How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators+0.1*-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.5*+0.0
+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1*+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres-4.9-0.7-0.6+3.8+4.3+4.8
-0.8-0.2-0.1+0.7+0.8+0.8
-0.5-0.1-0.1+0.4+0.5+0.5
New Jersey Devils vs Florida Panthers+0.2*-0.2*-0.1*-0.2-0.5-0.1
Carolina Hurricanes vs Winnipeg Jets-0.2*+0.1-0.3*+0.1*+0.1+0.2
Boston Bruins vs Columbus Blue Jackets-0.1*-0.2-0.3*-0.0*-0.1+0.2
Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning*+0.1*-0.3-0.3*-0.1-0.5*+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Buffalo Sabres finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
123-164InYes100925*
1225818-6In99.6%1000239*
1215718-7InYes100395*
1205618-8In99.31000602*
1195619-7In98.99910975*
1185519-8In99.1100001,458*
1175520-7In97.899112,183*
1165420-8In97.699113,224*
1155421-7In96.3981104,516*
1145321-8In93.7972106,480*
1135322-7In91.4962208,993*
1125222-8In87.59433012,394*
1115223-7In82.79154016,595*
1105123-8In75.788750021,937*
1095124-7In67.683980028,753*
1085024-8In58.978121000037,227*
1074924-9In47.370151401047,201*
1064925-8In36.6611918010059,407*
1054825-9In25.852232212072,955*
1044826-8In16.54226261400087,980*
1034726-9In9.232293036000105,407*
1024727-8100.0%4.4233032590100123,992*
1014627-9100.01.81529338130200143,784*
1004628-8100.00.592731121713000164,791*
994528-999.90.152326162126100185,157*
984529-899.90.0218202024492000206,693*
974429-999.50.01141322257133000226,351*
964430-898.70.00982223121861000244,319*
954330-996.6No06420181721113000260,485*
944331-891.9No032161220221661000274,568*
934231-983.2No0211172120211241000283,457*
924232-870.1No010731916231893100290,253*
914132-952.9No0041151021231562000292,545*
904133-835.6No00201151624221251000291,312*
894033-920.7No00107210212520103100285,669*
884034-810.6No0010415142425177200276,350*
873934-94.8No000202818262314510264,002*
863935-81.9No000101412222821920248,771*
853835-90.7No000000261626271651230,705*
843836-80.3No00000310222924102212,168*
833736-90.1No000015152830174191,287*
823737-80.0No00000292333257170,222*
813637-90.0No0001517323212149,511*
803638-80.0No00000211293820130,461*
793538-90.0No00017234128111,049*
783539-8OutNo000417413793,898*
773439-9OutNo00212394778,296*
763440-8OutNo0018345664,387*
753340-9OutNo005296552,864*
743341-8OutNo003257241,730*
733241-9OutNo02197933,257*
723242-8OutNo01158425,334*
713142-9OutNo00118919,653*
703143-8OutNo089214,710*
693043-9OutNo069411,163*
683044-8OutNo04968,349*
672944-9OutNo03975,867*
662945-8OutNo2984,158*
652845-9OutNo1992,900*
642846-8OutNo01002,024*
632746-9OutNo1991,373*
622747-8OutNo199965*
612647-9OutNo0100629*
602648-8OutNo0100407*
592649-7OutNo0100298*
582549-8OutNo199186*
572550-7OutNo199100*
0-56OutNo100664*
Total:50.0%3.3%66666666666666666,240,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres+1.0+0.1+0.1-0.8-0.9-1.0
New Jersey Devils vs Florida Panthers-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0
Boston Bruins vs Columbus Blue Jackets+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0+0.0-0.1
Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0*+0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
123-164100
1225818-61000
1215718-7100
1205618-89900
1195619-799010
1185519-899100
1175520-798111
1165420-898111
1155421-7962110
1145321-8943210
1135322-79142020
1125222-8876330
1115223-7839540
1105123-87612705000
1095124-76815908000
1085024-85919120100000
1074924-94722150140010
1064925-837251911700100
1054825-92626221211120
1044826-81726243242140000
1034726-99232442643060000
1024727-8419237267509001000
1014627-921319923108013002000
1004628-81915121714110161130000
994528-905101311151511932060100
984529-802613515183195409020000
974429-9013112121751697013130000
964430-80018071481112120162601000
954330-9005049116131511741003000
944331-80030251121017315715161000
934231-900201290714710101831241000
924232-80010170310105111761793100
914132-900004015101911102016820000
904133-80002002905511172216720000
894033-900010160219102023167210000
884034-800010040105412212317931000
873934-900002000215122123181041000
863935-800001001015122023191151000
853835-9000000000014111924201251000
843836-8000000001411192421135100
833736-90000000141120252112410
823737-8000000015122126211030
813637-90000261424271971
803638-800000027182827143
793538-9000013112431237
783539-80001618313113
773439-90000311273821
763440-80016224031
753340-90003154041
743341-8001103752
733241-90163162
723242-80042670
713142-9022177
703143-8011584
693043-911188
683044-800891
672944-90694
662945-80496
652845-9298
642846-8199
632746-9199
622747-8199
612647-90100
602648-80100
592649-70100
582549-8199
572550-7199
0-56100
Total:333333434342424244444333333333