Toronto Maple Leafs Playoff Chances 2017-2018

Beat Tampa Bay Lightning 189-168, Beat Vegas Golden Knights 189-89.5, playoff odds up 0.01 to 99.99%
48 points   24-0 8 0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay Lightning 168 Toronto Maple Leafs 189 +0.0
+0.3
Vegas Golden Knights 89.5 Toronto Maple Leafs 189 +0.0
Ottawa Senators 212.25 New York Rangers 210.5 -0.1
Tampa Bay Lightning 168 Philadelphia Flyers 188 +0.1
Ottawa Senators 212.25 San Jose Sharks 176.75 -0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Toronto Maple Leafs finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
7011-000In0.7%397456,855
6810-010In0.01076231,529,188
669-020In0.000380622,057,829
648-030InNo001108911,448,881
627-040InNo209404585,015
606-050InNo00821170140,444
585-060100.0%No0515376020,334
564-07097.2No1494331301,729
543-08077.7No52845184103
480-0110OutNo342515498
Total:100.0%0.1%004105801000006,240,876
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay Lightning 168 Toronto Maple Leafs 189 -0.7
Ottawa Senators 212.25 New York Rangers 210.5 +0.3
Tampa Bay Lightning 168 Philadelphia Flyers 188 -0.2
Ottawa Senators 212.25 San Jose Sharks 176.75 +0.1
Vegas Golden Knights 89.5 Toronto Maple Leafs 189 -0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-OTLT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
7011-0001397
6810-0100107623
669-020000038062
648-0300001100891
627-04020094004
606-0500008111170
585-0600438537060
564-0706894213130
543-080525345184
480-0110342515
Total:0000410058001000000