Toronto Maple Leafs Playoff Chances 2017-2018 50/50

Beat Tampa Bay Lightning 189-168, Beat Vegas Golden Knights 189-89.5, playoff odds up 1.9 to 99.6%
48 points   24-0 8 0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay Lightning 168 Toronto Maple Leafs 189 +1.6
+1.1
+0.5
Vegas Golden Knights 89.5 Toronto Maple Leafs 189 +1.3
+1.0
+0.4
Carolina Hurricanes 101.5 Pittsburgh Penguins 168.5 -0.2
Chicago Blackhawks 103.5 New York Rangers 210.5 -0.2
Boston Bruins 235.5 Vancouver Canucks 96.5 -0.2
-0.1
Tampa Bay Lightning 168 Philadelphia Flyers 188 +0.2
+0.1
Boston Bruins 235.5 Edmonton Oilers 120 -0.2
-0.1
Columbus Blue Jackets 151.75 Nashville Predators 141 -0.2
Montreal Canadiens 144.5 New York Islanders 244.25 -0.2
Colorado Avalanche 185.25 Pittsburgh Penguins 168.5 +0.2
Ottawa Senators 212.25 New York Rangers 210.5 +0.2
-0.1
Columbus Blue Jackets 151.75 Minnesota Wild 94.25 -0.1
Chicago Blackhawks 103.5 Florida Panthers 226.5 -0.6
Carolina Hurricanes 101.5 Florida Panthers 226.5 -0.5
Vegas Golden Knights 89.5 Arizona Coyotes 214.25 -0.4
Los Angeles Kings 114.75 Arizona Coyotes 214.25 -0.4
Ottawa Senators 212.25 San Jose Sharks 176.75 -0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Toronto Maple Leafs finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
7011-000In70.0%76241,102
6810-010In45.857043010,200
669-020In21.335064151,555
648-030In6.016177060154,561
627-040In0.851750200309,106
606-050In0.0105614201432,740
585-060InNo0029363040433,166
564-070100.0%No00856651600309,604
543-08099.8No123920334000154,775
522-09093.5No00928362061051,409
501-010062.3No117162825112010,206
480-011020.5No531230291921,124
Total:99.6%1.5%304124137100001,919,548
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay Lightning 168 Toronto Maple Leafs 189 -1.0
Vegas Golden Knights 89.5 Toronto Maple Leafs 189 -0.7
Ottawa Senators 212.25 San Jose Sharks 176.75 +0.3
Ottawa Senators 212.25 New York Rangers 210.5 +0.2
Tampa Bay Lightning 168 Philadelphia Flyers 188 -0.2
Boston Bruins 235.5 Edmonton Oilers 120 +0.1
Boston Bruins 235.5 Vancouver Canucks 96.5 +0.1
Chicago Blackhawks 103.5 Florida Panthers 226.5 +0.1
Carolina Hurricanes 101.5 Florida Panthers 226.5 +0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-OTLT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
7011-00070624
6810-01046110430
669-02021140641
648-0306101077060
627-04014107500200
606-0500100560142001
585-0600002813630040
564-070000625651516000
543-0800020346203304000
522-090000452833320610
501-0100011710628251120
480-01105121203029192
Total:120040120411370100000