How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs
St. Louis Blues vs Chicago Blackhawks+0.1*-0.3*-0.2-0.4-0.3*+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Carolina Hurricanes vs Winnipeg Jets+0.4*+0.0*-0.0-0.3*-0.2-0.4
Minnesota Wild vs St. Louis Blues+0.1-0.4-0.3*-0.2*-0.2*+0.0
Anaheim Ducks vs Dallas Stars+0.2*-0.2*-0.1*-0.2*-0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Nashville Predators finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
122-164InYes1001,153*
1215718-7In99.8%1000425*
1205618-8In99.51000646*
1195619-7In99.39900985*
1185620-6In99.1100001,480*
1175520-7In98.099012,153*
1165420-8In96.699113,163*
1155421-7In96.599104,600*
1145321-8In93.898116,657*
1135322-7In91.396219,214*
1125222-8In86.99532012,304*
1115223-7In82.09243016,939*
1105123-8In76.390640022,124*
1095124-7In67.38587029,110*
1085024-8In58.38011900037,554*
1074924-9In47.674141200047,345*
1064925-8In36.366181501058,319*
1054825-9In25.9572119020072,478*
1044826-8In16.6482523130087,979*
1034726-9In9.438282824000105,369*
1024727-8100.0%4.6293031360100123,524*
1014627-9100.01.72031336100100143,662*
1004628-8100.00.51329339140200164,930*
994528-9100.00.18263013181300185,496*
984529-8100.00.042225182226100206,192*
974429-999.90.021819212549100225,921*
964430-899.70.0113132326813300244,207*
954330-999.0No097232413186100261,405*
944331-897.4No06420191721102000273,358*
934231-993.9No03217132123155100283,671*
924232-887.3No021128222220103000291,049*
914132-976.6No010842118241661000293,078*
904133-862.2No005218132422124100292,068*
894033-945.8No00311382126188200284,812*
884034-830.3No00109415262414510276,999*
873934-917.8No0010629222821920263,757*
863935-89.4No0003151627271651249,174*
853835-94.5No0002021023302391230,581*
843836-81.9No0001015162929153211,070*
833736-90.7No00002102533236190,977*
823737-80.3No00001619333011170,275*
813637-90.1No00000313303717149,946*
803638-80.0No000018254125129,591*
793538-90.0No0015204234111,159*
783539-80.0No000214414394,340*
773439-90.0No000110375278,433*
763440-80.0No0016326164,798*
753340-9OutNo004276952,030*
743341-8OutNo002227641,793*
733241-9OutNo01178232,976*
723242-8OutNo01138626,031*
713142-9OutNo0099019,686*
703143-8OutNo0079314,964*
693043-9OutNo049510,990*
683044-8OutNo03978,146*
672944-9OutNo03975,932*
662945-8OutNo2984,271*
652845-9OutNo1992,886*
642846-8OutNo1992,091*
632746-9OutNo1991,343*
622747-8OutNo01001,034*
612748-7OutNo100647*
602648-8OutNo0100425*
0-59OutNo1001,245*
Total:57.1%3.3%777777777777776,240,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
St. Louis Blues vs Chicago Blackhawks-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina Hurricanes vs Winnipeg Jets-0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Anaheim Ducks vs Dallas Stars-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0
Minnesota Wild vs St. Louis Blues-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
122-164100
1215718-71000
1205618-810000
1195619-799000
1185620-699100
1175520-798101
1165420-897211
1155421-796210
1145321-894411
1135322-791521
1125222-8878320
1115223-78210430
1105123-8761364000
1095124-7671880700
1085024-8582211090000
1074924-94826140120000
1064925-836291711510100
1054825-9263120218102000
1044826-8173222321213000
1034726-99292352352040000
1024727-8524228238306001000
1014627-921819122012609001000
1004628-811314151617901210020000
994528-90810171020121153103000
984529-80461652015316620601000
974429-902315217157141140911000
964430-80111201213111016801123000
954330-90080791551911212550100
944331-8005045162171351110912000
934231-90030221401312981511451000
924232-80020111108814418129931000
914132-900100804416117816128310000
904133-800050221601342011139410000
894033-9000301112081207131511520000
884034-800010090401539151714831000
873934-9001006020914101720171041000
863935-800003105014101822191151000
853835-900002002001410182320125100
843836-80001010001410192421135100
833736-90000000141120252112410
823737-8000000015122126211030
813637-90000000261424271971
803638-8000000028182827143
793538-900013112432237
783539-80001617323113
773439-90000311273721
763440-8000016214131
753340-90003154041
743341-8001103652
733241-90163162
723242-80042671
713142-90022078
703143-80011583
693043-9001189
683044-80892
672944-90694
662945-80496
652845-9397
642846-80198
632746-9199
622747-8199
612748-70100
602648-80100
0-59100
Total:343434343434343522333333333333