Tampa Bay Lightning Playoff Chances 2017-2018 50/50

Lost to Philadelphia Flyers 168-188, Lost to Toronto Maple Leafs 168-189, playoff odds down 23.7 to 54.2%
38 points   19-0 13 0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay Lightning 168 Toronto Maple Leafs 189 -7.2
-0.1
-0.6
Tampa Bay Lightning 168 Philadelphia Flyers 188 -7.1
-0.1
-0.4
Boston Bruins 235.5 Edmonton Oilers 120 -1.3
-0.1
Colorado Avalanche 185.25 Pittsburgh Penguins 168.5 +1.2
Boston Bruins 235.5 Vancouver Canucks 96.5 -1.2
-0.1
Montreal Canadiens 144.5 New York Islanders 244.25 -1.2
Carolina Hurricanes 101.5 Pittsburgh Penguins 168.5 -1.2
Chicago Blackhawks 103.5 New York Rangers 210.5 -1.1
Ottawa Senators 212.25 New York Rangers 210.5 +1.0
Columbus Blue Jackets 151.75 Nashville Predators 141 -0.9
Columbus Blue Jackets 151.75 Minnesota Wild 94.25 -0.8
New Jersey Devils 202.5 New York Islanders 244.25 -0.8
New Jersey Devils 202.5 Edmonton Oilers 120 -0.5
Buffalo Sabres 146 Minnesota Wild 94.25 -0.3
Winnipeg Jets 122.75 Washington Capitals 246.25 -0.3
Carolina Hurricanes 101.5 Florida Panthers 226.5 -0.1
Chicago Blackhawks 103.5 Florida Panthers 226.5 -0.1
Vegas Golden Knights 89.5 Toronto Maple Leafs 189 -0.1
Ottawa Senators 212.25 San Jose Sharks 176.75 -0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Tampa Bay Lightning finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
6212-000In2.1%460314653
6011-010In0.110330491705,644
5810-020InNo0010046042130,875
569-030100.0%No102506670102,634
548-04099.4No0071692310232,059
527-05091.7No0114545710371,350
506-06059.5No001544281020433,282
485-07018.0No0216343413100370,968
464-0801.7No021236391010231,974
443-0900.0No0114443370103,140
422-0100OutNo022145284030,778
401-0110OutNo0426482105,602
380-0120OutNo0745443589
Total:54.2%0.0%000030252516141041001,919,548
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay Lightning 168 Toronto Maple Leafs 189 +1.1
Tampa Bay Lightning 168 Philadelphia Flyers 188 +0.8
Vegas Golden Knights 89.5 Toronto Maple Leafs 189 +0.2
Boston Bruins 235.5 Edmonton Oilers 120 +0.1
Boston Bruins 235.5 Vancouver Canucks 96.5 +0.1
Ottawa Senators 212.25 San Jose Sharks 176.75 +0.1
Ottawa Senators 212.25 New York Rangers 210.5 +0.1
Colorado Avalanche 185.25 Pittsburgh Penguins 168.5 -0.1
Carolina Hurricanes 101.5 Pittsburgh Penguins 168.5 +0.1
Chicago Blackhawks 103.5 New York Rangers 210.5 +0.1
Montreal Canadiens 144.5 New York Islanders 244.25 +0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-OTLT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
6212-0002260314
6011-010000330049170
5810-0200010004600421
569-030100250066070
548-04000060168023100
527-0500001432457100
506-060000113440291010
485-070011160353313100
464-08000201236391010
443-090001144434700
422-01000220442950
401-011003214427400
380-0120421402781
Total:000000300241250161410410000