How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

SundayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning+4.1+3.7+3.3-1.3-1.2-5.5
+0.7+0.6+0.5-0.2-0.3-0.9
+0.5+0.4+0.4-0.1-0.1-0.6
Boston Bruins vs Columbus Blue Jackets-0.1-0.3-0.3*-0.2*-0.2+0.3
New Jersey Devils vs Florida Panthers+0.2-0.3*-0.1-0.3-0.3*-0.1
Carolina Hurricanes vs Winnipeg Jets-0.2*-0.2*-0.2*+0.1*-0.1+0.3
Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres+0.1*-0.3-0.3-0.2-0.3*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Detroit Red Wings finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
123-164InYes100915*
1225818-6In99.5%1000219*
1215718-7InYes100393*
1205618-8In99.21000630*
1195619-7In99.41000997*
1185519-8In98.699001,465*
1175520-7In98.599002,182*
1165420-8In97.099103,344*
1155421-7In96.298114,576*
1145321-8In93.997216,530*
1135322-7In90.895229,036*
1125222-8In87.39343012,475*
1115223-7In82.39154016,838*
1105123-8In76.08876022,405*
1095023-9In67.683980028,775*
1085024-8In58.377121100037,127*
1074924-9In47.5701514010047,385*
1064925-8In36.462191801059,092*
1054825-9In26.1522322120072,837*
1044826-8In16.64226261400088,005*
1034726-9In9.433293036000105,327*
1024727-8100.0%4.5233033590100123,823*
1014627-9100.01.81529338130200144,407*
1004628-8100.00.69273112171300164,933*
994528-999.90.15232616212610186,013*
984529-899.80.021820202449200205,804*
974429-999.5No1141322257133000226,154*
964430-898.70.00982223121861000243,596*
954330-996.6No06420181721113000260,367*
944331-892.0No032161220221661000273,693*
934231-983.4No0211172120211241000284,260*
924232-869.9No0107319162318931000290,673*
914132-953.0No0041151021231562000292,253*
904133-835.5No00201161624221251000291,334*
894033-920.8No00107210212520103100286,163*
884034-810.6No000415142425177200276,860*
873934-94.8No000202818262413510263,449*
863935-81.9No00101412232721920248,385*
853835-90.7No0000161626271651231,246*
843836-80.2No00000310222924102211,418*
833736-90.1No00015152830174190,845*
823737-80.0No00000292333257170,620*
813637-90.0No0001517323213149,033*
803638-80.0No0000311293719129,762*
793538-90.0No00017234128111,502*
783539-80.0No0000418413794,154*
773439-9OutNo000212394778,224*
763440-8OutNo0018355664,999*
753340-9OutNo005306552,485*
743341-8OutNo03247341,819*
733241-9OutNo002197932,855*
723242-8OutNo01158425,684*
713142-9OutNo01118919,458*
703143-8OutNo089114,986*
693043-9OutNo069411,008*
683044-8OutNo04968,031*
672944-9OutNo3976,041*
662945-8OutNo2984,209*
652845-9OutNo2982,985*
642846-8OutNo01992,071*
632746-9OutNo1991,481*
622747-8OutNo01001,022*
612748-7OutNo0100611*
0-60OutNo1001,691*
Total:50.0%3.3%66666666666666666,240,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators*-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1+0.0*-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning-0.9-0.8-0.7+0.3+0.3+1.1
New Jersey Devils vs Florida Panthers-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Boston Bruins vs Columbus Blue Jackets+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1
Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
123-164100
1225818-61000
1215718-7100
1205618-89900
1195619-79900
1185519-899100
1175520-798100
1165420-897210
1155421-796211
1145321-894321
1135322-791522
1125222-88764030
1115223-7829540
1105123-8761270600
1095023-96815908000
1085024-85819120110000
1074924-947221501400100
1064925-83625181171010
1054825-9262622121112000
1044826-81726243242140000
1034726-99232442643060000
1024727-841923726750900100
1014627-9214201023108012002000
1004628-8191512171311016113000
994528-90510131115151193206010
984529-8026125151831954090200
974429-913112111751797013130000
964430-80018071481112110162601000
954330-9005049116121511741003000
944331-80030251121017315715161000
934231-90021290714710101831241000
924232-800101703101051117618931000
914132-900004015102911102016820000
904133-80002002905511172216720000
894033-900010016022910202316821000
884034-80000040105412212317931000
873934-900000200021512212318104100
863935-80001001015122023191151000
853835-90000000015111923201251000
843836-800000001411192421135100
833736-9000000141120252112410
823737-8000000015122126211030
813637-9000000261424271871
803638-80000028182827143
793538-900013112432237
783539-800001618313113
773439-9000311283821
763440-80016224031
753340-90003154041
743341-8002103652
733241-900163262
723242-80042571
713142-90022078
703143-8011683
693043-9011188
683044-80892
672944-90694
662945-80496
652845-90397
642846-80298
632746-9199
622747-8199
612748-70100
602648-80100
0-59100
Total:333343434342424244444333333333