Los Angeles Kings Playoff Chances 2010-2011 50/50

Beat Wild 4-2, playoff odds up 8.7 to 76.4%

98 points 26-8 23-4

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Kings 4 Wild 2	+9.1		+0.7
Red Wings 1 Stars 4	-0.9
Canucks 3 Blues 2	+0.6

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Flames vs Sharks	-0.6-0.3-0.3+0.2+0.0+0.6
Blue Jackets vs Coyotes	-0.6-0.1+0.2+0.1+0.3+0.5
Oilers vs Blues	+0.4+0.4+0.4+0.0-0.1-0.6

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Kings finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

161		21	-	0	0		-	0	In		100															59
155		18	-	1	1		-	1	In		50	50														2	*
153	-154								In		100															5	*
152		16	-	2	1		-	2	In		64	36														14	*
151		16	-	2	2		-	1	In		48	48	3													29	*
150		14	-	4	1		-	2	In		48	52														56	*
149		14	-	4	2		-	1	In		46	54														143	*
148		13	-	5	2		-	1	In		39	60	2													259	*
147		13	-	4	2		-	2	In		31	66	3													458	*
146		13	-	3	2		-	3	In		23	72	3	2												792	*
145		13	-	3	3		-	2	In		15	78	6	2												1,390	*
144		12	-	4	3		-	2	In		12	76	8	4												2,143	*
143		12	-	3	3		-	3	In		7	75	12	6	0											3,201	*
142		12	-	3	4		-	2	In		5	72	15	8	0											4,855	*
141		11	-	4	4		-	2	In		2	63	21	13	0											7,078	*
140		11	-	3	4		-	3	In		1	54	26	18	1											9,861	*
139		10	-	4	4		-	3	In		0	43	31	24	2	0										13,411	*
138		10	-	4	5		-	2	In		0	33	32	31	4	0										17,612	*
137		10	-	3	5		-	3	In		0	22	33	37	7	0	0									21,956	*
136		9	-	4	5		-	3	In		0	14	31	41	13	1	0									27,234	*
135		9	-	4	6		-	2	In		0	8	27	42	20	3	0	0								32,601	*
134		9	-	3	6		-	3	In			4	21	39	29	6	1	0								37,873	*
133		8	-	4	6		-	3	In			2	15	32	36	13	2	0								42,505	*
132		8	-	3	6		-	4	100.0	%		1	10	23	40	21	5	0	0							45,940	*
131		8	-	3	7		-	3	99.9			0	6	14	37	31	11	2	0	0						48,946	*
130		7	-	4	7		-	3	99.4			0	3	7	28	36	20	5	1	0						50,494	*
129		7	-	3	7		-	4	97.7			0	1	3	18	35	29	12	2	0	0					50,197	*
128		7	-	3	8		-	3	93.1				1	1	9	27	34	21	6	1	0					48,739	*
127		6	-	4	8		-	3	83.1				0	0	3	17	32	30	14	3	0	0				46,037	*
126		6	-	3	8		-	4	67.8				0	0	1	8	24	34	23	8	1	0				42,107	*
125		6	-	3	9		-	3	48.1				0	0	0	3	15	30	32	16	4	0	0			37,961	*
124		6	-	2	9		-	4	29.2				0		0	1	7	22	34	26	9	1	0			32,664	*
123		5	-	3	9		-	4	14.3				0			0	2	12	29	34	18	4	0			27,534	*
122		5	-	3	10		-	3	5.9							0	1	5	20	35	28	10	1			21,947	*
121		5	-	2	10		-	4	2.0								0	2	11	29	36	18	3	0		17,701	*
120		4	-	3	10		-	4	0.5								0	0	5	20	38	29	7	0		13,258	*
119		4	-	3	11		-	3	0.1									0	2	12	34	39	13	0		9,960	*
118		4	-	2	11		-	4	0.0									0	1	5	26	45	23	1		6,978	*
117		3	-	3	11		-	4	Out										0	2	18	43	34	2		4,947	*
116		3	-	3	12		-	3	Out										0	1	10	41	44	5		3,227	*
115		3	-	2	12		-	4	Out											0	5	32	54	9		2,176	*
114		3	-	2	13		-	3	Out												2	24	62	13		1,336	*
113		2	-	3	13		-	3	Out												1	17	65	18		807	*
112		2	-	2	13		-	4	Out												0	10	61	28		424	*
111		2	-	2	14		-	3	Out													7	57	35		234	*
110		2	-	1	14		-	4	Out												1	4	55	39	1	122	*
109		1	-	2	14		-	4	Out													2	53	45		58	*
108		1	-	2	15		-	3	Out														39	61		38	*
107		1	-	1	15		-	4	Out														10	90		10	*
106		2	-	0	17		-	2	Out														50	50		2	*
105		0	-	2	16		-	3	Out														33	67		3	*
104		0	-	1	16		-	4	Out															100		1
98		0	-	0	21		-	0	Out															49	51	59

Total:									76.4	%	0	6	9	13	14	13	11	10	8	6	5	3	1	0	0	737,444

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Kings 4 Wild 2	-1.2
Red Wings 1 Stars 4	+0.1
Canucks 3 Blues 2	-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Flames vs Sharks	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Blue Jackets vs Coyotes	-0.1-0.0*-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
Ducks vs Wild	-0.0-0.0-0.1+0.0-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

161		21	-	0	0		-	0	95	5
155		18	-	1	1		-	1	50		50
153	-154								100
152		16	-	2	1		-	2	29	36	36
151		16	-	2	2		-	1	14	34	48		3
150		14	-	4	1		-	2	13	36	52
149		14	-	4	2		-	1	10	36	52	1
148		13	-	5	2		-	1	9	29	57	3	2
147		13	-	4	2		-	2	5	26	60	7	3
146		13	-	3	2		-	3	3	21	62	10	3		2
145		13	-	3	3		-	2	2	13	65	12	6		2
144		12	-	4	3		-	2	1	11	59	17	8	0	3	1
143		12	-	3	3		-	3	0	7	53	22	12	0	5	1	0
142		12	-	3	4		-	2	0	5	45	26	15	0	7	1	0
141		11	-	4	4		-	2	0	2	33	29	21	1	11	3	0
140		11	-	3	4		-	3	0	1	25	29	25	1	13	5	1	0
139		10	-	4	4		-	3		0	16	27	28	3	16	8	2		0
138		10	-	4	5		-	2		0	9	23	28	4	19	12	4	0	0
137		10	-	3	5		-	3		0	5	18	26	7	19	19	7	0	0		0
136		9	-	4	5		-	3		0	2	12	23	8	18	24	12	1	1		0
135		9	-	4	6		-	2		0	1	7	18	10	14	28	19	1	3		0		0
134		9	-	3	6		-	3			0	4	12	10	10	29	25	4	6	0	1		0
133		8	-	4	6		-	3			0	2	7	9	6	26	29	7	12	0	2		0
132		8	-	3	6		-	4			0	1	4	6	3	20	28	12	21	1	5	0	0		0
131		8	-	3	7		-	3				0	2	4	1	13	22	15	29	2	11	0	2		0	0
130		7	-	4	7		-	3				0	1	2	0	7	13	15	33	4	20	0	5		1	0
129		7	-	3	7		-	4				0	0	1	0	3	6	12	29	6	29	0	12		2	0	0
128		7	-	3	8		-	3					0	1	0	1	2	7	20	8	34	1	21	0	6	1	0
127		6	-	4	8		-	3					0	0		0	0	3	10	7	31	1	30	0	14	3	0	0
126		6	-	3	8		-	4						0		0	0	1	4	4	22	2	34	0	24	7	1	0
125		6	-	3	9		-	3					0	0		0	0	0	1	2	12	3	30	0	32	15	4	0	0
124		6	-	2	9		-	4						0				0	0	1	5	2	21	1	34	26	9	1	0
123		5	-	3	9		-	4						0					0	0	1	1	11	1	29	33	18	4	0
122		5	-	3	10		-	3											0	0	0	0	5	1	20	34	29	10	1	0
121		5	-	2	10		-	4													0	0	1	0	11	29	36	19	3	0	0
120		4	-	3	10		-	4														0	0	0	5	19	37	30	8	0	0
119		4	-	3	11		-	3															0	0	2	11	32	38	16	2	0
118		4	-	2	11		-	4																0	0	4	22	41	26	5	1	0
117		3	-	3	11		-	4																	0	2	13	36	36	11	2	0
116		3	-	3	12		-	3																		0	5	28	39	21	5	1
115		3	-	2	12		-	4																		0	2	16	35	31	14	2	0	0
114		3	-	2	13		-	3																			1	8	30	34	20	7	1	0
113		2	-	3	13		-	3																			0	4	19	35	29	11	2
112		2	-	2	13		-	4																				1	10	28	35	19	6	1
111		2	-	2	14		-	3																					3	18	29	34	14	2
110		2	-	1	14		-	4																					3	11	25	35	16	10
109		1	-	2	14		-	4																					5	2	14	28	34	16	2
108		1	-	2	15		-	3																						5	5	29	39	16	5
107		1	-	1	15		-	4																							10	10	40	20	10	10
106		2	-	0	17		-	2																									50	50
105		1	-	1	17		-	2																									33	33	33
104		0	-	1	16		-	4																											100
98		0	-	0	21		-	0																											8	36	44	12

Total:									0	0	2	4	6	3	4	9	9	5	11	2	11	1	10	0	8	6	5	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0