How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators*+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.4*-0.3*+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Boston Bruins vs Columbus Blue Jackets+3.9+3.6+3.2-1.0-1.1-5.3
+0.7+0.7+0.6-0.3-0.3-0.9
+0.4+0.4+0.4-0.1-0.1-0.6
New Jersey Devils vs Florida Panthers+0.3*-0.2-0.2-0.3-0.5-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0
Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning*+0.1*-0.3-0.4*-0.2-0.4+0.1
Carolina Hurricanes vs Winnipeg Jets-0.2*-0.3*-0.1*+0.0*-0.2+0.3
Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres*+0.1-0.3*-0.1-0.4-0.3*+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Boston Bruins finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
122-164In99.9%1001,199*
1215718-7In99.51000414*
1205618-8In99.21000610*
1195619-7In99.51000988*
1185519-8In99.099001,499*
1175520-7In98.299002,231*
1165420-8In97.499113,174*
1155421-7In96.198114,753*
1145321-8In94.097216,467*
1135322-7In91.395329,153*
1125222-8In87.39443012,517*
1115223-7In82.79154016,743*
1105123-8In75.687750022,424*
1095023-9In67.683980028,877*
1085024-8In58.277121000037,491*
1074924-9In47.370161401047,719*
1064925-8In36.461191801059,138*
1054825-9In25.95223221200072,397*
1044826-8In16.64226261400088,040*
1034726-9In9.432293026000105,026*
1024727-8In4.523303259010123,569*
1014627-9100.0%1.815293381302000143,626*
1004628-8100.00.592731121713000164,728*
994528-9100.00.152326162126100185,621*
984529-899.80.0218202024492000206,679*
974429-999.50.0113132325713300226,182*
964430-898.7No0982223121861000245,240*
954330-996.6No064201817211130000260,436*
944331-891.9No032161220221661000274,058*
934231-983.2No0211172120211241000283,678*
924232-870.0No010731916231893000289,804*
914132-953.0No0041151021231562000292,965*
904133-835.4No00201151625221251000291,677*
894033-920.8No00107210212519103100284,814*
884034-810.5No000415142425177200276,044*
873934-94.6No000202818262413510264,076*
863935-81.8No00101412232821920247,798*
853835-90.7No00000161626271651230,808*
843836-80.2No000000310223023102211,097*
833736-90.1No0000015152830174191,025*
823737-80.0No00000292333247170,726*
813637-90.0No0001517323212149,862*
803638-80.0No0000311293819130,347*
793538-9OutNo0017234128111,400*
783539-8OutNo000418413794,010*
773439-9OutNo00212394778,565*
763440-8OutNo018355665,013*
753340-9OutNo0005306552,006*
743341-8OutNo003247341,572*
733241-9OutNo002197933,305*
723242-8OutNo01158425,393*
713142-9OutNo00118919,859*
703143-8OutNo089214,769*
693043-9OutNo069411,227*
683044-8OutNo04968,318*
672944-9OutNo02985,867*
662945-8OutNo2984,221*
652845-9OutNo1993,020*
642846-8OutNo01992,106*
632746-9OutNo01001,425*
622747-8OutNo0100955*
612748-7OutNo0100597*
602648-8OutNo0100409*
0-59OutNo1001,203*
Total:50.0%3.3%66666666666666666,240,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1+0.0*-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston Bruins vs Columbus Blue Jackets-0.8-0.8-0.7+0.2+0.2+1.1
New Jersey Devils vs Florida Panthers-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1-0.0
Carolina Hurricanes vs Winnipeg Jets+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0
Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres*-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1*+0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
123-164100
1225818-61000
1215718-710000
1205618-89910
1195619-79900
1185519-899000
1175520-798100
1165420-897111
1155421-796211
1145321-894321
1135322-791432
1125222-8877430
1115223-783950400
1105123-87612705000
1095023-96815908000
1085024-85819120100000
1074924-94722150140010
1064925-83625191170010
1054825-92626221211120000
1044826-81726243242140000
1034726-99232442642060000
1024727-85192372675090010
1014627-9213209231080120020000
1004628-81915121714110161130000
994528-905101311151511932060100
984529-802613515173195409020000
974429-901311212185169701313000
964430-8018071481112120162601000
954330-90050491161215117410030000
944331-80030251121017415715161000
934231-900201290714710101831241000
924232-80010170310105111761793100
914132-90000401510291110201682000
904133-80002002905511172216720000
894033-90001016021910202216721000
884034-80000040105412212317931000
873934-900002000215122123181041000
863935-800010001015122023191151000
853835-90000000014111924201251000
843836-80000000001411192421135100
833736-90000000141120252112410
823737-8000000015122126211030
813637-900000261424271971
803638-80000028182827143
793538-900013112432237
783539-80001617323113
773439-9000311273721
763440-80016214131
753340-9003164041
743341-8001103752
733241-90163162
723242-80042670
713142-9022078
703143-8011584
693043-9011188
683044-80891
672944-90694
662945-8496
652845-90397
642846-80298
632746-9199
622747-8199
612748-7199
602648-80100
0-59100
Total:333343434342424244444333333333