How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Red Wings 1 Stars 4 -0.6
-0.3
FridayNone

What If

Chances based on how well the Red Wings finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTL-OTplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
161-170In10079*
16015-31-2In95538*
15915-32-1In861471*
15814-42-1In937141*
15714-32-2In8416253*
15613-42-2In7921468*
15513-43-1In7723773*
15413-33-2In67331,354*
15312-43-2In62382,151*
15212-33-3In56443,336*
15111-43-3In475304,909*
15011-44-2In4159007,028*
14911-34-3In3466009,728*
14810-44-3In26731013,400*
14710-45-2In21781017,483*
14610-35-3In16822022,373*
1459-45-3In11854027,152*
1449-35-4In8866032,340*
1439-36-3In58590037,437*
1428-46-3In382141042,425*
1418-36-4In276202046,267*
1408-37-3In169283048,747*
1397-47-3In1593640050,332*
1387-37-4In0484571051,102*
1377-38-3In03653101048,840*
1366-48-3In025591230046,271*
1356-38-4In015621571042,391*
1346-39-3In0861151230037,486*
1335-49-3100.0%4571417710032,589*
1325-39-4100.014911211340027,117*
1315-310-399.90397212292022,136*
1305-210-499.5030317271751017,433*
1294-310-497.60221112627112013,365*
1284-311-392.314052032217109,903*
1274-211-481.3902122830153007,105*
1264-212-364.75052134249104,917*
1253-312-344.230210303318413,280*
1243-212-425.011519342910202,096*
1233-213-311.91110283521401,393*
1222-313-35.1001417343491767*
1212-213-41.62102739185443*
1202-214-3Out52234309244*
1192-114-4Out3133137151112*
1182-115-3Out10185218250*
1172-116-2Out3143743335*
1161-115-4Out6593517*
1151-116-3Out50504
1141-117-2Out1003*
1131-017-3Out1001
1070-021-0Out198159
Total:98.6%5463154321100000737,444

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Red Wings 1 Stars 4 +0.5
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Flames vs Sharks-0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-OTL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
163-170100
16217-22-08020
16115-41-18515
16015-31-28785
15915-32-1761014
15814-42-177167
15714-32-2612316
15613-42-2552521
15513-43-1473023
15413-33-23729330
15312-43-23032380
15212-33-32333430
15111-43-316315210
15011-44-2122958100
14911-34-382663300
14810-44-342269410
14710-45-2318717100
14610-35-31147210200
1459-45-311170154000
1449-35-40866206000
1439-36-305602690000
1428-46-3035131140100
1418-36-4024135201100
1408-37-3013138262210
1397-47-31223733431000
1387-37-40143438743100
1377-38-30828411255100
1366-48-304214118573000
1356-38-4011437255106010
1346-39-300830314111013000
1335-49-304233431114370100
1325-39-4011534110156130400
1315-310-300931061382119020
1305-210-404260389252170510
1294-310-4022001472242701120
1284-311-311301415531121710
1274-211-4080027527130015300
1264-212-30502219234025910
1253-312-3301182290331841
1243-212-41003218134281020
1233-213-31119129342140
1222-313-3000041173334101
1212-213-410102540186
1202-214-35213229112
1192-114-42133037163
1182-115-3101440288
1172-116-2363431206
1161-216-23535246
1151-116-3255025
1141-117-2333333
1131-017-3100
1070-021-03104920152
Total:14271921112331302010100000000000