Pittsburgh Penguins Playoff Chances 2010-2011 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.007 to 99.9%

106 points 28-8 20-6

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hurricanes vs Penguins	-0.1-0.0-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1		-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Penguins finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

159	-166								In		100															73	*
158		15	-	3	1		-	1	In		83			17												12	*
157		15	-	2	1		-	2	In		93			7												29	*
156		14	-	3	1		-	2	In		80			20												69	*
155		14	-	3	2		-	1	In		74			26												126	*
154		13	-	4	2		-	1	In		68			32												256	*
153		13	-	3	2		-	2	In		67	1		32												523	*
152		12	-	4	2		-	2	In		55	1		44												831	*
151		12	-	3	2		-	3	In		46	2		52												1,423	*
150		12	-	3	3		-	2	In		40	2		59												2,372	*
149		11	-	4	3		-	2	In		33	2	0	65												3,658	*
148		11	-	3	3		-	3	In		25	3	0	73												5,376	*
147		11	-	3	4		-	2	In		18	3	0	79												7,833	*
146		10	-	4	4		-	2	In		13	3	0	84	0											11,018	*
145		10	-	3	4		-	3	In		9	3	0	88	0											14,681	*
144		9	-	4	4		-	3	In		6	3	0	91	0											19,591	*
143		9	-	4	5		-	2	In		4	2	0	94	0											24,336	*
142		9	-	3	5		-	3	In		2	2	0	96	0											29,791	*
141		8	-	4	5		-	3	In		1	1	0	97	0	0										35,152	*
140		8	-	3	5		-	4	In		1	1	0	97	1	0										40,715	*
139		8	-	3	6		-	3	In		0	1	0	97	2	0										45,547	*
138		7	-	4	6		-	3	In		0	0	0	96	3	0										48,566	*
137		7	-	3	6		-	4	In		0	0	0	94	5	0										51,276	*
136		7	-	3	7		-	3	In		0	0	0	91	9	0										51,786	*
135		6	-	4	7		-	3	In		0	0	0	85	14	0										51,159	*
134		6	-	3	7		-	4	In			0	0	78	21	1	0									48,471	*
133		6	-	3	8		-	3	In			0	0	70	28	2	0									45,084	*
132		5	-	4	8		-	3	In			0	0	59	36	4	0									40,468	*
131		5	-	3	8		-	4	In				0	48	44	8	0									35,450	*
130		5	-	3	9		-	3	In					37	49	13	1	0								30,102	*
129		5	-	2	9		-	4	In				0	27	51	21	1									24,172	*
128		4	-	3	9		-	4	In					19	50	28	3	0								19,324	*
127		4	-	3	10		-	3	In				0	11	45	38	6	0								14,880	*
126		4	-	2	10		-	4	In					6	37	45	11	1								10,864	*
125		4	-	2	11		-	3	100.0	%				4	28	49	17	1	0							7,830	*
124		3	-	3	11		-	3	99.9					2	19	49	27	4	0							5,436	*
123		3	-	2	11		-	4	99.3					1	11	45	34	8	1							3,668	*
122		3	-	2	12		-	3	98.1					0	7	36	41	14	2							2,235	*
121		2	-	3	12		-	3	96.3					0	3	26	46	21	3	0						1,443	*
120		2	-	2	12		-	4	91.7						1	18	41	32	7	1						808	*
119		2	-	2	13		-	3	83.3						0	11	33	39	15	2						450	*
118		2	-	1	13		-	4	72.7						0	5	23	44	21	5	1					249	*
117		1	-	2	13		-	4	54.9						1	2	17	35	35	11						133	*
116		1	-	2	14		-	3	37.9							3	8	27	36	18	6	2				66	*
115		1	-	1	14		-	4	28.0							4	8	16	44	28						25	*
114		0	-	2	14		-	4	33.3								7	27	20	27	20					15	*
113		1	-	1	16		-	2	Out											67	33					6	*
112		1	-	1	17		-	1	Out											33	33		33			3	*
111		1	-	0	17		-	2	Out											50	25		25			4	*
106		0	-	0	20		-	0	Out												3	42	41	12	2	59

Total:									99.9	%	2	1	0	74	17	6	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	737,444

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Canadiens 4 Maple Leafs 5	-0.1
Flyers 4 Islanders 3 (ot)	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Hurricanes vs Penguins	+0.4+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	OT		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

166	20	-	0	0		-	0	100
160	15	-	4	0		-	1	67	33
159	16	-	2	1		-	1	91	9
158	15	-	3	1		-	1	75	8					17
157	15	-	2	1		-	2	86	7					7
156	14	-	3	1		-	2	62	17					20
155	14	-	3	2		-	1	58	16					26
154	13	-	4	2		-	1	48	20					32
153	13	-	3	2		-	2	42	25	1				32
152	12	-	4	2		-	2	30	25	1				44
151	12	-	3	2		-	3	22	24	2				52
150	12	-	3	3		-	2	16	24	2				59
149	11	-	4	3		-	2	10	22	2	0	0		65
148	11	-	3	3		-	3	7	18	2	0	0		73	0
147	11	-	3	4		-	2	3	15	3	0	0		79
146	10	-	4	4		-	2	2	11	3	0	0		84	0	0
145	10	-	3	4		-	3	1	8	2	0	0		88	0	0
144	9	-	4	4		-	3	0	6	2	0	0		91	0	0
143	9	-	4	5		-	2	0	4	1	1	0		94	0	0
142	9	-	3	5		-	3	0	2	1	1	0	0	95	1	0
141	8	-	4	5		-	3	0	1	1	0	0	0	95	2	0		0
140	8	-	3	5		-	4	0	1	0	1	0	0	94	4	1		0
139	8	-	3	6		-	3		0	0	0	0	0	90	7	2	0	0
138	7	-	4	6		-	3		0	0	0	0	0	85	12	3	0	0
137	7	-	3	6		-	4		0	0	0	0	0	76	18	5	0	0
136	7	-	3	7		-	3		0	0	0	0	0	64	27	9	0	0
135	6	-	4	7		-	3		0	0	0	0	0	49	36	13	1	0	0
134	6	-	3	7		-	4				0	0	0	33	44	18	3	1	0	0
133	6	-	3	8		-	3				0		0	20	50	21	7	2	0	0
132	5	-	4	8		-	3				0		0	10	49	21	15	4	0	0	0
131	5	-	3	8		-	4						0	4	45	17	26	6	2	0	0
130	5	-	3	9		-	3							1	36	11	38	8	5	0	0	0
129	5	-	2	9		-	4						0	0	27	6	45	8	12	1	0
128	4	-	3	9		-	4							0	18	2	48	6	22	2	1	0	0
127	4	-	3	10		-	3						0		11	1	45	4	34	2	4	0	0
126	4	-	2	10		-	4								6	0	37	2	44	2	9	0	0
125	4	-	2	11		-	3								4	0	28	0	49	1	16	1	1	0
124	3	-	3	11		-	3								2		19	0	49	1	26	1	3	0	0
123	3	-	2	11		-	4								1		11		45	0	33	0	8	0	0	0	0
122	3	-	2	12		-	3								0		7		36	0	41	0	13	0	0	1	1	0
121	2	-	3	12		-	3								0		3		26		46	0	21	0	1	2	1	0
120	2	-	2	12		-	4										1		18		41	0	32	0	1	2	4	2
119	2	-	2	13		-	3										0		11		33		39		1	2	5	6	2	0
118	2	-	1	13		-	4										0		5		23		44			2	8	9	8	1
117	1	-	2	13		-	4										1		2		17		35		1	1	6	19	19
116	1	-	2	14		-	3												3		8		27				9	24	18	6	3	2
115	1	-	1	14		-	4												4		8		16				4	20	36	4	8
114	2	-	0	16		-	2														7		27					13	13	20	13	7
113	1	-	1	16		-	2																						33	50	17
112	1	-	1	17		-	1																							33	33		33
111	1	-	0	17		-	2																							50	25		25
106	0	-	0	20		-	0																									20	39	32	7	2

Total:								0	1	0	0	0	0	53	21	7	9	2	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0