NorthsideArsenal Playoff Chances 2012Spring

Lost to MRBohemians 0-1, playoff odds down 23.2 to 56.7%

3 points 1-0-1

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 3/4	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
NorthsideArsena 0 MRBohemians 1	-12.7		-0.7
DallasRangersFC 1 TheSpurs 6	-0.6
StJudesFC 3 RealSuburbia 3	+0.4
BarronUnited 2 TeamBushwood 4	+0.1

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/11	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
NorthsideArsena vs StJudesFC	+18.0-1.3-14.1		+0.8-0.1-0.6
TeamBushwood vs TheSpurs	+1.1+0.2-1.9
MRBohemians vs RealSuburbia	-1.0+1.3+0.6		-0.0+0.1+0.0
DallasRangersFC vs BarronUnited	*+0.0+0.9-0.6

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the NorthsideArsena finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Count

27	8	-	0	-	0	In		100	0							12,990
25	7	-	1	-	0	In		98	2							43,315
24	7	-	0	-	1	In		90	10	0						63,275
23	6	-	2	-	0	In		89	11	0						97,252
22	6	-	1	-	1	In		73	26	1	0					285,714
21	6	-	0	-	2	In		50	45	5	0					207,377
	5	-	3	-	0	In		67	31	2	0					126,805
20	5	-	2	-	1	In		42	50	8	0					550,389
19	5	-	1	-	2	100.0	%	19	54	24	2	0				796,109
	4	-	4	-	0	In		33	54	13	0					101,127
18	4	-	3	-	1	99.9		12	50	33	5	0				586,147
	5	-	0	-	3	99.6		6	40	43	10	0				381,488
17	4	-	2	-	2	98.6		3	29	48	19	1	0			1,259,112
	3	-	5	-	0	99.7		6	42	42	9	0				51,492
16	4	-	1	-	3	91.5		0	10	41	40	8	0			1,197,237
	3	-	4	-	1	96.4		1	18	48	29	4	0			371,270
15	3	-	3	-	2	82.6		0	4	30	48	17	1	0		1,058,974
	4	-	0	-	4	72.0		0	2	21	49	26	2	0		423,135
	2	-	6	-	0	91.7		0	9	43	40	8	0			16,388
14	3	-	2	-	3	54.2		0	0	10	44	40	5	0		1,498,280
	2	-	5	-	1	68.7		0	1	18	49	29	2	0		140,528
13	3	-	1	-	4	23.9			0	2	22	54	21	1	0	1,053,876
	2	-	4	-	2	35.5			0	4	32	51	13	0		497,848
	1	-	7	-	0	53.3			0	9	44	41	5	0		2,988
12	2	-	3	-	3	10.8			0	0	10	50	35	4	0	931,875
	3	-	0	-	5	6.2				0	6	43	43	8	0	293,181
	1	-	6	-	1	18.8			0	1	18	55	25	2	0	29,110
11	2	-	2	-	4	1.7				0	2	28	51	18	1	977,687
	1	-	5	-	2	3.5				0	3	37	47	12	0	124,329
	0	-	8	-	0	6.3					6	55	33	6	0	221
10	2	-	1	-	5	0.1					0	9	46	39	5	542,192
	1	-	4	-	3	0.3				0	0	15	50	32	3	289,492
	0	-	7	-	1	1.0					1	22	52	24	1	2,527
9	1	-	3	-	4	0.0					0	3	33	51	13	401,690
	2	-	0	-	6	0.0					0	2	25	55	18	124,468
	0	-	6	-	2	0.0					0	6	41	45	8	13,032
8	1	-	2	-	5	Out						0	13	54	32	331,180
	0	-	5	-	3	Out						1	18	55	26	35,628
7	1	-	1	-	6	Out						0	3	41	55	150,600
	0	-	4	-	4	Out						0	5	45	49	61,515
6	0	-	3	-	5	Out							1	27	72	67,328
	1	-	0	-	7	Out							0	23	77	29,216
5	0	-	2	-	6	Out							0	12	88	45,593
4	0	-	1	-	7	Out								4	96	17,549
3	0	-	0	-	8	Out								0	100	7,742

Total:						56.7	%	8	14	17	19	19	13	8	3	15,299,271

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs