How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators+4.1+3.7+3.2-1.2-1.3-5.5
+0.7+0.7+0.6-0.3-0.3-0.9
+0.5+0.4+0.4-0.1-0.2-0.6
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres+0.1-0.4-0.3*-0.1*-0.2*+0.0
New Jersey Devils vs Florida Panthers+0.2*-0.1*+0.0-0.3*-0.1-0.1
Carolina Hurricanes vs Winnipeg Jets-0.2*-0.1*-0.1*+0.2*+0.2+0.2
Boston Bruins vs Columbus Blue Jackets*-0.1*-0.2-0.2*-0.2*-0.0+0.2
Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning*+0.1-0.3*-0.1*-0.2-0.3*+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Toronto Maple Leafs finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
124-164InYes100741*
1235817-7In99.3%991145*
121-122InYes100672*
1205618-8In99.81000648*
1195518-9In99.09900931*
1185519-8In98.799111,380*
1175520-7In98.699002,080*
1165420-8In97.099113,145*
1155421-7In95.798114,595*
1145321-8In94.0971106,501*
1135322-7In91.9962108,983*
1125222-8In87.59433012,486*
1115223-7In82.69154016,695*
1105123-8In75.688760022,359*
1095124-7In67.4839800029,120*
1085024-8In58.177121100037,542*
1074924-9In48.070151401047,300*
1064925-8In36.7621918010058,840*
1054825-9In25.8522322120072,903*
1044826-8In16.54227261400088,334*
1034726-9100.0%9.4322930360000105,142*
1024727-8100.04.5233032590100124,683*
1014627-9100.01.81529338130200144,068*
1004628-8100.00.69273112171300164,832*
994528-9100.00.152326162126100185,450*
984529-899.90.021820202549200206,695*
974429-999.50.01141322257133000226,271*
964430-898.70.00982223121861000244,946*
954330-996.6No064201817211130000260,716*
944331-892.0No0321612202216610000273,560*
934231-983.4No0211172120211241000283,252*
924232-870.0No010731916231893100290,606*
914132-953.1No0041151022231562000292,124*
904133-835.3No0020116162422135100291,710*
894033-920.7No00107210212520103100285,453*
884034-810.5No010415142425177200276,073*
873934-94.7No000202818262413510264,264*
863935-81.9No000101412232721920248,006*
853835-90.7No00000161627271651230,717*
843836-80.2No00000310222924102211,245*
833736-90.1No0000015152830174191,152*
823737-80.0No000002102333257169,935*
813637-90.0No0001517323212150,052*
803638-8OutNo00211293819129,640*
793538-9OutNo00017234128110,877*
783539-8OutNo000417413793,665*
773439-9OutNo00212394778,434*
763440-8OutNo018345764,678*
753340-9OutNo005296552,390*
743341-8OutNo03247342,045*
733241-9OutNo002198033,094*
723242-8OutNo01148525,620*
713142-9OutNo00118819,924*
703143-8OutNo089215,034*
693043-9OutNo059411,193*
683044-8OutNo04968,114*
672944-9OutNo03975,850*
662945-8OutNo2984,225*
652845-9OutNo1992,956*
642846-8OutNo1992,145*
632847-7OutNo01001,482*
622747-8OutNo0100939*
612748-7OutNo0100650*
602648-8OutNo0100387*
0-59OutNo1001,266*
Total:50.0%3.3%66666666666666666,240,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators-0.8-0.8-0.7+0.2+0.3+1.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston Bruins vs Columbus Blue Jackets+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1
New Jersey Devils vs Florida Panthers-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0
Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0*-0.0
Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1*+0.0*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
124-164100
1235817-7991
121-122100
1205618-81000
1195518-999000
1185519-899011
1175520-799100
1165420-897211
1155421-796211
1145321-8943110
1135322-7925210
1125222-8886330
1115223-78395400
1105123-87612706000
1095124-767159080000
1085024-85819120100000
1074924-94822150140010
1064925-837251811700100
1054825-9262622121112000
1044826-81626243242140000
1034726-992324426430600000
1024727-851923726750900100
1014627-9214201023107012002000
1004628-8191512171411016113000
994528-9051013111615119320601000
984529-80261351518319540902000
974429-9013112111751797013130000
964430-80018071481112120162601000
954330-90050491161315117411030000
944331-800302511210174157151610000
934231-900201290714710101931241000
924232-800100170310105111761793100
914132-90000401510291110201682000
904133-800002002905511172216720000
894033-90001016021910202216821000
884034-80000040105412212317931000
873934-9000002000215122123181041000
863935-8000010001015122023191151000
853835-90000000014111923201251000
843836-800000001411192421135100
833736-90000000141120252112410
823737-800000015122126211030
813637-900000261424271971
803638-800028182827143
793538-900013112431237
783539-80001617313113
773439-9000311283821
763440-80016214031
753340-90003154042
743341-8002103752
733241-90163162
723242-800032671
713142-90022077
703143-80011584
693043-9011188
683044-800892
672944-90694
662945-80496
652845-90397
642846-8298
632847-7199
622747-8199
612748-7199
602648-8199
0-59100
Total:333343434342424244444333333333