San Jose Sharks Playoff Chances 2010-2011 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 92.9%

104 points 28-7 21-6

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Red Wings 1 Stars 4	-0.3
Canucks 3 Blues 2	+0.3

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Flames vs Sharks	-3.7-0.8-0.6+1.4+1.6+3.3		-0.5-0.2-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.5
Blue Jackets vs Coyotes	-0.2+0.0-0.1+0.1+0.0+0.2		+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sharks finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

159	-164								In		100															62	*
158		16	-	3	1		-	0	In		80	20														5	*
157		15	-	3	0		-	2	In		80	20														5	*
156		15	-	3	1		-	1	In		90	10														10	*
155		14	-	4	1		-	1	In		67	33														30	*
154		15	-	2	2		-	1	In		68	32														59	*
153		14	-	3	2		-	1	In		56	44														152	*
152		13	-	4	2		-	1	In		51	49	0													242	*
151		13	-	3	2		-	2	In		43	57	0													497	*
150		12	-	4	2		-	2	In		43	57	0													792	*
149		11	-	5	2		-	2	In		32	66	1	0												1,480	*
148		12	-	3	3		-	2	In		23	75	3	0												2,278	*
147		11	-	4	3		-	2	In		19	77	4	0												3,542	*
146		11	-	3	3		-	3	In		13	80	6	0												5,463	*
145		11	-	3	4		-	2	In		10	81	9	1												7,811	*
144		10	-	4	4		-	2	In		6	80	12	1	0											11,156	*
143		10	-	3	4		-	3	In		4	76	17	2	0											14,425	*
142		9	-	4	4		-	3	In		2	72	22	4	0											19,288	*
141		9	-	4	5		-	2	In		1	65	28	6	0											24,296	*
140		9	-	3	5		-	3	In		1	56	34	9	0	0										29,739	*
139		8	-	4	5		-	3	In		0	46	39	13	1	0										35,512	*
138		8	-	4	6		-	2	In		0	37	43	19	2	0										40,797	*
137		8	-	3	6		-	3	In		0	27	45	25	4	0										45,094	*
136		7	-	4	6		-	3	In		0	18	44	30	7	0	0									48,616	*
135		7	-	3	6		-	4	In		0	11	41	33	13	1	0									51,524	*
134		7	-	3	7		-	3	In			6	35	34	20	4	0	0								51,716	*
133		6	-	4	7		-	3	100.0	%		3	28	31	28	9	1	0	0							50,765	*
132		6	-	3	7		-	4	100.0			1	20	24	34	17	4	0	0	0						48,786	*
131		6	-	3	8		-	3	99.9			0	13	16	34	26	9	1	0							45,282	*
130		5	-	4	8		-	3	99.6			0	7	8	29	33	18	4	0	0						40,632	*
129		5	-	3	8		-	4	97.9			0	4	4	19	34	27	11	2	0	0					35,333	*
128		5	-	3	9		-	3	93.0				2	1	9	27	34	20	6	1	0					29,897	*
127		5	-	2	9		-	4	82.2				1	0	4	16	32	30	14	3	0					24,551	*
126		4	-	3	9		-	4	64.9				0	0	1	7	23	34	25	9	1	0	0			19,246	*
125		4	-	3	10		-	3	44.0				0	0	0	3	12	29	33	18	5	0	0			14,891	*
124		4	-	2	10		-	4	24.7				0	0	0	1	5	19	34	28	11	2	0			10,953	*
123		4	-	2	11		-	3	11.8							0	2	10	27	35	21	5	0			7,904	*
122		3	-	3	11		-	3	4.2							0	0	4	17	34	32	12	1			5,524	*
121		3	-	2	11		-	4	1.2								0	1	9	27	38	22	3	0		3,558	*
120		3	-	2	12		-	3	0.3									0	4	18	39	32	7	0		2,257	*
119		2	-	3	12		-	3	0.1									0	1	10	33	42	13	0		1,418	*
118		2	-	2	12		-	4	Out										0	5	24	45	24	1		809	*
117		2	-	2	13		-	3	Out											2	17	46	32	3		504	*
116		1	-	3	13		-	3	Out												9	43	45	4		238	*
115		2	-	1	14		-	3	Out												5	34	52	9		128	*
114		1	-	2	14		-	3	Out												5	15	71	8		59	*
113		1	-	1	14		-	4	Out													9	68	24		34	*
112		1	-	1	15		-	3	Out													10	90			10	*
111		1	-	0	15		-	4	Out													30	30	40		10	*
110		0	-	2	16		-	2	Out														75	25		4	*
109		0	-	1	16		-	3	Out															100		1
104		0	-	0	20		-	0	Out														20	69	10	59

Total:									92.9	%	1	20	24	16	12	9	7	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	737,444

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Flames vs Sharks	+1.0+0.3+0.3-0.3-0.4-0.9
Blue Jackets vs Coyotes	-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

164		20	-	0	0		-	0	98	2
159	-160								100
158		16	-	3	1		-	0	40	40	20
157		15	-	3	0		-	2	40	40	20
156		15	-	3	1		-	1	70	20	10
155		14	-	4	1		-	1	43	23	33
154		14	-	3	1		-	2	46	22	32
153		14	-	3	2		-	1	37	19	44
152		13	-	4	2		-	1	23	28	48	1	0
151		13	-	3	2		-	2	18	25	56	0	0
150		12	-	4	2		-	2	13	30	56	1	0
149		11	-	5	2		-	2	9	24	64	3	1		0
148		12	-	3	3		-	2	5	18	71	4	3		0
147		11	-	4	3		-	2	3	16	71	6	4		0
146		11	-	3	3		-	3	2	12	70	10	6		0
145		11	-	3	4		-	2	1	9	68	13	9	0	1	0
144		10	-	4	4		-	2	0	6	62	18	12	0	1	0	0
143		10	-	3	4		-	3	0	4	54	23	17	0	2	0	0
142		9	-	4	4		-	3	0	2	45	27	22	0	3	0	0
141		9	-	4	5		-	2	0	1	36	30	27	1	5	1	0
140		9	-	3	5		-	3		1	26	30	32	2	7	2	0		0
139		8	-	4	5		-	3		0	17	29	36	4	10	4	1	0	0
138		8	-	4	6		-	2		0	11	26	37	6	13	6	2	0	0
137		8	-	3	6		-	3		0	6	21	36	9	14	11	3	0	0
136		7	-	4	6		-	3		0	3	15	32	12	15	15	7	0	0		0
135		7	-	3	6		-	4		0	1	10	27	15	13	20	12	1	1		0
134		7	-	3	7		-	3			0	5	19	16	11	24	18	2	4	0	0		0
133		6	-	4	7		-	3			0	3	13	15	7	24	23	5	9	0	1		0		0
132		6	-	3	7		-	4			0	1	7	13	4	20	25	10	17	0	4	0	0		0	0
131		6	-	3	8		-	3			0	0	3	9	2	14	21	13	25	1	9	0	1		0
130		5	-	4	8		-	3				0	2	6	0	8	14	15	30	3	18	0	4		0	0
129		5	-	3	8		-	4				0	0	3	0	4	6	12	28	6	27	0	11		2	0	0
128		5	-	3	9		-	3					0	1	0	1	2	7	20	7	33	1	20		6	1	0
127		5	-	2	9		-	4					0	1		0	1	3	9	7	30	2	30	0	14	3	0
126		4	-	3	9		-	4						0		0	0	1	3	4	20	2	33	0	25	9	1	0	0
125		4	-	3	10		-	3						0		0	0	0	1	2	10	2	29	0	33	18	5	0	0
124		4	-	2	10		-	4						0		0		0	0	0	3	2	18	1	34	28	11	2	0
123		4	-	2	11		-	3												0	1	1	9	1	27	35	21	5	0
122		3	-	3	11		-	3												0	0	0	3	0	17	34	32	12	1
121		3	-	2	11		-	4													0		1	0	8	27	38	22	4	0
120		3	-	2	12		-	3															0	0	3	17	38	33	9	1	0
119		2	-	3	12		-	3																0	1	10	29	41	16	3	0
118		2	-	2	12		-	4																	0	4	20	39	29	6	1	0
117		2	-	2	13		-	3																		2	11	35	37	13	2	1
116		1	-	3	13		-	3																			4	26	41	20	8	0
115		2	-	1	14		-	3																			2	16	31	33	13	5
114		1	-	2	14		-	3																			2	7	27	34	22	7	2
113		1	-	1	14		-	4																				3	6	29	35	21	6
112		1	-	1	15		-	3																						30	40	30
111		1	-	0	15		-	4																				10	10	10	10	20	40
110		0	-	2	16		-	2																						25		25	50
109		0	-	1	16		-	3																										100
104		0	-	0	20		-	0																								3	8	32	44	10		2

Total:									0	1	9	10	16	7	6	10	9	4	8	1	6	0	5	0	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0