How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators*+0.0-0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.0*+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres+4.4+4.3+3.4-1.1-0.9-5.2
+0.8+0.7+0.6-0.3-0.3-0.9
+0.5+0.5+0.4-0.1-0.1-0.6
Boston Bruins vs Columbus Blue Jackets*-0.1-0.5-0.6*-0.2*-0.1+0.3
-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.0
New Jersey Devils vs Florida Panthers+0.2*+0.3*-0.1-0.4*-0.4*-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0
Carolina Hurricanes vs Winnipeg Jets-0.2*-0.3*-0.0*-0.1*+0.0+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Montreal Canadiens finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
121-164InYes100555*
1205719-6In99.5%1000210*
1195619-7In98.8991345*
1185519-8In99.210000514*
1175520-7In98.19901732*
1165420-8In97.299101,033*
1155421-7In96.298111,640*
1145321-8In94.497112,239*
1135221-9In90.695323,016*
1125222-8In87.193434,311*
1115223-7In82.0915405,744*
1105123-8In75.08686007,574*
1095023-9In68.28398009,714*
1085024-8In57.877121000012,424*
1074924-9In47.269161401015,757*
1064925-8In36.161201801019,856*
1054825-9In25.6512322120024,495*
1044826-8In16.24227261400029,458*
1034726-9100.0%9.032293036000035,181*
1024727-8In4.62330325901041,527*
1014627-9100.01.7152933813020048,033*
1004628-8100.00.6927311217130054,800*
994528-999.90.15232616212610061,971*
984529-899.80.02182020244920068,897*
974429-999.5No114132325713300075,533*
964430-898.7No098222312186100081,435*
954330-996.5No0642018172110300087,404*
944331-891.9No0311612202216610090,825*
934231-983.5No021117212021124100094,008*
924232-870.1No01073191623189310096,126*
914132-952.9No004115102124156200097,497*
904133-835.4No002011516242212510096,229*
894033-920.8No0010721021252010310095,089*
884034-810.7No00041514242517720091,856*
873934-94.7No00020281926241351087,534*
863935-81.9No010141223272192082,697*
853835-90.7No000016162727165177,134*
843836-80.3No0000131022302310270,595*
833736-90.1No000001516283017463,792*
823737-80.0No0000210243224756,895*
813637-90.0No000151732321249,799*
803638-80.0No000031229371943,465*
793538-90.0No001724412837,273*
783539-8OutNo00418413731,360*
773439-9OutNo00212394626,398*
763440-8OutNo0018355621,545*
753340-9OutNo05306517,430*
743341-8OutNo03247313,910*
733241-9OutNo02207810,948*
723242-8OutNo0115848,683*
713142-9OutNo0011886,551*
703143-8OutNo08924,976*
693043-9OutNo06943,709*
683044-8OutNo5952,823*
673045-7OutNo3972,054*
662945-8OutNo02981,379*
652946-7OutNo199978*
642846-8OutNo199761*
632746-9OutNo199498*
622747-8OutNo199305*
60-61OutNo100369*
592447-11OutNo19998*
0-58OutNo100333*
Total:50.0%3.3%66666666666666662,080,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators*-0.0+0.1+0.0*+0.0+0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres-0.9-0.9-0.7+0.2+0.2+1.1
Boston Bruins vs Columbus Blue Jackets+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0*-0.0-0.1
New Jersey Devils vs Florida Panthers-0.1*-0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Minnesota Wild vs St. Louis Blues*-0.0*-0.0+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0
Carolina Hurricanes vs Winnipeg Jets+0.0*+0.1+0.0+0.0*+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
121-164100
1205719-61000
1195619-79911
1185519-899000
1175520-798101
1165420-897210
1155421-796211
1145321-894311
1135221-991532
1125222-887643
1115223-7829540
1105123-87511806000
1095023-96815908000
1085024-85819120100000
1074924-94722150140010
1064925-83625191180010
1054825-926262212111200
1044826-81626243242140000
1034726-992324426430600000
1024727-85192372575090010
1014627-921420922107012002000
1004628-8181512171412016113000
994528-90510131116151193260100
984529-8026125151731954090200
974429-913112111751697013130000
964430-8018071481112120162601000
954330-9005049106131511741003000
944331-8003015112101731571616100
934231-900201290714710101931141000
924232-80010160310105111761793100
914132-90000401510291110201682000
904133-8000200290551117221672000
894033-90001016021910202316821000
884034-800000401054122123178310000
873934-90000200215132123181041000
863935-8001001015122024191151000
853835-9000000015111924201251000
843836-800000001411192421135100
833736-90000000141120252112410
823737-80000015132226201030
813637-9000261424271871
803638-8000028182826143
793538-9000013112431237
783539-80001618313113
773439-900311283720
763440-80016224031
753340-9003154041
743341-8002113652
733241-900163261
723242-80042570
713142-9022078
703143-8011683
693043-9011287
683044-801090
673045-70694
662945-80496
652946-7397
642846-8298
632746-9298
622747-8199
60-61100
592447-11199
0-58100
Total:333333434342424244444333333333