New York Islanders Playoff Chances 2010-2011 50/50

Lost to Flyers 3-4 (ot), playoff odds down 0.07 to 0.09%

68 points 14-9 31-8

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Flyers 4 Islanders 3 (ot)	-0.1		-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Sabres vs Senators			+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

Chances based on how well the Islanders finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

128		20	-	0	0		-	0	In					3	44	46	7									59
123		17	-	2	1		-	0	In								100									1
121		17	-	1	2		-	0	In							33	50	17								6	*
120		15	-	3	1		-	1	In						7		36	57								14	*
119		14	-	4	1		-	1	85.7	%						7	21	57	11		4					28	*
118		15	-	2	2		-	1	59.3							3	10	46	34	7						59	*
117		13	-	4	1		-	2	52.6								13	40	32	13	2					135	*
116		13	-	4	2		-	1	35.6								7	28	42	19	4					267	*
115		13	-	3	2		-	2	20.4								2	18	41	29	8	1				481	*
114		12	-	4	2		-	2	10.9								1	10	34	37	15	2	0			862	*
113		12	-	3	2		-	3	5.0								0	5	25	40	25	5	0			1,420	*
112		12	-	3	3		-	2	2.1								0	2	16	35	35	11	1	0		2,389	*
111		11	-	4	3		-	2	0.8									1	8	30	39	19	3	0		3,572	*
110		11	-	3	3		-	3	0.2									0	4	20	38	29	8	1	0	5,471	*
109		11	-	3	4		-	2	0.1									0	1	12	34	36	15	2	0	7,789	*
108		10	-	4	4		-	2	0.0									0	0	6	24	39	24	5	0	10,919	*
107		10	-	3	4		-	3	Out										0	3	16	37	33	10	1	14,802	*
106		9	-	4	4		-	3	Out										0	1	9	31	40	18	2	19,453	*
105		9	-	4	5		-	2	Out											0	4	22	42	27	4	24,379	*
104		9	-	3	5		-	3	Out										0	0	2	14	39	37	8	30,090	*
103		8	-	4	5		-	3	Out											0	1	8	33	44	14	35,433	*
102		8	-	3	5		-	4	Out											0	0	4	25	49	22	40,129	*
101		8	-	3	6		-	3	Out												0	2	17	50	31	25,705	*
		7	-	4	5		-	4	Out												0	2	17	50	31	19,482	*
100		7	-	4	6		-	3	Out												0	1	11	47	41	48,414	*
99		7	-	4	7		-	2	Out													0	7	42	51	21,804	*
		7	-	3	6		-	4	Out												0	0	7	42	51	29,448	*
98		7	-	3	7		-	3	Out													0	4	35	61	30,309	*
		8	-	2	8		-	2	Out													0	4	35	61	21,387	*
97		6	-	4	7		-	3	Out													0	2	29	69	31,509	*
		6	-	3	6		-	5	Out														2	29	70	19,641	*
96		6	-	3	7		-	4	Out													0	1	23	77	18,168	*
		7	-	2	8		-	3	Out														1	22	77	30,775	*
95		6	-	3	8		-	3	Out														0	17	83	26,730	*
		6	-	2	7		-	5	Out														0	17	83	18,240	*
94		6	-	2	8		-	4	Out														0	13	87	22,631	*
		6	-	3	9		-	2	Out														0	12	88	18,047	*
93		5	-	3	8		-	4	Out														0	9	91	35,453	*
92		5	-	3	9		-	3	Out														0	6	94	30,122	*
91		5	-	2	9		-	4	Out														0	4	96	24,408	*
90		4	-	3	9		-	4	Out														0	3	97	19,331	*
89		4	-	3	10		-	3	Out															2	98	14,627	*
88		4	-	2	10		-	4	Out															1	99	10,779	*
87		4	-	2	11		-	3	Out															1	99	8,064	*
86		3	-	3	11		-	3	Out															0	100	5,427	*
85		3	-	2	11		-	4	Out															0	100	3,594	*
84		3	-	2	12		-	3	Out															0	100	2,299	*
83		2	-	3	12		-	3	Out															0	100	1,437	*
82		2	-	2	12		-	4	Out															0	100	826	*
68	-81								Out																100	1,029	*

Total:									0.1	%				0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	11	26	55	737,444

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Flyers 4 Islanders 3 (ot)	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Oilers vs Blues	+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Sabres vs Senators	-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

128		20	-	0	0		-	0								3		44	10	36	3	3
123		17	-	2	1		-	0														100
121		17	-	1	2		-	0												33		50		17
120		15	-	3	1		-	1										7				36		57
119		14	-	4	1		-	1												7		21		57		4			11
118		14	-	3	1		-	2												3		10		46				10	22	8
117		13	-	4	1		-	2														13		40			4	10	18	11	4	1
116		13	-	4	2		-	1														7		28				9	25	21	8	1	0
115		13	-	3	2		-	2														2		18			0	6	24	28	16	5	0
114		12	-	4	2		-	2														1		10			0	2	15	33	26	11	2	0
113		12	-	3	2		-	3														0		5				1	9	29	31	19	6	1
112		12	-	3	3		-	2														0		2			0	0	4	18	33	28	13	2	0	0
111		11	-	4	3		-	2																1			0	0	1	10	27	33	21	7	1
110		11	-	3	3		-	3																0					0	5	17	33	29	13	3	0
109		11	-	3	4		-	2																0					0	1	9	26	34	22	7	1	0
108		10	-	4	4		-	2																0					0	0	4	16	32	30	14	3	0	0
107		10	-	3	4		-	3																						0	2	9	25	35	22	7	1
106		9	-	4	4		-	3																						0	1	4	17	33	31	13	2	0
105		9	-	4	5		-	2																							0	2	10	27	36	21	4	0
104		9	-	3	5		-	3																							0	0	4	19	36	31	9	1
103		8	-	4	5		-	3																								0	2	11	32	38	15	2
102		8	-	3	5		-	4																								0	1	6	24	42	23	3
101		7	-	4	5		-	4																									0	3	16	42	32	6
		8	-	3	6		-	3																								0	0	3	17	41	32	6
100		7	-	4	6		-	3																									0	1	10	37	40	11
		8	-	3	7		-	2																									0	1	10	37	41	11
99		7	-	3	6		-	4																									0	0	6	30	46	17
98		7	-	3	7		-	3																									0	0	3	23	49	25
97		6	-	4	7		-	3																										0	1	16	50	33
		7	-	2	7		-	4																										0	1	16	49	33
96		6	-	3	7		-	4																										0	1	11	46	43
		5	-	5	7		-	3																											1	11	46	42
95		6	-	3	8		-	3																										0	0	7	41	52
		6	-	2	7		-	5																											0	7	42	51
94		6	-	2	8		-	4																											0	4	35	61
		6	-	3	9		-	2																											0	4	36	60
93		5	-	3	8		-	4																											0	2	29	68
92		5	-	3	9		-	3																												1	23	75
91		5	-	2	9		-	4																												1	18	81
90		4	-	3	9		-	4																											0	0	14	85
89		4	-	3	10		-	3																												0	10	90
88		4	-	2	10		-	4																												0	7	93
87		4	-	2	11		-	3																												0	5	95
86		3	-	3	11		-	3																													3	97
85		3	-	2	11		-	4																													2	98
84		3	-	2	12		-	3																													2	98
83		2	-	3	12		-	3																													1	99
82		2	-	2	12		-	4																													1	99
81		2	-	2	13		-	3																													0	100
68	-80																																					100

Total:																0		0	0	0	0	0		0		0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	10	18	29	33