Edmonton Oilers Playoff Chances 2017-2018

Lost to Boston Bruins 120-235.5, Lost to New Jersey Devils 120-202.5, playoff odds down 7.1 to 25.1%
22 points   11-0 21 0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia Flyers 188 San Jose Sharks 176.75 +7.8
+0.3
New Jersey Devils 202.5 Edmonton Oilers 120 -5.3
-0.3
Boston Bruins 235.5 Edmonton Oilers 120 -3.6
-0.2
Columbus Blue Jackets 151.75 Minnesota Wild 94.25 +1.2
+0.0
Buffalo Sabres 146 Minnesota Wild 94.25 +1.0
+0.0
Ottawa Senators 212.25 San Jose Sharks 176.75 +0.8
+0.0
Winnipeg Jets 122.75 Dallas Stars 262.5 +0.3
+0.0
Chicago Blackhawks 103.5 New York Rangers 210.5 +0.2
+0.0
Winnipeg Jets 122.75 Washington Capitals 246.25 *+0.1
+0.0
Chicago Blackhawks 103.5 Florida Panthers 226.5 *+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Edmonton Oilers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
4612-000InNo3763498
42-44InNo100142*
409-030InNo19812,344
388-04099.9%No09603024,656
367-05097.8No08711200158,653
346-06082.5No0641814300626,113
325-07043.9No33112923401,461,881
304-08011.0No9217472401,905,492
283-0901.2No1033360301,387,227
262-01000.0No000872190552,495
241-0110OutNo0445420111,925
220-0120OutNo8771609,450
Total:25.1%No020051428293006,240,876

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia Flyers 188 San Jose Sharks 176.75 -0.8
New Jersey Devils 202.5 Edmonton Oilers 120 +0.7
Boston Bruins 235.5 Edmonton Oilers 120 +0.5
Tampa Bay Lightning 168 Philadelphia Flyers 188 +0.1
Columbus Blue Jackets 151.75 Minnesota Wild 94.25 -0.1
Ottawa Senators 212.25 San Jose Sharks 176.75 -0.1
Buffalo Sabres 146 Minnesota Wild 94.25 -0.1
Winnipeg Jets 122.75 Dallas Stars 262.5 -0.1
Detroit Red Wings 132 Vancouver Canucks 96.5 +0.0
Detroit Red Wings 132 Nashville Predators 141 -0.0
Winnipeg Jets 122.75 Washington Capitals 246.25 -0.0
Chicago Blackhawks 103.5 New York Rangers 210.5 -0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-OTLT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
4612-0003763
42-44100
409-0301981
388-04009603000
367-0500871101100
346-06006418048510
325-07033110110261630
304-080920119442310
283-090100227551410
262-010000033948100
241-011005454630
220-0120666262
Total:0200500141324248200