"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Detroit vs Sacramento-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cleveland vs Sacramento+4.1-4.1
+0.4-0.4
Milwaukee vs San Antonio-0.5+0.5

What If

Chances based on how well the Cleveland finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
56-80In100200*
5551-25In991230
5450-26In991432
5349-27In964871
5248-28In92701,427
5147-29In86131002,473
5046-30In75232003,711
4945-31In62316015,602
4844-32In4340141207,980
4743-33In254124550010,483
4642-34In113133121120013,349
4541-35100.0%316302121710016,146
4440-3699.91518242718710018,078
4339-3797.8016192126178200019,596
4238-3887.40011192126209310020,162
4137-3961.00528192723124100019,661
4036-4026.7020171626251651018,146
3935-417.0100151526271871015,881
3834-421.100015142529196113,092
3733-430.1001413283218410,582
3632-44Out014173333128,034
3531-45Out0162341285,520
3430-46Out0021240453,783
3329-47Out0631632,365
3228-48Out220781,488
3127-49Out01287863
3026-50Out0793469
2925-51Out298235
2824-52Out199111
2723-53Out29854
4-26Out10056*
Total:61.5%988887776666554221,080

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit vs Sacramento+0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Cleveland vs Sacramento-0.9+0.9
Milwaukee vs San Antonio+0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
56-80100
5551-259811
5450-269721
5349-279254
5248-2884970
5147-297214130100
5046-305421221200
4945-3135272926001
4844-321727328130120
4743-335202516222505000
4642-341111120248110111200
4541-3503214131718318370100
4440-361053151591611162701000
4339-370106712516179152802000
4238-380012909516151017293100
4137-390042083161314181361000
4036-4000200107214101921147200
3935-41100105151321221794100
3834-420001002513202419104100
3733-4300000261322241910300
3632-4400281826251651
3531-45015142730194
3430-46001413313416
3329-4715204134
3228-48183556
3127-49022473
3026-5021880
2925-5100891
2824-52496
2723-53496
4-26100
Total:544444434443434343333333332222