New York Rangers Playoff Chances 2010-2011 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 1.4 to 73.4%

90 points 22-10 26-4

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Canadiens 4 Maple Leafs 5	-1.6

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Capitals vs Rangers	-7.8-2.1-2.1+3.4+3.0+7.3		-0.4-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.1+0.4
Hurricanes vs Penguins	-1.7-0.7*-0.5+0.6+0.6+1.7		-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Sabres vs Senators	-1.4-0.5-0.2+0.4*+0.4+1.4
Lightning vs Devils	+0.8+0.1+0.2-0.1-0.2-0.8

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Rangers finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

150		20	-	0	0		-	0	In		56			44												59
144	-146								In					100												4	*
143		16	-	2	1		-	1	In			13		88												8	*
142		15	-	3	1		-	1	In		9			82	9											11	*
141		14	-	4	1		-	1	In		5			95												21	*
140		14	-	3	1		-	2	In				2	93	5											57	*
139		13	-	4	1		-	2	In		1			77	21											145	*
138		13	-	4	2		-	1	In				0	75	24	1										280	*
137		13	-	3	2		-	2	In					66	32	1										505	*
136		12	-	4	2		-	2	In			0		58	40	2										904	*
135		12	-	4	3		-	1	In				0	46	49	5										1,440	*
134		12	-	3	3		-	2	In				0	37	54	9	0									2,301	*
133		11	-	4	3		-	2	In					27	59	14	1									3,586	*
132		11	-	3	3		-	3	In					19	58	22	1									5,369	*
131		11	-	3	4		-	2	In					14	53	30	3									7,867	*
130		10	-	4	4		-	2	In					8	47	39	7	0								11,019	*
129		10	-	3	4		-	3	In					4	37	47	11	0								14,715	*
128		9	-	4	4		-	3	In					2	28	50	19	0								19,097	*
127		9	-	4	5		-	2	In					1	20	51	27	1								24,326	*
126		9	-	3	5		-	3	100.0	%				0	12	47	38	3	0							29,696	*
125		8	-	4	5		-	3	99.9					0	7	41	47	5	0							35,505	*
124		8	-	3	5		-	4	99.7					0	4	32	55	9	0							40,513	*
123		8	-	3	6		-	3	99.2					0	2	23	59	15	1	0						45,765	*
122		7	-	4	6		-	3	98.0					0	1	16	59	22	2	0						49,047	*
121		7	-	3	6		-	4	95.7						0	10	55	30	4	0						50,726	*
120		7	-	3	7		-	3	91.3						0	5	48	38	8	1	0					51,994	*
119		6	-	4	7		-	3	85.1						0	3	38	44	14	1	0					50,608	*
118		6	-	3	7		-	4	75.5							1	28	46	21	3	0	0				48,581	*
117		6	-	3	8		-	3	63.7							0	19	45	29	7	1	0				45,254	*
116		5	-	4	8		-	3	50.2							0	12	38	36	12	1	0				40,682	*
115		5	-	3	8		-	4	36.4							0	6	30	40	20	4	0	0			35,317	*
114		5	-	3	9		-	3	23.4							0	3	20	40	28	8	1	0			29,830	*
113		5	-	2	9		-	4	13.9								1	13	35	35	14	2	0			24,668	*
112		4	-	3	9		-	4	7.4								0	7	27	38	22	5	0			19,416	*
111		4	-	3	10		-	3	3.2								0	3	18	36	31	10	1	0		14,579	*
110		4	-	2	10		-	4	1.3								0	1	10	30	38	18	3	0		11,000	*
109		4	-	2	11		-	3	0.3									0	5	23	38	27	7	0		7,757	*
108		3	-	3	11		-	3	0.2									0	2	13	35	36	13	1	0	5,506	*
107		3	-	2	11		-	4	Out										0	7	29	39	22	3	0	3,587	*
106		3	-	2	12		-	3	Out										0	2	18	40	33	7	0	2,342	*
105		3	-	2	13		-	2	Out											1	10	31	41	16	1	1,430	*
104		3	-	1	13		-	3	Out											0	5	24	44	24	3	890	*
103		2	-	2	13		-	3	Out												3	17	40	36	4	493	*
102		2	-	1	13		-	4	Out												1	9	36	43	11	270	*
101		1	-	2	13		-	4	Out													5	22	50	23	107	*
100		1	-	2	14		-	3	Out														14	51	35	57	*
99		1	-	1	14		-	4	Out														13	40	47	30	*
98		1	-	1	15		-	3	Out														14	21	64	14	*
97		0	-	2	15		-	3	Out															67	33	6	*
96		1	-	0	16		-	3	Out															100		1
90		0	-	0	20		-	0	Out															3	97	59

Total:									73.4	%	0	0	0	1	6	15	30	22	13	7	4	2	1	0	0	737,444

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Canadiens 4 Maple Leafs 5	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Capitals vs Rangers	+1.0+0.3+0.3-0.4-0.4-1.0
Hurricanes vs Penguins	+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Sabres vs Senators	+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Oilers vs Blues	-0.0+0.0-0.1+0.0*-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

150		20	-	0	0		-	0	15	41					44
144	-146														100
143		16	-	2	1		-	1			13				88
142		15	-	3	1		-	1		9					82		9
141		14	-	4	1		-	1		5					95
140		14	-	3	1		-	2					2		93		5
139		13	-	4	1		-	2		1					74	3	21
138		13	-	4	2		-	1					0		65	10	24		1
137		13	-	3	2		-	2							59	8	32	0	1
136		12	-	4	2		-	2				0			45	13	39	1	2
135		12	-	4	3		-	1					0		30	16	46	2	5
134		12	-	3	3		-	2						0	19	18	48	6	9	0	0
133		11	-	4	3		-	2							10	17	47	12	13	0	1
132		11	-	3	3		-	3							5	15	38	20	20	2	1
131		11	-	3	4		-	2							2	12	25	28	25	5	3	0
130		10	-	4	4		-	2							0	7	14	33	26	12	6	1	0
129		10	-	3	4		-	3							0	4	6	32	22	25	10	2	0
128		9	-	4	4		-	3							0	2	2	27	14	36	12	7	0	0
127		9	-	4	5		-	2								1	0	19	7	44	12	15	1	0
126		9	-	3	5		-	3								0	0	12	2	45	10	28	2	1	0	0
125		8	-	4	5		-	3								0	0	7	1	40	6	42	2	3	0	0	0
124		8	-	3	5		-	4								0	0	4	0	32	2	53	2	7	0	0	0	0
123		8	-	3	6		-	3								0		2	0	23	1	58	1	13	0	0	0	0	0
122		7	-	4	6		-	3								0		1		16	0	59	1	21	0	1	1	0	0	0
121		7	-	3	6		-	4										0		10	0	55	0	30	0	1	2	1	0	0
120		7	-	3	7		-	3										0		5		48	0	38	0	1	3	3	2	0	0
119		6	-	4	7		-	3										0		3		38	0	44	0	1	3	5	4	1	0	0
118		6	-	3	7		-	4												1		28		46	0	0	3	8	9	4	1	0
117		6	-	3	8		-	3												0		19		45	0	0	2	8	15	9	2	0	0
116		5	-	4	8		-	3												0		12		38	0	0	1	7	18	17	5	1	0
115		5	-	3	8		-	4												0		6		30		0	0	4	18	25	12	3	0	0
114		5	-	3	9		-	3												0		3		20		0	0	2	15	30	21	7	1	0
113		5	-	2	9		-	4														1		13			0	1	10	30	29	13	4	0	0
112		4	-	3	9		-	4														0		7			0	0	5	23	33	22	8	1	0
111		4	-	3	10		-	3														0		3				0	2	15	31	30	15	4	0	0
110		4	-	2	10		-	4														0		1				0	1	7	23	34	24	8	1	0
109		4	-	2	11		-	3																0				0	0	3	16	31	31	16	3	0
108		3	-	3	11		-	3																0					0	1	7	24	34	25	7	1	0
107		3	-	2	11		-	4																						0	3	16	32	32	14	3	0
106		3	-	2	12		-	3																						0	1	7	24	37	25	6	0
105		3	-	2	13		-	2																							0	3	15	33	34	13	1	0
104		3	-	1	13		-	3																								1	9	26	37	23	4	0
103		2	-	2	13		-	3																									4	20	39	29	7	1
102		2	-	1	13		-	4																									1	11	32	42	13	1
101		1	-	2	13		-	4																										5	26	36	25	7
100		1	-	2	14		-	3																										2	12	40	37	9
99		1	-	1	14		-	4																											10	37	40	13
98		1	-	1	15		-	3																											14	7	64	14
97		1	-	1	16		-	2																												33	67
96		1	-	0	16		-	3																													100
90		0	-	0	20		-	0																													14	86

Total:									0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	4	2	12	2	28	0	21	0	0	1	2	5	6	5	3	2	1	0	0	0	0