AFC South Playoff Chances 2018 50/50

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	G	W	-	L	-	T	PCT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Avg.	Change	RPI

Houston		6	-	3	-	0	.667	32	70.3	%	-1.4	3	14	19	17	4	13	11	7	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	5.1	-0.07	13	Houston Texans

Tennessee		5	-	4	-	0	.556	17	43.0		+11.4	0	6	12	16	1	8	9	10	10	9	7	5	4	2	1	0	7.2	+1.21	10	Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis		4	-	5	-	0	.444	21	17.1		+5.7	0	1	3	7	1	6	8	10	12	12	11	10	8	6	4	1	9.5	+1.10	24	Indianapolis Colts
Jacksonville		3	-	6	-	0	.333	-39	4.9		-7.5	0	0	1	1	0	3	6	7	8	10	11	12	12	12	11	7	11.5	-1.17	27	Jacksonville Jaguars

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 11/8
Tennessee 34 New England 10
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston	-2.7		-0.1
Tennessee	+10.4		+1.1
Indianapolis	-0.7		-0.1
Jacksonville	-1.0		-0.1

Indianapolis 29 Jacksonville 26
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Indianapolis	+6.3		+1.1
Jacksonville	-7.0		-1.1

Cincinnati 14 New Orleans 51
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston	+0.7		+0.0
Tennessee	+0.6		+0.0
Indianapolis	+0.5
Jacksonville	+0.6		+0.1

Oakland 6 LA Chargers 20
4:05 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston	-0.9
Tennessee	-0.5
Indianapolis	-0.4		+0.0
Jacksonville	-0.6		+0.0

Green Bay 31 Miami 12
4:25 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston	+0.8		+0.0
Tennessee	+0.7		+0.1
Indianapolis	+0.4		+0.1
Jacksonville	+0.4		+0.0

Pittsburgh 52 Carolina 21
8:20 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston	-0.8		-0.1
Tennessee	-0.6		-0.0
Indianapolis	-0.5		-0.0
Jacksonville	-0.4		-0.0

Cleveland 28 Atlanta 16
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston			-0.0
Tennessee			-0.1
Indianapolis			-0.1
Jacksonville			-0.1

NY Jets 10 Buffalo 41
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston			+0.0
Tennessee			+0.0
Jacksonville			+0.0

Kansas City 26 Arizona 14
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Jacksonville			+0.0

Week of 11/15
Indianapolis vs TennesseeIf winner is:HomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston	71.3*72.769.2		4.94.95.2
Tennessee	27.7*43.258.3		8.57.05.9
Indianapolis	27.9*15.56.3		8.3*9.710.8
Jacksonville	5.2*4.24.6		11.5*11.711.5

Washington vs HoustonHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston	60.8*73.579.7		5.8*4.74.4
Tennessee	47.0*41.939.0		7.07.37.5
Indianapolis	18.9*15.815.4		9.49.69.6
Jacksonville	5.4*2.34.4		11.5*11.611.5

Jacksonville vs PittsburghHomeTieAway
8:20 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston	70.7*74.769.9		5.0*4.85.1
Tennessee	43.6*45.542.4		7.27.17.2
Indianapolis	17.5*18.216.7		9.6*9.69.5
Jacksonville	8.1*2.81.7		10.5*11.712.5

LA Chargers vs DenverHomeTieAway
4:05 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Houston	69.4*71.671.2		5.1*4.95.0
Tennessee			7.2*7.47.3
Indianapolis	16.9*18.117.4		9.5*9.59.6
Jacksonville	4.7*4.65.1		11.4*11.511.6

Baltimore vs CincinnatiHomeTieAway
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tennessee	43.4*45.442.6		7.2*7.07.2
Indianapolis	17.4*19.216.8		9.6*9.79.5
Jacksonville			11.5*11.111.5

Arizona vs OaklandHomeTieAway
4:05 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tennessee			7.2*7.17.2
Indianapolis			9.5*9.19.6
Jacksonville			11.411.311.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.