Ottawa Senators Playoff Chances 2010-2011 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.06 to 0.6%

68 points 19-1 31-9

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Canadiens 4 Maple Leafs 5	-0.1
Flyers 4 Islanders 3 (ot)			+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Sabres vs Senators	-0.4-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.5		-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3
Hurricanes vs Penguins	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Capitals vs Rangers	+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Senators finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

134		22	-	0	0		-	0	In			17	14	19	49	2										59
130		19	-	2	0		-	1	In							100										1
128		17	-	4	0		-	1	In					100												1
126		16	-	5	1		-	0	In						50		50									2	*
125		17	-	2	1		-	2	In						11	44	44									9	*
124		17	-	2	2		-	1	In						6	28	56	11								18	*
123		16	-	3	2		-	1	In						4	8	68	20								25	*
122		14	-	5	1		-	2	92.9	%					1	16	50	26	7							70	*
121		15	-	3	2		-	2	90.6							9	46	35	9	1						127	*
120		14	-	4	2		-	2	85.5							5	40	41	13	1	0					241	*
119		13	-	5	2		-	2	73.2							3	25	45	23	4						440	*
118		14	-	3	3		-	2	61.3							1	19	41	31	7	1					776	*
117		13	-	4	3		-	2	49.9							0	10	39	37	12	1	0				1,278	*
116		13	-	3	3		-	3	34.3							0	7	27	41	21	3	0				1,878	*
115		12	-	4	3		-	3	21.9								3	19	40	30	8	1				3,033	*
114		12	-	4	4		-	2	12.0							0	1	11	33	38	15	2	0			4,445	*
113		12	-	3	4		-	3	6.0								0	6	26	40	23	5	0			6,397	*
112		11	-	4	4		-	3	2.4								0	2	16	39	32	10	1	0		8,966	*
111		11	-	4	5		-	2	0.8								0	1	9	31	39	18	3	0		12,126	*
110		11	-	3	5		-	3	0.3									0	4	21	40	27	7	1	0	15,995	*
109		10	-	4	5		-	3	0.1									0	2	13	35	36	13	1	0	20,197	*
108		9	-	5	5		-	3	0.0									0	0	7	27	40	21	3	0	24,845	*
107		10	-	3	6		-	3	0.0									0	0	3	19	39	31	7	0	29,793	*
106		9	-	4	6		-	3	Out										0	1	11	35	39	14	1	35,009	*
105		9	-	3	6		-	4	Out										0	0	6	27	44	21	1	39,727	*
104		9	-	3	7		-	3	Out										0	0	3	18	45	32	3	43,756	*
103		8	-	4	7		-	3	Out											0	1	11	41	41	6	46,694	*
102		8	-	3	7		-	4	Out											0	0	6	33	51	10	48,708	*
101		7	-	4	7		-	4	Out											0	0	3	25	56	15	49,593	*
100		7	-	4	8		-	3	Out												0	1	18	58	22	48,341	*
99		7	-	3	8		-	4	Out												0	1	12	57	30	47,008	*
98		7	-	3	9		-	3	Out												0	0	7	53	39	43,519	*
97		6	-	4	9		-	3	Out													0	4	48	48	39,661	*
96		6	-	3	9		-	4	Out													0	2	41	57	34,674	*
95		6	-	3	10		-	3	Out													0	1	35	64	29,844	*
94		5	-	3	9		-	5	Out														1	28	71	24,723	*
93		5	-	3	10		-	4	Out														0	22	78	20,124	*
92		5	-	3	11		-	3	Out														0	18	82	15,703	*
91		5	-	2	11		-	4	Out														0	13	87	12,122	*
90		4	-	3	11		-	4	Out															9	91	8,848	*
89		4	-	3	12		-	3	Out															6	94	6,476	*
88		4	-	2	12		-	4	Out															5	95	4,508	*
87		3	-	3	12		-	4	Out															3	97	2,981	*
86		3	-	3	13		-	3	Out															3	97	1,928	*
85		3	-	2	13		-	4	Out															1	99	1,125	*
84		3	-	2	14		-	3	Out															1	99	701	*
83		2	-	2	13		-	5	Out															0	100	385	*
82		2	-	2	14		-	4	Out															0	100	252	*
81		2	-	2	15		-	3	Out																100	131	*
80		2	-	1	15		-	4	Out															2	98	55	*
68	-79								Out																100	126	*

Total:									0.6	%		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	6	11	19	33	27	737,444

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Thursday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Sabres vs Senators	+0.4+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.5
Oilers vs Blues	+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

134		22	-	0	0		-	0				17	3	10	5	14	37	12	2
130		19	-	2	0		-	1												100
128		17	-	4	0		-	1								100
126		16	-	5	1		-	0										50				50
125		17	-	2	1		-	2										11		44		44
124		17	-	2	2		-	1										6		28		56		11
123		16	-	3	2		-	1										4		8		68		20
122		14	-	5	1		-	2										1		16		50		26		1	4		1
121		15	-	3	2		-	2												9		46	1	35			2	4	4
120		14	-	4	2		-	2												5		40		41		1	3	6	3	1
119		13	-	5	2		-	2												3		25		45		0	5	8	9	5	0
118		14	-	3	3		-	2												1		19		41		0	3	10	16	8	2	0
117		13	-	4	3		-	2												0		10		39		0	2	8	19	16	5	0
116		13	-	3	3		-	3												0		7		27		0	1	6	21	26	10	2	0
115		12	-	4	3		-	3														3		19			0	3	17	32	20	5	1	0
114		12	-	4	4		-	2												0		1		11			0	1	11	31	30	12	2	0
113		12	-	3	4		-	3														0		6			0	0	6	25	34	22	6	1	0
112		11	-	4	4		-	3														0		2				0	3	16	32	30	14	3	0	0
111		11	-	4	5		-	2														0		1				0	1	8	25	35	23	7	1	0
110		11	-	3	5		-	3																0				0	0	3	16	32	30	14	3	0	0
109		10	-	4	5		-	3																0					0	1	9	25	35	23	7	1	0
108		9	-	5	5		-	3																0					0	0	4	16	33	31	13	2	0
107		10	-	3	6		-	3																0						0	1	9	26	36	23	5	0	0
106		9	-	4	6		-	3																						0	0	4	18	35	31	10	1	0
105		9	-	3	6		-	4																							0	2	11	30	38	18	2	0
104		9	-	3	7		-	3																						0	0	1	5	22	40	27	5	0
103		8	-	4	7		-	3																								0	2	14	37	37	9	1
102		8	-	3	7		-	4																								0	1	8	30	45	15	1
101		7	-	4	7		-	4																								0	0	4	23	47	23	3
100		7	-	4	8		-	3																								0	0	2	15	46	31	6
99		7	-	3	8		-	4																								0	0	1	9	41	39	10
98		7	-	3	9		-	3																									0	0	5	34	44	16
97		6	-	4	9		-	3																										0	2	27	47	23
96		6	-	3	9		-	4																										0	1	20	47	32
95		6	-	3	10		-	3																											0	14	45	41
94		5	-	3	9		-	5																											0	9	42	49
93		5	-	3	10		-	4																											0	6	36	58
92		5	-	3	11		-	3																											0	4	30	66
91		5	-	2	11		-	4																											0	2	24	74
90		4	-	3	11		-	4																												1	20	79
89		4	-	3	12		-	3																												1	14	86
88		4	-	2	12		-	4																												0	10	90
87		3	-	3	12		-	4																												0	7	93
86		3	-	3	13		-	3																												0	6	94
85		3	-	2	13		-	4																												0	3	97
84		3	-	2	14		-	3																													2	98
83		2	-	2	13		-	5																													1	99
82		2	-	2	14		-	4																													0	100
81		2	-	2	15		-	3																														100
80		2	-	1	15		-	4																													2	98
68	-79																																					100

Total:												0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0	0		0	0	0	0	1	2	4	6	10	15	23	21	16