"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
Phoenix Coyotes Playoff Chances 2014A
Plays at Pittsburgh 7:00 PM, playoff odds up 0.01 to 66.7%
0-0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Saturday, 2/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Disbanded | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Carolina 0 Calgary 0 | +0.5 | |||||
| Boston 1 Anaheim 1 | +0.5 | |||||
| Edmonton 2 Detroit 0 | *-0.1 | |||||
| Columbus 4 Colorado 0 | *-0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||
| Pittsburgh vs Phoenix | -28.0*+0.0+28.0 | +24.3-9.0-19.9 | -0.6*+0.0+0.6 | |||
| Minnesota vs Los Angeles | -0.2+0.6-0.1 | |||||
| Tampa Bay vs St. Louis | -0.2+0.6-0.1 | |||||
| Ottawa vs NY Rangers | -0.1+0.5-0.1 | |||||
| New Jersey vs Nashville | -0.1+0.5-0.1 | |||||
| Washington vs Vancouver | -0.1+0.5-0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||
| Sunday, 2/2 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Disbanded | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Phoenix vs San Jose | +28.0*-0.0-28.0 | -19.9-8.9+24.4 | +0.6*-0.0-0.6 | |||
| Detroit vs Florida | *+0.1+2.0-0.6 | |||||
| Colorado vs Dallas | *+0.1+2.0-0.6 | |||||
| Calgary vs Chicago | -0.8+0.2+0.6 | |||||
| Anaheim vs Buffalo | -0.8+0.3+0.6 | |||||
| NY Rangers vs Philadelphia | -0.1+0.5-0.1 | |||||
| Vancouver vs Winnipeg | -0.2+0.5*-0.1 | |||||
| Los Angeles vs Montreal | -0.1+0.5-0.1 | |||||
| Nashville vs NY Islanders | *-0.1+0.5-0.1 | |||||
| St. Louis vs Toronto | -0.1+0.4*-0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Phoenix finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | Disbanded | Count | ||||
| 2 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | No | 498,399 | ||||||
| 1 | .5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 80 | 20 | No | 498,207 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 86.7 | % | 13 | 73 | 13 | 0.0 | % | 996,376 | ||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 93.3 | 7 | 87 | 7 | 0.0 | 125,056 | |||||
| 0 | .5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 20.1 | 20 | 80 | 27.4 | 498,657 | ||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | Out | 100 | 96.9 | 498,725 | ||||||
| Total: | 66.7 | % | 33 | 33 | 33 | 19.9 | % | 3,115,420 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Saturday, 2/1 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Pittsburgh vs Phoenix | +6.4+0.2-6.5 | |
| New Jersey vs Nashville | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Sunday, 2/2 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Phoenix vs San Jose | -6.5+0.2+6.4 | |
| St. Louis vs Toronto | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
| Los Angeles vs Montreal | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | |
| 2 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | .5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | .5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 20 | 21 | 21 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | ||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:26 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
