How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

SundayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Washington Capitals vs Pittsburgh Penguins+4.2+3.5+3.1-1.3-1.4-5.5
+0.7+0.7+0.6-0.3-0.4-0.9
+0.5+0.4+0.4-0.1-0.2-0.6
Carolina Hurricanes vs Winnipeg Jets-0.3-0.4-0.3*+0.1*+0.1+0.4
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Boston Bruins vs Columbus Blue Jackets+0.2*-0.2*-0.1-0.4-0.5*-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0
New Jersey Devils vs Florida Panthers-0.1*-0.3-0.3*-0.0*-0.2+0.2
New York Islanders vs New York Rangers+0.1-0.3-0.2-0.3-0.3*+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Washington Capitals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
122-164InYes1001,178*
1215617-9In99.3%1000420*
1205618-8In99.410000663*
1195619-7In99.710001,056*
1185519-8In99.099001,543*
1175520-7In97.999112,160*
1165420-8In97.099113,188*
1155421-7In95.998114,596*
1145321-8In93.797216,637*
1135322-7In91.6962209,076*
1125222-8In87.7943312,177*
1115223-7In82.591540016,843*
1105123-8In75.98776022,298*
1095023-9In67.8839800029,156*
1085024-8In58.47712100036,653*
1074924-9In47.670161401046,844*
1064925-8In36.862191801058,830*
1054825-9In25.7522322120072,688*
1044826-8In16.44226261400088,023*
1034726-9In9.432293036000105,394*
1024727-8100.0%4.5233033590100124,046*
1014627-9100.01.81529338130200144,594*
1004628-8100.00.592731121713000164,962*
994528-9100.00.152326162126100186,423*
984529-899.80.021820202449200205,911*
974429-999.50.011413222571330000225,957*
964430-898.7No0982223121861000244,203*
954330-996.5No064201817211130000260,443*
944331-892.0No032161220221661000274,424*
934231-983.4No0211172120211241000284,051*
924232-870.0No010731916231893000290,014*
914132-953.0No0041151022231562000292,658*
904133-835.4No00201151624221251000290,867*
894033-920.8No0107210212520103100285,571*
884034-810.7No000415142425177200276,316*
873934-94.7No000202819262413510262,953*
863935-81.9No00101412232821920248,247*
853835-90.7No00000261626271651231,863*
843836-80.2No000001310222924102211,691*
833736-90.1No000015152830174191,632*
823737-80.0No000000292333257170,092*
813637-90.0No00001517323212150,208*
803638-80.0No0000211293819130,451*
793538-90.0No00017234128110,764*
783539-8OutNo000417413794,148*
773439-9OutNo00212394778,464*
763440-8OutNo018355764,862*
753340-9OutNo0005306551,807*
743341-8OutNo003247341,586*
733241-9OutNo02197933,037*
723242-8OutNo01158425,505*
713142-9OutNo00118919,737*
703143-8OutNo089214,650*
693043-9OutNo0069411,173*
683044-8OutNo04968,098*
672944-9OutNo03975,988*
662945-8OutNo02984,278*
652845-9OutNo1993,054*
642846-8OutNo1992,116*
632746-9OutNo1991,426*
622747-8OutNo199952*
612647-9OutNo0100655*
0-60OutNo1001,660*
Total:50.0%3.3%66666666666666666,240,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

SundayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Washington Capitals vs Pittsburgh Penguins-0.9-0.7-0.7+0.3+0.3+1.1
Boston Bruins vs Columbus Blue Jackets-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Carolina Hurricanes vs Winnipeg Jets+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.1
New Jersey Devils vs Florida Panthers+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
Anaheim Ducks vs Dallas Stars*-0.0+0.0*+0.0-0.0+0.1-0.0
New York Islanders vs New York Rangers*-0.0*+0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
122-164100
1215617-99900
1205618-899000
1195619-710000
1185519-899100
1175520-798111
1165420-897211
1155421-796211
1145321-894321
1135322-7924220
1125222-888633
1115223-783954000
1105123-8761170600
1095023-968159080000
1085024-8581912010000
1074924-94822150140010
1064925-83725181170010
1054825-926262212111200
1044826-81626243242140000
1034726-99232442643060000
1024727-841923726750900100
1014627-921420922108012002000
1004628-819151217141101611030000
994528-905101311151511932060100
984529-80261351518319540902000
974429-90131121117517970131300000
964430-8018071481112110162601000
954330-90050491061215117411030000
944331-80030251121017315715161000
934231-900201290714710101931241000
924232-80010160310105111761793100
914132-900004015102911102016820000
904133-80002002905511172216720000
894033-9001016021910202316721000
884034-80000040105412212317931000
873934-900002000215122123181041000
863935-800010001015122023191151000
853835-9000000001511192320125100
843836-8000000001411192421135100
833736-9000000141120252112410
823737-8000000015122126211030
813637-9000000261424271971
803638-80000027182827143
793538-9000013112431237
783539-80001617323113
773439-9000311283821
763440-80016214131
753340-90003164041
743341-8001103752
733241-90063162
723242-80042670
713142-90022078
703143-8011584
693043-9001188
683044-80892
672944-90694
662945-80496
652845-9298
642846-8298
632746-9298
622747-8199
612647-90100
58-60100
572449-9199
0-56100
Total:333333434342424244444333333333