0.281Kansas City Chiefs
LA Chargers17-2-0.7785487.6+11.01441056126321000004.8+0.547Los Angeles Chargers
New England7-3-0.7004486.8-3.510252421255421100003.7-0.514New England Patriots
Pittsburgh16-2-1.7227084.1+2.282721173864321000003.9+0.235Pittsburgh Steelers
Houston16-3-0.6673270.3-1.43141917413117532110005.1-0.0713Houston Texans
Cincinnati15-4-0.556-5346.0-10.116877171211876432107.2-0.786Cincinnati Bengals
Tennessee15-4-0.5561743.0+11.4061216189101097542107.2+1.2110Tennessee Titans
Miami5-5-0.500-5728.9-9.70251029121412108643108.1-0.7319Miami Dolphins
Baltimore14-5-0.4445320.1+0.60122411131312119764219.0+0.059Baltimore Ravens
Indianapolis14-5-0.4442117.1+5.70137168101212111086419.5+1.1024Indianapolis Colts
Jacksonville13-6-0.333-394.9-7.5001103678101112121211711.5-1.1727Jacksonville Jaguars
Cleveland3-6-1.350-453.7+1.900003468101113141311511.7+0.9521Cleveland Browns
Denver13-6-0.333-83.4-0.1000012346810121314141212.3-0.0823Denver Broncos
Buffalo3-7-0.300-1142.5+1.400201245810121416161212.6+0.8620Buffalo Bills
NY Jets3-7-0.300-461.8-2.500101235710111416181212.7-1.0931New York Jets
Oakland11-8-0.111-1250.1-0.500011235811194914.7-0.7932Oakland Raiders

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/8
Tennessee 34 New England 10
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New England-5.8
-0.6
Houston-2.7
-0.1
Cincinnati-0.9
Tennessee+10.4
+1.1
Miami+0.9
Baltimore-0.1
Indianapolis-0.7
Jacksonville-1.0
-0.1
Buffalo+0.2
NY Jets+0.5
Pittsburgh 52 Carolina 21
8:20 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
LA Chargers-1.1
New England-0.3
Pittsburgh+10.5
+0.8
Houston-0.8
Cincinnati-2.5
-0.2
Tennessee-0.6
Miami-1.8
Baltimore-1.5
Indianapolis-0.5
-0.0
Jacksonville-0.4
Cleveland-0.3
NY Jets-0.3
Green Bay 31 Miami 12
4:25 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Kansas City+0.0
LA Chargers+1.0
New England+1.2
+0.1
Pittsburgh+1.2
Houston+0.8
Cincinnati+1.6
Tennessee+0.7
Miami-10.2
-0.7
Baltimore+1.1
Indianapolis+0.4
Jacksonville+0.4
Cleveland+0.3
Denver+0.4
NY Jets+0.7
Cincinnati 14 New Orleans 51
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Kansas City+0.2
LA Chargers+1.0
New England+0.4
Pittsburgh+2.1
+0.2
Houston+0.7
Cincinnati-10.0
-0.7
Tennessee+0.6
Miami+1.6
Baltimore+1.3
Indianapolis+0.5
Jacksonville+0.6
Cleveland+0.3
NY Jets+0.0
Oakland 6 LA Chargers 20
4:05 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Kansas City-0.2
LA Chargers+9.6
+0.7
New England-0.5
Pittsburgh-0.7
Houston-0.9
Cincinnati-1.1
Tennessee-0.5
Miami-2.0
Baltimore-1.3
Indianapolis-0.4
Jacksonville-0.6
Denver-0.5
Buffalo+0.1
NY Jets-0.2
Oakland-0.5
-0.7
Indianapolis 29 Jacksonville 26
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati+0.5
Indianapolis+6.3
+1.1
Jacksonville-7.0
-1.1
NY Jets 10 Buffalo 41
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New England+0.6
Buffalo+0.9
+0.9
NY Jets-3.0
-1.1
Cleveland 28 Atlanta 16
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati*-0.4
-0.1
Miami-0.0
Cleveland+1.3
+0.8
Buffalo-0.1
Kansas City 26 Arizona 14
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Kansas City+1.1
+0.4
LA Chargers-0.2
Week of 11/15
Baltimore vs CincinnatiIf winner is:HomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh85.1*85.483.1
3.8*4.04.0
Cincinnati30.3*41.361.8
8.3*7.26.0
Baltimore33.210.87.0
7.89.810.2
Indianapolis vs TennesseeHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Houston71.3*72.769.2
4.94.95.2
Cincinnati47.1*43.944.9
7.1*7.27.2
Tennessee27.7*43.258.3
8.57.05.9
Indianapolis27.9*15.56.3
8.3*9.710.8
Washington vs HoustonHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Houston60.8*73.579.7
5.8*4.74.4
Tennessee47.0*41.939.0
7.07.37.5
Indianapolis18.9*15.815.4
9.49.69.6
Jacksonville vs PittsburghHomeTieAway
8:20 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh76.0*85.492.2
4.64.03.2
Cincinnati47.1*44.744.9
7.0*7.27.3
Baltimore21.0*17.419.3
Jacksonville8.1*2.81.7
10.5*11.712.5
LA Chargers vs DenverHomeTieAway
4:05 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Kansas City2.3*2.01.8
LA Chargers94.8*91.880.3
4.2*4.65.4
Houston69.4*71.671.2
5.1*4.95.0
Miami28.1*28.729.7
Baltimore19.2*19.521.0
8.9*9.19.0
Denver0.6*3.96.2
13.211.811.3
LA Rams vs Kansas CityHomeTieAway
8:15 PM Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Kansas City99.3*In100.0
2.3*2.11.7
LA Chargers4.6*4.55.0
Arizona vs OaklandHomeTieAway
4:05 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cleveland11.712.211.8
NY Jets12.712.912.8
Oakland15.1*15.114.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.