How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Flyers 4 Islanders 3 (ot)-0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Sabres vs Senators+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Islanders finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTL-OTplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
12820-00-0In34446759
12317-21-0In1001
12117-12-0In3350176*
12015-31-1In7365714*
11914-41-185.7%7215711428*
11815-22-159.33104634759*
11713-41-252.6134032132135*
11613-42-135.672842194267*
11513-32-220.4218412981481*
11412-42-210.911034371520862*
11312-32-35.005254025501,420*
11212-33-22.10216353511102,389*
11111-43-20.818303919303,572*
11011-33-30.2042038298105,471*
10911-34-20.10112343615207,789*
10810-44-20.00062439245010,919*
10710-34-3Out0316373310114,802*
1069-44-3Out019314018219,453*
1059-45-2Out04224227424,379*
1049-35-3Out002143937830,090*
1038-45-3Out01833441435,433*
1028-35-4Out00425492240,129*
1018-36-3Out0217503125,705*
7-45-4Out0217503119,482*
1007-46-3Out0111474148,414*
997-47-2Out07425121,804*
7-36-4Out007425129,448*
987-37-3Out04356130,309*
8-28-2Out04356121,387*
976-47-3Out02296931,509*
6-36-5Out2297019,641*
966-37-4Out01237718,168*
7-28-3Out1227730,775*
956-38-3Out0178326,730*
6-27-5Out0178318,240*
946-28-4Out0138722,631*
6-39-2Out0128818,047*
935-38-4Out099135,453*
925-39-3Out069430,122*
915-29-4Out049624,408*
904-39-4Out039719,331*
894-310-3Out29814,627*
884-210-4Out19910,779*
874-211-3Out1998,064*
863-311-3Out01005,427*
853-211-4Out01003,594*
843-212-3Out01002,299*
832-312-3Out01001,437*
822-212-4Out0100826*
68-81Out1001,029*
Total:0.1%000000125112655737,444

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Flyers 4 Islanders 3 (ot)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Oilers vs Blues+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Sabres vs Senators-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-OTL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
12820-00-0344103633
12317-21-0100
12117-12-0335017
12015-31-173657
11914-41-172157411
11814-31-23104610228
11713-41-21340410181141
11613-42-172892521810
11513-32-22180624281650
11412-42-2110021533261120
11312-32-3051929311961
11212-33-20200418332813200
11111-43-210011027332171
11011-33-30051733291330
10911-34-20019263422710
10810-44-2000416323014300
10710-34-302925352271
1069-44-30141733311320
1059-45-2021027362140
1049-35-300419363191
1038-45-302113238152
1028-35-40162442233
1017-45-4031642326
8-36-30031741326
1007-46-30110374011
8-37-20110374111
997-36-4006304617
987-37-3003234925
976-47-301165033
7-27-401164933
966-37-401114643
5-57-31114642
956-38-30074152
6-27-5074251
946-28-4043561
6-39-2043660
935-38-4022968
925-39-312375
915-29-411881
904-39-4001485
894-310-301090
884-210-40793
874-211-30595
863-311-3397
853-211-4298
843-212-3298
832-312-3199
822-212-4199
812-213-30100
68-80100
Total:000000000000113510182933